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The bombings of the
World Trade Center in New York in 1993 and the Alfred P. Murrah Federal
Building in Oklahoma City in 1995 have forced Americans to face the fact
that terrorism is not simply something that happens only overseas.
Shocking as those attacks were to most Americans, the 1995 nerve gas
attack on the Tokyo subway by an apocalyptic religious cult, Aum
Shinrikyo, and the subsequent revelation of its attempts to acquire and
use biological weapons (Broad, 1998) have added a new dimension to plans
for coping with terrorism. The Tokyo attack, which killed 12 people and
sent over 5,000 others to local hospitals, and an apparent rehearsal in
the city of Matsumoto some months beforehand, were the first large-scale
terrorist uses of a chemical or biological agent (Fainberg, 1997).
Scattered and
smaller-scale incidents occurred previously (e.g., mercury poisoning of
Israeli citrus in 1978, the Tylenol-cyanide poisoning of 1982 that led
to current "tamper-proof" packaging, and the Salmonella
poisonings by the Rajneesh cult in Oregon in 1984 intended to keep other
voters from the polls), but a number of more recent incidents besides
the Tokyo attack suggest that terrorists in the United States and abroad
may be finding chemical and biological weapons increasingly attractive.
In the United States, several members of a right-wing group called the
Patriot's Council were convicted of acquiring the castor bean toxin
ricin for use against local Minnesota officials in 1995. An Ohio man was
arrested later that year and charged with fraudulently obtaining
freeze-dried Yersinia pestis (plague) bacteria, and another
individual was arrested in Arkansas in possession of a supply of ricin
and castor beans and a collection of neoNazi books on making poisons.
Overseas, German police confiscated a coded diskette containing
directions for making mustard gas early in 1996, and political
extremists in Tajikistan killed seven people and sickened a number of
others with cyanide in 1995 (Oehler, 1996). The Aum Shinrikyo is
reported to have experimented with anthrax and botulinum toxin before
using the nerve gas sarin (GB) in the subway attack and may even have
attempted to obtain a quantity of Ebola virus during the outbreak in
Zaire (Fainberg, 1997; Broad, 1998).
The rapid breakup of
the Soviet Union was accompanied by well publicized concern about the
security of its nuclear arsenal. Other "weapons of mass destruction,"
namely, chemical and biological agents, drew less attention, but the
extent of the Soviet chemical arsenal and the large Soviet biological
weapons program are cause for concern about sales to or theft by
terrorist groups and rogue states. Also disturbing is the fact that some
chemical and biological agents and devices to deliver them efficiently
can be inexpensively produced in simple laboratories or even legally
purchased. Small quantities can cause massive numbers of casualties,
covertly if the perpetrator so desires. The Tokyo attack, which may have
been initiated prematurely because of justified suspicion that Japanese
police were about to launch a preemptive strike, employed a very crude
delivery system; otherwise, the number of deaths might have been far
higher.
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The United States
government, while continuing to pursue the goal of effective
international prohibition of chemical and biological weapons through the
Chemical Weapons Convention, the Biological Weapons Convention, and
activities such as those of the Australian Group, has also recognized
the need to address possible use of these agents by individuals or
groups unlikely to be deterred by threats of economic sanctions or
massive retaliation. In the past decade, Congress has passed three major
laws aimed at preventing the acquisition and use of chemical or
biological weapons by states, groups, or individuals. The Biological
Weapons Act of 1989 makes it a federal crime knowingly to develop,
manufacture, transfer, or possess any biological agent, toxin, or
delivery system for use as a weapon. It calls for heavy criminal
penalties on violators and allows the government to seize any such
material for which no legitimate justification is apparent (P.L.
101-298). The Chemical and Biological Weapons Control Act of 1991
(CBWCA) established a system of economic and export controls designed to
prevent export of goods or technologies used in the development of
chemical and biological weapons to designated nations (P.L. 102-82).
The Anti-Terrorism and
Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 expanded the government's powers
under CBWCA to cover individuals or groups who attempt or even threaten
to develop or use a biological weapon. It also broadens the definition
of biological agent to include new or modified agents produced by
biotechnology and charges the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(CDC) with creating and maintaining a list of biological agents that
potentially pose a severe threat to public health and safety (P.L.
104-32). CDC is also charged with establishing regulations for the use
and transfer of such agents that will prevent access to them by
terrorists. CDC's new regulations, which took effect April 15, 1997,
identify 24 microorganisms and 12 toxins, possession of which now
requires registration with CDC and transfer of which now involves filing
of forms by both shipper and receiver (Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, 1997). Appendix D is a list of
those agents.
Another law, the
Defense Against Weapons of Mass Destruction Act of 1996, directs the
Secretary of Defense to take immediate actions to both enhance the
capability of the federal government to respond to terrorist incidents
and to support improvements in the capabilities of state and local
emergency response agencies. In recognition of this requirement, an
amendment (widely known as NunnLugar II or
NunnLugarDomenici after its congressional sponsors) to the
Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1997 (P.L. 104-201) authorized
$100 million to establish a military rapid response unit; to implement
programs providing advice, training, and loan of equipment to state and
local emergency response agencies; and to provide assistance to major
cities in establishing "medical strike teams." The Department of Defense
(DoD) has shared these funds with the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA), the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Department
of Health and Human Services (DHHS), the Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA), and the Department of Energy (DoE). Use of these funds for simple
purchase of equipment for local users is, however, prohibited by the
legislation.
Also relevant is the
Local Firefighter and Emergency Services Training Act of 1996, which
authorizes the Department of Justice, in consultation with FEMA, to
provide specialized training to state and local fire and emergency
services personnel.
In addition to
congressional action, Presidential Decision Directive 39 (PDD-39),
United States Policy on Counterterrorism, was issued in June,
1995. It specifies the responsibilities of federal agencies and their
relationships to one another in the conduct of crisis management and
consequence management. As defined in PDD-39, crisis management involves
actions to anticipate and prevent acts of terrorism. United States law
assigns primary authority for these actions, which are predominantly of
a law enforcement nature, to the federal government, namely the FBI.
Consequence management involves measures to protect public health and
safety, restore essential government services, and provide emergency
relief to governments, businesses, and individuals affected by acts of
terrorism. United States law assigns primary authority in this sphere to
the states; the federal government provides assistance as required. This
assistance is coordinated by the FEMA, relying on procedures of the
Federal Response Plan developed by 27 federal departments and agencies
for responding to disasters of all kinds (Federal Emergency Management
Agency, 1997).
PDD 62, Combating
Terrorism, and PDD 63, Critical Infrastructure Protection,
issued in May 1998, establish a National Coordinator for Security,
Infrastructure Protection, and Counter-Terrorism and authorize the FBI
to set up a National Infrastructure Protection Center (NIPAC) to issue
warnings to public and private operators of essential elements of our
government and economy. An additional element of the two directives is a
four-part initiative focused on biological weapons. It calls for a
national surveillance system based on the public health system,
provision of local authorities with necessary equipment and training,
stockpiles of vaccines and specialized medicines, and a research and
development program on pathogen gene mapping to guide development of new
and better medicines and vaccines.
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The Federal Response
Plan designates the Secretary of DHHS, acting through the Assistant
Secretary for Health, and the Office of Emergency Preparedness (OEP), to
coordinate assistance in response to the public health, medical care,
and health-related social service needs of victims of a major emergency
and to provide resources when state and local resources are overwhelmed.
DHHS's experience planning and preparing for possible terrorist actions
aimed at the 1996 Atlanta Olympic Games and other events revealed that
traditional military approaches to battlefield detection of chemical and
biological weapons and the protection and treatment of young, healthy
soldiers under relatively isolated and controlled circumstances are not
necessarily suitable or easily adapted for use by civilian health
providers dealing with a heterogeneous population of potential
casualties in a civilian setting. The importance to terrorists of
psychological impact, which may be significant even when the number of
casualties is low, also suggests that a different approach from that of
the military may be necessary. Advances in detection and personal
protective equipment in the hazardous waste disposal and hazardous
materials handling areas are also unlikely to be readily transferred to
a mass-casualty situation requiring protection or extraction,
decontamination, and treatment of large numbers of civilians of widely
varying size, age, and health.
For these reasons, the
Institute of Medicine (IOM), aided by the Commission on Life Sciences
(CLS), was asked by OEP to conduct an 18-month study to (1) collect and
assess existing research, development, and technology information on
detecting chemical and biological agents as well as methods for
protecting and treating both the targets of attack and the responding
health care providers, and (2) provide specific recommendations for
priority research and development. Areas of concern include, but are not
limited to (1) the safety and efficacy of known and potential vaccines,
prophylactic drugs, antidotes, and therapeutics; (2) vaccine production
and distribution capabilities, surveillance for disease caused by
biological agents, and real-time detection of chemical agents and rapid
assays of biological agents; (3) the need for acute and chronic
toxicological studies of emerging-threat agents; (4) plans for
short-term and long-term follow-up of personnel exposed to chemical or
biological agents; (5) adequacy and availability of personal protective
equipment suitable for medical care providers; and (6) integrated
triage, decontamination, and treatment practices and systems. The study
thus focuses on medical responses to chemical or biological incidents
and extends neither to prevention of terrorism nor to long-term actions
like site remediation.
IOM and CLS assembled a
committee of knowledgeable scientists and medical practitioners in
accordance with established National Academy of Sciences procedures,
including an examination of possible biases and conflicts of interest,
and held an initial organizational and data-gathering meeting July
2224, 1997. A roster with brief biographies of committee members
is provided in Appendix A.
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A wide variety of
sources were used in assembling the requested inventory, which is
attached as Appendix B. The initial meeting of
the committee in July of 1997 provided an overview of important
organizations and R&D programs within the federal government (Army,
Navy, Marine and Defense Department units and laboratories, including
the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; the Department of
Energy's Chemical and Biological Nonproliferation Program; the Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention; and the DHHS Office of Emergency
Preparedness). Follow-up with the briefers provided a more detailed list
of projects and points of contact for technical information. The Office
of Emergency Preparedness shared information on promising technology
from its files, and, of course, the committee members themselves
contributed both personal contacts and specific information from their
own files and experience. The World Wide Web provided much information
about both relevant commercial products and R&D activity, and the
following databases were accessed and searched: National Technical
Information Service, Defense Technical Information Center, Federal
Research in Progress, Federal Conference Papers, Medline, MedStar, and
HSRProj.
Information on the
products in the above inventory was distilled from a ProCite database of
more than 450 records and entered into a series of databases, a
description of which constitutes the gap and overlap analysis at the end
of Appendix B. In the process, we eliminated
most products or R&D that did not explicitly address military
chemical or biological agents or appear to be sufficiently generic in
nature to encompass those agents without a major change. Exceptions were
made only in categories in which there were very few or no products or
R&D explicitly directed at chemical and biological weapons. We also
excluded technology represented in our database by only a single
experiment, journal article, or Small Business Innovative Research
contract (i.e., we focus on products and R&D programs).
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ASSUMPTIONS AND
PARAMETERS OF THIS REPORT |
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The committee's interim
report (Institute of Medicine and National Research Council, 1998)
focused on current civilian capabilities and made recommendations for
action without evaluation of ongoing and planned research and
development. That focus was selected primarily to provide a baseline
against which to evaluate the utility of technology and R&D
programs. The present report builds on that baseline by adding analyses
of improvements in capability that might be possible through
incorporation of technological innovations, either currently available
or in some stage of research and development. However, the committee
recognizes that technology is only one of a number of methods of
improving civilian medical response and that it would be irresponsible
to focus solely on technology, while ignoring potentially simpler,
faster, or less expensive mechanisms, such as organization, manpower,
training, and procurement. The committee's recommendations therefore
include a number of suggestions for operational research in addition to
calls for more traditional product development.
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Chemical and
Biological Agents Considered |
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Many of the actions
required for effective consequence management are agent-specific
(antidotes, for example). Some have argued that chemical and biological
terrorism are especially vexing problems, because would-be terrorists
have a much longer list of agents from which to choose than does a
military force, which must be concerned with production in quantity,
weaponization, storage, safety of their own personnel and civilian
noncombatants, and contamination of desired physical and geographical
objectives. Indeed, some have pointed out, correctly, that genetic
engineering may eventually make the list of potential terror agents
extremely long. In practice, the few chemical and biological terrorist
incidents that have occurred to date have involved only a few different
agents, and these agents are well known from military weapons programs.
There is no guarantee that this will continue to be the case, indeed; it
would be a grave mistake to assume that terrorists will not be able and
willing to take advantage of biotechnology to produce new agents.
Pre-incident intelligence about the specific agent suspected will always
be important, for it is not possible to be prepared for all possible
agents in all possible circumstances.
As a practical matter,
the committee has taken as its reference point and as a framework within
which to discuss current capabilities a limited number of agents: the
relatively short list of chemical and biological agents discussed in the
U.S. Army's recent textbook on medical aspects of chemical and
biological warfare (Sidell et al., 1997). These are nerve agents,
cyanide, phosgene, and vesicants, such as sulfur mustard; the
bacteria-produced poisons botulinum toxin and staphylococcal enterotoxin
B (SEB); the plant-derived toxin ricin; the fungal metabolite T-2
mycotoxin; and the infectious microorganisms causing anthrax,
brucellosis, plague, Q-fever, tularemia, smallpox, viral encephalitis,
and hemorrhagic fever. More comprehensive lists, including these
chemical agents and the CDC list of restricted biological agents, are
provided as Appendixes C and D respectively, to illustrate the breadth
of the problem facing planners.
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Terrorism Scenarios
Considered |
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The committee also
recognizes that terrorist incidents can take a wide variety of forms.
Evaluation of civilian medical and public health capabilities and
shortfalls will be scenario dependent. Like the number of possible
agents, the number of possible scenarios is also very large. Important
variables include the extent of prior intelligence or warning about the
time, place, or nature of the attack; the degree to which time and place
of the attack itself is obvious; and the number and location of
individuals exposed.
Again, as a practical
measure, the committee chose to limit analyses of the possible utility
of technology and R&D programs to three general scenarios. The first
is an overt attack producing significant casualties at specific time and
place--something similar to the Oklahoma City bombing, but involving
chemical or biological agent rather than, or in addition to, high
explosives. A second, quite different scenario is a covert attack with
an agent producing disease in those exposed only after an incubation
period of days or weeks, when the victims might be widely dispersed. The
infectious agents listed in the previous section have incubation periods
ranging from 2 days to 6 or 8 weeks, depending on the agent and the dose
received (Franz et al., 1997). A third scenario involves attempts at
preemption, such as full-time monitoring of likely targets (the White
House, subways), deployment for specific events (Olympic Games or the
State-of-the-Union address), or simply dealing with a suspicious
package. Consequence management in these three general scenarios is
obviously quite different, qualitatively and quantitatively: there will
be no 911 call to which emergency personnel respond, indeed no site or
identifiable event in the second scenario, so training and equipment for
that scenario must be focused not on public safety personnel (fire and
rescue, emergency medical services) but on hospitals, medical
laboratories, and public health officials.
For the above agents
and scenarios, a particularly threatening means of delivery, on which
both military offensive and protective programs and the committee's
considerations have concentrated, is as vapors or aerosols designed to
cause poisoning or infectious disease as a result of inhalation.
Nevertheless, it would be a mistake to assume that terrorists will not
be able to use other agents, even novel ones, or other means of
delivery, including product tampering, attacks on crops, and
contamination of food or water supplies. In fact, the IOM, in
conjunction with the National Research Council Board on Agriculture,
recently released a report assessing the current food safety system and
providing recommendations on scientific and organizational changes
needed to ensure an effective system for present and future generations
(Committee to Ensure Safe Food from Production to Consumption, 1998).
Although focused on naturally occurring contamination rather than
deliberate acts, carrying out the report's recommendations is likely to
be an important first step in guarding the country against chemical or
biological attack by this route as well.
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Constraints on
Local Resources |
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The charge to the
committee focuses on what is possible and desirable. It makes no
reference to cost, financial or otherwise. The committee nevertheless
recognizes that for nearly any specific locale (with the possible
exception of a few obvious areas like Washington, D.C.) a terrorist
attack of any sort is a very low-probability event, regardless of the
magnitude of the consequences, and that taking expensive or
time-consuming actions in preparation for such events is extremely
difficult for state and local governments to justify. Moreover, many of
the actions that could contribute to averting or mitigating casualties
from terrorist chemical or biological attacks are urgently needed anyway
to avert or mitigate severe hazards to health from toxic substances and
prevailing or emerging infectious diseases of natural origin. As a
result, the committee has given special attention to actions that will
be valuable even if no terrorist attack ever occurs. A second type of
recommendation focuses on very specific actions that would be valuable
in a few more plausible terrorist scenarios. A third category of
suggestions involves more generic, long-term research and development
programs. Even here, much of what needs to be done to deal with possible
terrorist incidents will be of benefit to the nation's health
irrespective of actual attack.
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CURRENT CIVILIAN
CAPABILITIES |
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The committee's Interim
Report (Committee on R&D Needs for Improving Civilian Medical
Response to Chemical and Biological Terrorism Incidents, 1998) focused
on current capabilities. Much of that analysis survives in the present
document, albeit modified in a number of places due to new developments
or simply receipt of additional information. Table 1-1 is a summary table adapted from a similar table
in the interim report. The leftmost column of the table lists
capabilities or actions likely to be required for an effective response
to the medical consequences of a chemical or biological incident. The
table entries represent the committee's best estimates of current
capabilities, though there are few hard data to support them and the
committee recognizes that capabilities vary widely at the state and
local level. In effect, the table also provides an outline of the
remainder of the report, which will describe current preparedness in
each of these areas, along with possible improvements achievable through
existing technology or research and development. Regardless of
technology, of course, integrated planning and coordination among
different levels of the medical community will be necessary for
effective response.
For purposes of this
report, we differentiate four levels of medical intervention, primarily
on the basis of proximity to the precipitating event or initial victims.
Response to a distinct, immediately recognizable terrorist incident (as
opposed to a covert release of an agent whose effects would not be
apparent for hours or days) would, in most instances, be initiated by
law enforcement or fire and rescue personnel, followed at some point by
a hazardous materials (Hazmat) team and emergency medical technicians.
This is the group referred to in Table
1-1 as "Local Responders." In the same table, "Initial Treatment
Facilities" refers to the fixed-site medical facilities to which victims
might initially be transported (or transport themselves) or that might
initially be called upon for assistance by victims or personnel on the
scene. Under "State" in the table, we refer primarily to state
departments of emergency services and public health and to regional
resources, such as poison control centers and public health
laboratories. A state public health agency would probably initiate the
systematic response to a covert release of an agent with delayed effects
(e.g., anthrax).
The "Federal" category
in Table 1-1 refers to capabilities
that are many and varied. Upon request from the governor, the Federal
Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) may deploy an emergency response
team, the health and medical services portion of which is the
responsibility of the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS),
specifically the Office of Emergency Preparedness. The DHHS National
Counterterrorism Plan includes initiatives both to create or improve
local capabilities and to enhance the existing National Disaster Medical
System (NDMS). One initiative involves organizing, equipping, and
training groups of local fire and rescue personnel as Metropolitan
Medical Strike Teams (MMST) in 25 or more of the nation's largest
cities. The first of these teams, in Washington, D.C., became
operational in early 1997, and contracts have been awarded to establish
10 more teams in 1998. The goal of these teams is to enhance local
planning and response systems capability, tailored to each city, to care
for victims of a terrorist incident involving a weapon of mass
destruction (nuclear, chemical, or biological, although, in practice,
the core of most of the teams is the Fire Department and its hazardous
materials team, with a resulting emphasis on chemical attack). This is
to be accomplished by providing special training to a subset of local
emergency responders (120 to 300, depending on the size of the
metropolitan area); specialized protective, detection, decontamination,
communication, and medical equipment; special pharmaceuticals and other
supplies; and enhanced emergency medical transport and emergency room
capabilities. Other capabilities include threat assessment, public
affairs, epidemiological investigation, expedient hazard reduction,
mental health support, victim identification, and mortuary services.
Twenty-five of these teams will obviously cover only a small proportion
of the U.S. population, but they should also serve as effective test
beds and models for Hazmat teams of the future.
The National Disaster
Medical System (NDMS) supplements state and local medical resources by
delivering direct medical care to disaster victims. Disaster Medical
Assistance Teams (DMAT) provide prehospital treatment. Sixty existing
teams, some tailored to focus on pediatrics, burns, mental health, and
other specialties, including mortuary services, are in place around the
country. Like military reserve units, the teams are community-based and
composed of local health providers who train on weekends. Twenty-one are
fully deployable and can be on the scene in 12 to 24 hours with enough
food, water, shelter, and medical supplies to remain self sufficient for
72 hours and treat about 250 patients per day. Three teams are being
organized and trained specifically to respond to chemical or biological
terrorism. NDMS hospitalization assistance is accomplished though a
regional network of 72 Federal Coordinating Centers that are run by the
Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) and the DoD. These centers have
agreements with private sector hospitals to make ready a total of more
than 100,000 in-patient hospital beds; the VA provides medicines and DoD
provides patient transportation.
The Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) is a widely recognized source of expertise
in the diagnosis of infectious agents known to be pathogenic in humans,
and their epidemiological and laboratory resources are often called upon
to assist state health departments identify and manage outbreaks of
severe unexplained illness. In cases of suspected biological or chemical
terrorism CDC itself can consult with experts at academic institutions
and research institutes and several DoD medical research units
specializing in biological or chemical defense: the U.S. Army Medical
Research Institute of Infectious Diseases (USAMRIID), the U.S. Army
Medical Research Institute of Chemical Defense (USAMRICD), the U.S. Navy
Medical Research Institute (NMRI), and the U.S. Navy Environmental and
Preventive Medicine Unit.
Representatives of
these units and additional DoD organizations with expertise in bomb
disposal (the Army's 52nd Ordnance Group) and the detection and disposal
of chemical and biological weapons (the Army's Technical Escort Unit and
Chemical Treaty Laboratory and the Naval Research Laboratory) form the
DoD Chemical/Biological Rapid Response Team (C/B-RRT). The C/B-RRT is a
deployable source of advice and expertise that can coordinate more
extensive and more specialized assistance as necessary. Under some
circumstances, a U.S. Marine Corps unit called the Chemical Biological
Incident Response Force (CBIRF) may provide assistance in evacuation,
decontamination, and medical stabilization of victims. This 350-person
force is based at Camp LeJeune, North Carolina and can have an advance
party airborne four hours after notification. Other deployable units
designated to assist local civilian responders include Specialty
Response Teams at the Army's Regional Medical Centers, which can provide
advice on casualty management and coordinate more extensive support. An
Aeromedical Isolation Team of physicians, nurses, and technicians from
USAMRIID specializes in the transport of patients with highly contagious
diseases. One destination for those patients may be a small isolation
ward at USAMRIID designed for the care of patients requiring the highest
levels of containment.
A newly established
hotline to the U.S. Army Chemical Biological Defense Command provides
24-hour access to these DoD assets. Given the very rapid action of
chemical weapons, telephonic advice will probably be the most valuable
assistance that local authorities can count on. CBIRF and other
"hands-on" units are likely to play a major role only when deployed in
advance to a site where there is reason to suspect an attack (e.g., the
1996 Atlanta Olympics). The Secretary of Defense has announced plans to
expand and decentralize assistance to local, state, and federal agencies
responding to attacks with chemical or biological weapons by equipping
and training elements of the National Guard units (under the control of
state governors) and the Army and Air Force Reserves to provide
decontamination, medical care, security, and transportation. Initial
actions would establish rapid assessment and initial detection (RAID)
teams in 10 areas designated by FEMA, to be followed by 55
reconnaissance elements and 127 decontamination teams throughout all 50
states. Expertise and equipment associated with these teams, like the
CBIRF, will be heavily biased toward response to chemical attack, an
event at which, also like CBIRF, barring predeployment, they will almost
certainly arrive too late to provide significant help with the medical
response.
Capabilities at each
level and promising leads for improvements are treated in detail in the
following chapters, but several general conclusions that emerge serve to
summarize the reasoning behind the ratings of Table 1-1.
First, the committee
believes that the incubation period associated with infectious
biological agents makes responding to an attack with such agents very
different from responding to a chemical attack. Thus, victims of
biological attack may not be concentrated in time and space the way
victims of most chemical attacks will be. Recent emphasis on preparing
"local responders" for chemical and biological terrorism is therefore
primarily preparation for chemical attacks.
Second, in many of the
areas surveyed in subsequent chapters, we note that some capability,
often quite good, exists for incidents involving a small number of
victims. Regardless of preparation, there will be some unpreventable
casualties in all but the most incompetent attacks, but without
planning, education, supplies, equipment, and training, the casualty
count will mount rapidly when the number of persons exposed escalates,
particularly as the event is likely to be unprecedented in a community.
For both chemical and biological exposures however, there is an existing
response framework within which modifications and enhancements specific
to chemical and biological terrorism can be incorporated. An attack with
chemical agents is similar to the hazardous materials incidents that
metropolitan public safety personnel contend with regularly. A major
mission of public health departments is prompt identification and
suppression of infectious disease outbreaks, and poison control centers
deal with poisonings from both chemical and biological sources on a
daily basis. It would be a serious tactical and strategic mistake to
ignore (and possibly undermine) these long-neglected mechanisms in
efforts to improve the response of the medical community to additional,
albeit very dangerous, toxic materials. It would be similarly ill
advised to ignore the existing mechanisms for providing federal disaster
assistance to local communities.
Local governments and
hospitals are reluctant to spend large amounts of money and time
preparing for what they judge as unlikely events. Federal organizations
can, therefore, be very important. This is particularly true in the case
of biological agent incidents, where onset of signs or symptoms is
delayed, variable, and potentially continuing, and victims may be widely
dispersed. The National Disaster Medical System (NDMS), for example,
would be a critical component of response to any large-scale biological
attack. The NDMS might also serve a useful role in a large-scale
chemical attack, though the rapid onset of effects from these agents
puts a premium on actions within the first few hours following exposure.
For that reason, properly trained and organized Metropolitan Medical
Strike Teams organized by local communities with Public Health Service
funding may be the most useful federal help in managing the medical
consequences of a chemical attack. Similar help from deployable military
teams will be optimal only if intelligence allows for predeployment or
the attack occurs near the team's home base.
Finally, it will be
apparent that federal regulations intended to protect the public in very
different circumstances may have, in fact, impeded efforts to prepare
for chemical or biological terrorism. Regulations on worker safety
apparel, for example, have made it difficult for civilian rescue workers
to take advantage of military equipment specifically designed for
protection from chemical warfare agents. Similarly, the difficulty of
obtaining the human efficacy data currently required for FDA approval of
specific treatments for chemical and biological warfare agents may limit
their use in mass-casualty situations. Furthermore, in the case of many
treatments, collection of the data on efficacy necessary for full FDA
approval will not be possible for ethical reasons or economically
attractive to a potential manufacturer because of limited market
potential.
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