Mathematical Sciences Education Board

Center for Science, Mathematics, and Engineering Education

National Research Council

 






Emergency Calls




TASK. A city is served by two different ambulance companies. City logs record the date, the time of the call, the ambulance company, and the response time for each 911 call (Table 1). Analyze these data and write a report to the City Council (with supporting charts and graphs) advising it on which ambulance company the 911 operators should choose to dispatch for calls from this region.



Table 1:
Ambulance dispatch log sheet, May 1­30

 

Date of Call Time of Call Company Name Response Time in Minutes Date of Call Time of Call Company Name Response Time in Minutes
1 7:12 AM Metro 11 12 8:30 PM Arrow 8
1 7:43 PM Metro 11 15 1:03 AM Metro 12
2 10:02 PM Arrow 7 15 6:40 AM Arrow 17
2 12:22 PM Metro 12 15 3:25 PM Metro 15
3 5:30 AM Arrow 17 16 4:15 AM Metro 7
3 6:18 PM Arrow 6 16 8:41 AM Arrow 19
4 6:25 AM Arrow 16 18 2:39 PM Arrow 10
5 8:56 PM Metro 10 18 3:44 PM Metro 14
6 4:59 PM Metro 14 19 6:33 AM Metro 6
7 2:20 AM Arrow 11 22 7:25 AM Arrow 17
7 12:41 PM Arrow 8 22 4:20 PM Metro 19
7 2:29 PM Metro 11 24 4:21 PM Arrow 9
8 8:14 AM Metro 8 25 8:07 AM Arrow 15
8 6:23 PM Metro 16 25 5:02 PM Arrow 7
9 6:47 AM Metro 9 26 10:51 AM Metro 9
9 7:15 AM Arrow 16 26 5:11 PM Metro 18
9 6:10 PM Arrow 8 27 4:16 AM Arrow 10
10 5:37 PM Metro 16 29 8:59 AM Metro 11
10 9:37 PM Metro 11 30 11:09 AM Arrow 7
11 10:11 AM Metro 8 30 9:15 PM Arrow 8
11 11:45 AM Metro 10 30 11:15 PM Metro 8

 


COMMENTARY. This problem confronts the student with a realistic situation and a body of data regarding two ambulance companies' response times to emergency calls. The data the student is provided are typically "messy"--just a log of calls and response times, ordered chronologically. The question is how to make sense of them. Finding patterns in data such as these requires a productive mixture of mathematics, common sense, and intellectual detective work. It's the kind of reasoning that students should be able to do--the kind of reasoning that will pay off in the real world.

MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS. In this case, a numerical analysis is not especially informative. On average, the companies are about the same: Arrow has a mean response time of 11.4 minutes compared to 11.6 minutes for Metro. The spread of the data is also not very helpful. The ranges of their distributions are exactly the same: from 6 minutes to 19 minutes. The standard deviation of Arrow's response time is a little longer--4.3 minutes versus 3.4 minutes for Metro--indicating that Arrow's response times fluctuate a bit more.

Graphs of the response times (Figures 1 and 2) reveal interesting features. Both companies, especially Arrow, seem to have bimodal distributions, which is to say that there are two clusters of data without much data in between.



Figure 1: Distribution of Arrow's response times

   




Figure 2: Distribution of Metro's response times

   


The distributions for both companies suggest that there are some other factors at work. Might a particular driver be the problem? Might the slow response times for either company be on particular days of the week or at particular times of day? Graphs of the response time versus the time of day (Figures 3 and 4) shed some light on these questions.



Figure 3: Arrow response times
by time of day

   




Figure 4: Metro response times
by time of day

   


These graphs show that Arrow's response times were fast except between 5:30 AM and 9:00 AM, when they were about 9 minutes slower on average. Similarly, Metro's response times were fast except between about 3:30 PM and 6:30 PM, when they were about 5 minutes slower. Perhaps the locations of the companies make Arrow more susceptible to the morning rush hour and Metro more susceptible to the afternoon rush hour. On the other hand, the employees on Arrow's morning shift or Metro's afternoon shift may not be efficient. To avoid slow responses, one could recommend to the City Council that Metro be called during the morning and that Arrow be called during the afternoon. A little detective work into the sources of the differences between the companies may yield a better recommendation.

EXTENSIONS. Comparisons may be drawn between two samples in various contexts--response times for various services (taxis, computer-help desks, 24-hour hot lines at automobile manufacturers) being one class among many. Depending upon the circumstances, the data may tell very different stories. Even in the situation above, if the second pair of graphs hadn't offered such clear explanations, one might have argued that although the response times for Arrow were better on average the spread was larger, thus making their "extremes" more risky. The fundamental idea is using various analysis and representation techniques to make sense of data when the important factors are not necessarily known ahead of time.




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