Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study

National Research Council

Division on Earth and Life Studies

Ocean Studies Board & Water Science and Technology Board

Committee to Review the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study



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Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study National Research Council Division on Earth and Life Studies Ocean Studies Board & Water Science and Technology Board Committee to Review the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study

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Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS 2101 Constitution Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20418 NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approvedby the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose membersare drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences,the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine.The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosenfor their special competencies and with regard for appropriate balance. This report and the committee were supported by a grant from theUnited States Army Corps of Engineers. The views expressed hereinare those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the viewsof the sponsors. Additional copies of this report are available from: Ocean Studies Board, HA470 The National Academies 2101 Constitution Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20418 202-334-2714 http://www.nas.edu/osb Copyright 2001 by the National Academy of Sciences . All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America.

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Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES National Academy of Sciences National Academy of Engineering Institute of Medicine National Research Council The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguishedscholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicatedto the furtherance of science and technology and to their use forthe general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted toit by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requiresit to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters.Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences. The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academyof Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers.It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of itsmembers, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibilityfor advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineeringalso sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs,encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievementsof engineers. Dr. William A. Wulf is president of the National Academyof Engineering. The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to securethe services of eminent members of appropriate professions in theexamination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public.The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the NationalAcademy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviserto the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identifyissues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shineis president of the Institute of Medicine. The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associatethe broad community of science and technology with the Academy'spurposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government.Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by theAcademy, the Council has become the principal operating agency ofboth the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy ofEngineering in providing services to the government, the public,and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administeredjointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. BruceM. Alberts and Dr. William A. Wulf are chairman and vice chairman,respectively, of the National Research Council.

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Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study COMMITTEE TO REVIEW THE FLORIDA KEYS CARRYING CAPACITY STUDY SCOTT NIXON (Chair), University of Rhode Island GEORGE DALRYMPLE, Everglades Research Group, Inc. ROBERT DEYLE, Florida State University WAYNE HUBER, Oregon State University MARK PETERSON, University of Southern Mississippi STEPHEN POLASKY, University of Minnesota NORBERT PSUTY, Rutgers University, Cook Campus MALCOLM RIVKIN, University of Maryland DANIEL SHEER, Water Resources Management, Inc. Staff MORGAN GOPNIK, Study Director JEFFREY JACOBS, Senior Program Officer MARK GIBSON, Program Officer MEGAN KELLY, Senior Project Assistant NANCY CAPUTO, Senior Project Assistant The work of this committee was overseen by the Ocean Studies Boardand the Water Science and Technology Board of the National ResearchCouncil.

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Interim Review of the Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study Acknowledgements This report has been reviewed in draft form by individuals chosenfor their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordancewith procedures approved by the NRC's Report Review Committee. Thepurpose of this independent review is to provide candid and criticalcomments that will assist the institution in making its publishedreport as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutionalstandards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the studycharge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidentialto protect the integrity of the deliberative process. We wish tothank the following individuals for their review of this report:John Adams (University of Minnesota), David Godschalk (Universityof North Carolina), Lance Gunderson (Emory University), Steven McCutcheon(U.S. Environmental Projection Agency), James Porter (Universityof Georgia), and Kathleen Segerson (University of Connecticut). Although the reviewers listed above have provided many constructivecomments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the conclusionsor recommendations nor did they see the final draft of the reportbefore its release. The review of this report was overseen by Dr.Robert Frosch (Harvard University). Appointed by the National ResearchCouncil, he was responsible for making certain that an independentexamination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutionalprocedures and that all review comments were carefully considered.Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirelywith the authoring committee and the institution.