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(Sackler NAS Colloquium) Self-Organized Complexity in the Physical, Biological, and Social Sciences (2002)
National Academy of Sciences (NAS)

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. "Predictability of catastrophic events: Material rupture, earthquakes, turbulence, financial crashes, and human births." (Sackler NAS Colloquium) Self-Organized Complexity in the Physical, Biological, and Social Sciences. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2002.

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Front Matter (R1-R6)
Introduction: Self-organized complexity in the physical, biological, and social sciences (2463-2465)
Fractal dynamics in physiology: Alterations with disease and aging (2466-2472)
Allometric scaling of metabolic rate from molecules and mitochondria to cells and mammals (2473-2478)
Proteins: Paradigms of complexity (2479-2480)
Turbulence in nature and in the laboratory (2481-2486)
What might we learn from climate forecasts? (2487-2492)
'Waves' vs. 'particles' in the atmosphere's phase space: A pathway to long-range forecasting? (2493-2500)
Positive feedback, memory, and the predictability of earthquakes (2501-2508)
Unified scaling law for earthquakes (2509-2513)
Self-organization in leaky threshold systems: The influence of near-mean field dynamics and its implications for earthquakes, neurobiology, and forecasting (2514-2521)
Predictability of catastrophic events: Material rupture, earthquakes, turbulence, financial crashes, and human births (2522-2529)
Self-organization, the cascade model, and natural hazards (2530-2537)
Complexity and robustness (2538-2545)
Natural variability of atmospheric temperatures and geomagnetic intensity over a wide range of time scales (2546-2553)
Wavelet analysis of shoreline change on the Outer Banks of North Carolina: An example of complexity in the marine sciences (2554-2560)
Self-organized complexity in economics and finances (2561-2565)
Random graph models of social networks (2566-2572)
Scaling phenomena in the Internet: Critically examining criticality (2573-2580)

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