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NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
Support for this project was provided by the Department of Health and Human Services (Contract Number 500–98–0275). The views presented are those of the Institute of Medicine Committee and are not necessarily those of the funding organization.
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THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
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Institute of Medicine
National Research Council
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COMMITTEE ON MEDICARE COVERAGE EXTENSIONS
ROBERT S.LAWRENCE, M.D. (Chair), Associate Dean for Professional Education and Programs and Professor of Health Policy,
Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health, Baltimore
JACK C.EBELER, Senior Vice President and Director,
Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Princeton, N.J.
MARTHE R.GOLD, M.D., Arthur C.Logan Professor and Chair,
Department of Community Medicine, City University of New York Medical School
BERTRAM L.KASISKE, M.D., Director,
Division of Nephrology, Hennepin County Medical Center and
Professor of Medicine,
University of Minnesota
LAUREN L.PATTON, D.D.S., Associate Professor of Dental Ecology,
University of North Carolina School of Dentistry, Chapel Hill (from May 1999)*
STEPHEN G.PAUKER, M.D., Vice Chairman for Clinical Affairs,
Department of Medicine, New England Medical Center, and
Sara Murray Jordan Professor of Medicine,
Tufts University School of Medicine
ROBERT S.STERN, M.D., Professor of Dermatology,
Harvard University Medical School at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston
Staff
MARILYN J.FIELD, Ph.D., Study Director and Deputy Director,
Health Care Services
LEE L.ZWANZIGER, Ph.D., Senior Program Officer
DEE SUTTON, Administrative Assistant
Acknowledgments
In developing this report, the committee benefited from the expertise and experience of many individuals. In particular, it learned much from the presenters and participants in three workshops held in May and June 1999. Appendix A lists the workshop participants, presenters, and agendas.
The authors of the commissioned background papers presented in Appendixes B (Mark Helfand, Karen Eden, and Susan Mahon), C (Alex White, James Lipton, William Kohn, and Lauren Patton), D (Robert Gaston), and E (Jesse Kerns, Al Dobson, and Joan Da Vanzo) made essential contributions to this report through their evidence reviews and their extensive discussions with committee members and staff. Their ability to develop the evidence reviews on a tight schedule for discussion at the workshops was especially appreciated.
At the Health Care Financing Administration, project officer Katharine Pirotte and medical adviser Joseph Chin were always helpful. Paul Eggers provided information and guidance for developing estimates of the cost of extending Medicare coverage of immunosuppressive drugs. Others at the agency who provided information and explanations about policies and practices included John Whyte, Peter Hickman, Joan Stieber, Odette Cohen, Willam Larson, Dorothy Honemann, and Lauren Geyer.
The committee and staff likewise appreciate the assistance of David Atkins at the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research in developing a cooperative strategy for a background paper on skin cancer screening that could be used both by the committee and by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (consistent with provisions of the legislation providing for this study). The Task Force will be publishing clinical practice recommendations on skin cancer screening and other topics early in 2000.
The committee and staff also benefited from information provided by a number of other individuals and organizations including Greg Raab of the Health Industry Manufacturers Association, Andrew Swire of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, Dolph Chianchiano and Troy Zimmerman of the National Kidney Foundation, Julia Christensen of the Congressional Budget Office, Charles (Bud) Conklin of Carilion Dental Care, Alan Geller of Boston University, Ira Parker of the University of California at San Diego, Geoffrey Cook of Novartis, Bill Leinhos of Fero Pharmaceuticals, Robert Spieldenner of the United Network for Organ Sharing, John Rutkauskas of the American Academy of Pediatric Dentistry (formerly of the Federation of Special Care Organizations in Dentistry), and Cheryl Jacobs, Marilyn Leister, and Melissa Kamps, all of Fairview University Transplant Services.
At the Institute of Medicine, study staff appreciate the assistance of Claudia Carl, Mike Edington, Sue Barren, Sally Stanfield, Ellen Johnson, Barbara Rice, Janice Mehler, Kay Harris, and Linda Kilroy among others. Florence Poillon helped in copy editing the report.
REVIEWERS
This report has been reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with procedures approved by the National Research Council’s Report Review Committee. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the Institute of Medicine in making the published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process. The committee wishes to thank the following individuals for their participation in the review of this report:
James D.Bader, D.M.D., School of Dentistry, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
David R.Challoner, M.D., Institute for Science and Health Policy, University of Florida
Chester W.Douglass, D.D.S., Department of Oral Health Policy and Epidemiology, Harvard University School of Dental Medicine
Robert J.Genco, Ph.D., D.D.S., Department of Oral Biology, School of Dental Medicine, University at Buffalo, State University of New York
Bernard J.Gersh, M.B., Ch.B., D. Phil., Mayo Clinic, Cardiovascular Diseases Division, Rochester, Minnesota
Barbara A.Gilchrest, M.D., Department of Dermatology, Boston University
Thomas A.Gonwa, M.D., Dallas Nephrology Associates, Dallas, Texas
Roland E. (Guy) King, Ernst & Young, Annapolis, Maryland
Peter B.Lockhart, D.D.S., Department of Oral Medicine, Carolinas Medical Center, Charlotte, North Carolina
Lorelei Mucci, M.P.H., Department of Oral Health Policy and Epidemiology, Harvard School of Dental Medicine
Joseph P.Newhouse, Ph.D., Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard University, Cambridge
Len Nichols, Ph.D., Health Policy Center, The Urban Institute, Washington, D.C.
Arthur J.Sober, M.D., Department of Dermatology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston
George E.Thibault, M.D., Partners HealthCare System, Inc., Boston
Although the individuals listed above have provided constructive comments and suggestions, it must be emphasized that responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authors and the Institute of Medicine.
Preface
When Congress created the Medicare program over three decades ago, no one could anticipate the dramatic improvements in diagnostic and therapeutic measures that would emerge in subsequent years. Nor was there any expectation that health care costs would so steadily outpace the annual increase in the cost of living and cause the Medicare budget to grow so rapidly. Pressures to expand the original coverage limitations have become a regular feature of debates about the Medicare budget. The original concept of providing health insurance for those age 65 or over to protect them from the substantial costs of medical care, especially that requiring hospitalization for unexpected illnesses, was first changed to include coverage of some younger individuals with disabilities or permanent kidney failure. In 1980, the first preventive service was added when pneumococcal vaccine was covered.
Our committee was asked to analyze the possible extension of Medicare coverage for three very different conditions: skin cancer screening, medically necessary dental services, and elimination of time limits on coverage of immunosuppressive drugs for certain transplant recipients. The committee commissioned background papers for review of the evidence published in peer-reviewed scientific papers, heard from interested specialty organizations and patient advocacy groups, and contracted with consultants for estimates of the cost to Medicare of various coverage scenarios. In the course of our work we were struck by the advances in the methods for reporting clinical research, reviewing scientific evidence, and assessing the effectiveness of health care services. At the same time, we saw that continued work was needed to improve these methods and to employ them consistently to guide decisions and recommendations about clinical care and coverage policy. We include in this
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BOXES, FIGURES, AND TABLES
Boxes
3.1 |
Summary of Estimated Costs to Medicare for Covering a New Program of Screening Asymptomatic Beneficiaries for Skin Cancer, |
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4.1 |
Summary of Estimated Costs to Medicare for “Medically Necessary Dental Care” Associated with Certain Medical Conditions, |
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5.1 |
Summary of Estimated Costs to Medicare for Extending Coverage of Immunosuppressive Drugs After Transplant Operations, |
Figures
2.1 |
Evidence pyramid for assessing a health care intervention, |
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2.2 |
Evidence pyramid for assessing a coverage policy, |
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3.1 |
Evidence pyramid for assessing a screening intervention, |
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3.2 |
causal pathway: Skin cancer screening, with examples of uncertainty that could affect outcome at several key points, |
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4.1 |
Evidence pyramid for assessing “medically necessary dental services,” |
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5.1 |
Evidence pyramids for extending coverage of immunosuppressive drugs, |
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5.2 |
Possible consequences when a Medicare-eligible kidney transplant patient reaches the end of coverage and cannot locate other funds for immunosuppressive drugs, |
Tables
2.1 |
Expanding Coverage to a New Intervention: Possible Outcomes and Directions for Decisionmakers, |
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4.1 |
Medicare Coverage of Dental Services as Specified in Statute or by the Health Care Financing Administration, |
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4.2 |
Summary of Dental Services Currently Covered and Not Covered Under Medicare for Selected Diseases or Conditions, |
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5.1 |
Summary of Current Medicare Coverage Policy on Transplants, |
5.2 |
Number and Types of Transplants Performed in 1998, |
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5.3 |
Number of Patients on Waiting Lists at Year’s End, Selected Years, |
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5.4 |
Graft and Patient Survival Rates at One and Five Years, |
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5.5 |
Medicare Expenditure per ESRD Patient, 1994, |
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6.1 |
Preventive Services Covered by Medicare, |
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6.2 |
Interventions Considered and Recommended by USPSTF for Periodic Health Examinations for Persons Age 65 and Older, |