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Report of the Committee on Ballistic Acoustics (1982)
Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications (CPSMA)

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i NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the Councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the Committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance. This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to procedures approved by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The National Research Council was established by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and of advising the federal government. The Council operates in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy under the authority of its congressional charter of 1863, which establishes the Academy as a private, nonprofit, self-governing agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in the conduct of their services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. It is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. The National Academy of Engineering and the Institute of Medicine were established in 1964 and 1970, respectively, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences. Available in limited number from Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Resources 2101 Constitution Avenue Washington, D. C. 20418

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ii COMMITTEE ON BALLISTIC ACOUSTICS Norman F. Ramsey, Harvard University, Clan Luis W. Alvarez, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, University of California Herman Chernoff, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Robert H. Dicke, Princeton University Jerome I. Elkind, Xerox Palo Alto Research Center John C. Feggeler, Bell Telephone Laboratories, Holmdel, New Jersey Richard L. Garwin, Thomas J. Watson Research Center, IBM Corporation~and Adjunct Professor of Physics, Columbia University Paul Horowitz, Harvard University _ Alfred Johnson, Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms, National Laboratory Center, Department of the Treasury Robert A. Phinney, Princeton University -Charles Rader, Lincoin Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology F. Williams Sari es, Trisolar Corporation, Bedford, Massachusetts (The views expressed in this report do not necessarily represent those of the home institutions of the participants.) Sta`` C. K. Reed, Senior Advisor, Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Resources Bertita E. Compton, Special Assistant, Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Resources

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· ~ ~ 111 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . . . I. II. III. EVALUATION OF BRSW AND WA METHODOLOGIES AND CONCLUSIONS IV. TIMING EVIDENCE FROM MATCHING FEATURES . . . . . IV-1. Sound Spectrograms . . . . . . . . . . . IV-2. Analysis of Sound Spectrograms of "Hold Everything" IV-3. Timing of Channel I and Channel II Events IV-4. Possibility of Superposed Recordings V. EVALUATION OF THE FBI REPORT . . . . . . VI. POSSIBLE FURTHER STUDIES . . . . . . . . VII. CONCLUSIONS e e ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e e ~ ~ e e e ~ e ~ e APPENDIXES APPENDIX A: CRITICISMS OF PROBABILITY CALCULATIONS PAGE INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW . . DESCRIPTION OF STUDIES BY BRSW AD WA .... · · — A-1. Criticism of BRSW Probabilities of 0.88, 0.88, 0.50 and 0.75 . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ . . . . . e A-2. Criticism of BRSW Certainty that Microphone Detected Sound of Clm f ; rat · · ~ A-3. Criticism of BRSW/WA Probability of 0.95 for Shot from Grassy Knoll . . e ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e ~ ~ ~ ~ · ~ 12 18 20 23 27 30 32 33 34 35 35 35 37 38 APPENDIX B: ANALYSES OF SOUND SPECTROGRAMS OF "HOLD EVERYTHING..." . . 41 B-1. Time and Frequency Analysis e B-2. Measurements of Easily Identified Frequency Ratios on Sound Spectrograms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . B-3. Alternative Time and Frequency Analyses of Sound Spectrograms . e ~ e ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ e e ~ ~ 41 49 52 B-4. Digital Calculations of Cross Correlation Between Channel I and Channel II . . . . . . . e e e ~ ~ 57

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1V TABLE OF CONTENTS (CONTINUED) APPENDIX C: TIMING OF CHANNEL I AD II EVENTS . C-1. Analysis of the Bowles Tapes C-2. Analysis of Tapes Made Directly from Original Records APPENDIX D: POSSIBILITY OF SUPERPOSED RECORDINGS APPENDIX E: SIREN SOUNDS . APPENDIX F: POSSIBLE FURTHER STUDIES REFERENCES PAGE 60 60 67 81 89 92 96