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OCR for page R1
Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century
Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
Committee on Assessing Crop Yield: Site-Specific Farming, Information Systems, and Research Opportunities
Board on Agriculture
National Research Council
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
Washington, D.C.
1997
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS
2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20418
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to procedures approved by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine.
This report has been prepared with funds provided by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Research, Education, and Economics, under agreement number 59-0700-4-139, and by the U.S. Department of Energy, Lockheed Martin Idaho Technologies Company, Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the organizations or agencies that provided support for the project.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Precision agriculture in the 21st century : geospatial and information technologies in crop management / Committee on Assessing Crop Yield—Site-Specific Farming, Information Systems, and Research Opportunities, Board on Agriculture, National Research Council.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-309-05893-7 (cloth)
1. Precision farming. I. National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Assessing Crop Yield: Site-Specific Farming, Information Systems, and Research Opportunities.
S494.5.P73P73 1997
338.1'6—dc21 97-45268
CIP
Additional copies of this report are available from
National Academy Press,
2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W., Lockbox 285, Washington, D.C. 20055; (800) 624-6242 or (202) 334-3313 (in the Washington, D.C., metropolitan area); Internet, http://www.nap.edu.
Printed in the United States of America
Copyright 1997 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
COMMITTEE ON ASSESSING CROP YIELD: SITE-SPECIFIC FARMING, INFORMATION SYSTEMS, AND RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES
STEVEN T. SONKA, Chair,
University of Illinois, Urbana
MARVIN E. BAUER,
University of Minnesota, St. Paul
EDWARD T. CHERRY,
FMC Corporation, Washington, D.C.
JOHN W. COLBURN, JR.,
Crop Technology, Inc., Houston, Texas
RALPH E. HEIMLICH,
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Washington, D.C.
DEBORAH A. JOSEPH,
University of Wisconsin, Madison
JOHN B. LEBOEUF,
Fordel, Inc., Mendota, California
ERIK LICHTENBERG,
University of Maryland, College Park
DAVID A. MORTENSEN,
University of Nebraska, Lincoln
STEPHEN W. SEARCY,
Texas A&M University, College Station
SUSAN L. USTIN,
University of California, Davis
STEPHEN J. VENTURA,
University of Wisconsin, Madison
Consultant
JUDY DIXON, Editor
MARCIA MCCANN, Editor
Staff
MARY JANE LETAW, Project Officer
JULIEMARIE GOUPIL, Project Assistant
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
BOARD ON AGRICULTURE
DALE E. BAUMAN, Chair,
Cornell University, Ithaca, New York
JOHN M. ANTLE,
Montana State University, Bozeman
SANDRA S. BATIE,
Michigan State University, East Lansing
MAY R. BERENBAUM,
University of Illinois, Urbana
LEONARD S. BULL,
North Carolina State University, Raleigh
WILLIAM B. DELAUDER,
Delaware State University, Dover
ANTHONY S. EARL,
Quarles & Brady Law Firm, Madison, Wisconsin
ESSEX E. FINNEY, Jr.,
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Mitchelleville, Maryland
CORNELIA FLORA,
Iowa State University, Ames
GEORGE R. HALLBERG,
University of Iowa, Iowa City
RICHARD R. HARWOOD,
Michigan State University, East Lansing
T. KENT KIRK,
University of Wisconsin, Madison
HARLEY W. MOON,
Iowa State University, Ames
WILLIAM L. OGREN,
University of Illinois, Urbana
GEORGE E. SEIDEL, Jr.,
Colorado State University, Fort Collins
JOHN W. SUTTIE,
University of Wisconsin, Madison
JAMES J. ZUICHES,
Washington State University, Pullman
Staff
PAUL GILMAN, Executive Director
MICHAEL J. PHILLIPS, Director
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
Preface
The land grant university system and the Agricultural Research Service have been enormously successful at creating and transferring a knowledge base to local farming communities for production of large quantities of crops at low cost. Recently, external influences such as global trade, environmental concerns, and consumer preferences have been creating new pressures for the agricultural industry. The need to accommodate production and marketing changes has put our agricultural research institutions in a new and unfamiliar setting.
Information technologies can facilitate a response to market and societal pressures. Techniques are available for making precise measurements and continuously updating field conditions. However, our ability to acquire data through tools such as on-the-go sensors, yield monitors, and geographically referenced databases has surpassed our ability to interpret this data. Even more importantly, information that is adequate today may be insufficient to meet tomorrow's needs of producers, agribusiness managers, and society. Our universities and laboratories will need to radically alter their approaches to accommodate this information overflow.
For this reason the Research, Education, and Economics agencies of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, with additional support from the U.S. Department of Energy's Idaho National Engineering Laboratory (operated by Lockheed Martin Idaho Technologies Company), requested that the National Research Council's Board on Agriculture convene a study committee to explore the potential for developing, coordinating, and using these information-handling tools for research, on-farm applications, and formulation of agricultural policies. Questions addressed by the committee included:
How can evolving technologies aid producer decision making in agricultural crop production?
What are the incentives for adoption and barriers to implementation of these information technologies?
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
What are the environmental, economic, and social implications of precision agriculture?
What are the appropriate roles for the public and private sectors in improving and disseminating these technologies?
Early on in its deliberations, the committee identified the scope of its report to include adoption and effectiveness of information technologies (the Internet, for example) that affect operations in the farm field. The committee was convinced that information technologies should optimize decision making, recognizing that a producer must manage for multiple goals. The committee adopted an approach that could accommodate numerous aspects of crop management that are interrelated and vary in time and space.
Despite being challenged by a lack of comprehensive data, the committee drew on its collective experience, knowledgeable opinions of experienced individuals, and reasoned judgment to develop many of its findings. The committee used multiple sources of information, such as national meetings and a literature review, to aid its deliberations. Invited experts (producers, input suppliers, crop consultants, and university scientists) provided their input on a number of topics:
Potential of information-intensive management of crops;
Rural development and size-neutrality issues;
Producer perspectives on adoption and limitations of precision agriculture;
Changes in relationships between producers, suppliers, and markets; and
Environmental implications of precision agriculture.
In this report, the committee recognized the potential for precision agriculture to fundamentally alter decision making on the farm. The basic agronomic knowledge necessary to support new farm management systems will need to be generated in new laboratories—on the farm. Research partners will have an opportunity to study relationships among crops, weather, pests, and soil biology in real time. This report offers a new paradigm for research, development, and transfer of information technologies.
The committee chose to take a cautious but optimistic view, recognizing that some important questions will need to be answered before precision agriculture demonstrates the benefits that would justify widespread adoption. The future is not clear, and structural changes already are occurring on farms and in service industries. However, information technologies are expected to be powerful tools that will enable us to learn from internal on-farm processes. It is the committee's hope that this report will provide the reader insights on the future of information technologies in crop management and appropriate roles for the public sector.
STEVEN T. SONKA, Chair
Committee on Assessing Crop Yield: Site-Specific Farming, Information Systems, and Research Opportunities
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1
A Fundamental Paradigm Shift for Agricultural Research Systems
3
The Value of Information Will Intensify Within Production Agriculture
6
Uncertainty of Public Role
8
Implications of Precision Agriculture
11
Adoption Patterns
11
Farm Structure
12
Rural Employment
13
Environmental Quality
13
Potentials For Precision Agriculture
14
1
DIMENSIONS OF PRECISION AGRICULTURE
16
Precision Agriculture and Agricultural Management
17
Geographic Context: Scales in the Spatial Spiral
19
Subfield Management
21
Beyond Subfield Management
21
Data Warehousing
22
Landscape Analysis
23
Regional Management
23
Enabling Technologies
26
Georeferenced Information
28
Global Positioning System
28
Geographic Information Systems and Mapping Software
30
Yield Mapping Systems
31
Variable-Rate Technologies
32
Groundbased Sensors
34
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
Remote Sensing
35
Crop Production Modeling
39
Decision Support Systems
40
Looking To Tomorrow
43
2
A NEW WAY TO PRACTICE AGRICULTURE
44
Changes in Management Research
44
Systems Approach
48
Spatial and Temporal Variation
49
Management Factors
51
Crop Genetics
52
Plant Population
52
Soil Variability
53
Soil Fertility
55
Pest Management
59
Pesticide Management
60
Farmworker Safety
61
Weather
61
Suppliers
61
Monitoring Precipitation
62
Relative Humidity
62
Harvest
63
Marketing
63
Summary: Effect on Management
63
3
ADOPTION OF PRECISION AGRICULTURE
65
Current Status and Likely Trends
65
Status of Current Adoption
65
Diffusion of New Technologies
66
Determinants of Long-Term Adoption
67
Determinants of the Speed of Diffusion of New Technologies
68
Long-Term Potential of Precision Agriculture
72
Evolution of Precision Agriculture
77
Provision of Precision Agriculture Services
77
Provision of Precision Agriculture Products
78
Combination of Products and Services
79
Effects of Widespread Adoption of Precision Agriculture
79
Effects on Rural Employment
79
Effects on the Structure of Farming
81
Processors and Vertical Integration
85
Environmental Implications
85
Conclusion
88
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
4
PUBLIC POLICY AND PRECISION AGRICULTURE
90
Purposes for Public Involvement
90
Research and Development
92
Need for Improved Measurement Methods
96
Need for Unbiased Evaluation
99
Need for New Approaches to Research
101
Training and Education Needs
104
Need for High-Speed Connectivity
106
Clarification of Intellectual Property Rights, Data Ownership, and Data Privacy
108
Need for Data Assembly and Aggregation
111
Need for Review of Public Data Collection
112
Potential for Precision Agriculture
119
REFERENCES
120
GLOSSARY
135
AUTHORS
138
INDEX
141
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
Tables and Figures
TABLES
3-1
Estimated Costs of Precision Agriculture Services
72
3-2
Trends in Farm Structure, 1982-1994
84
FIGURES
1-1
Scales in a Spiral
19
1-2
Conceptual Diagram of a Decision Support System
41
2-1
Crop Yield and Profit Maps
45
2-2
Soil and Crop Variability Observed in Remote Sensing
54
2-3
Map of Soil Test Phosphorus
58
BOXES
1-1
California Irrigation Management Information System
24
1-2
The Crop Consultant of Tomorrow
26
1-3
Remote Sensing Vegetation Indexes
36
1-4
Contemporary Remote Sensing Technology
38
2-1
Linking Crops, Information Technology, and Decision Making
46
2-2
Site Specific Forestry Management
56
3-1
The Paradox of Information Technology and Its Economic Effects
74
4-1
Federal Data Collection Efforts
114
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Precision Agriculture in the 21st Century: Geospatial and Information Technologies in Crop Management
The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. William A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy's purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. William A. Wulf are chairman and vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council.