National Academies Press: OpenBook
« Previous: 1 Introduction
Page 25
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

2
Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods

There are two basic categories of safety data—exposure data and outcome data (BTS 1999). Exposure data, which measure the susceptibility of an individual or class of individuals to the undesired outcome, include number of trips taken, distance traveled (e.g., vehicle-miles or passenger-miles), and number of travelers; outcome data, which measure untoward or undesirable events, such as crashes, include numbers of accidents, fatalities, and injuries. The committee selected exposure and outcome datasets that could be used to shed light on the issues of concern. Because of the relatively infrequent occurrence of fatalities and severe injuries among children on trips during normal school travel hours, it was necessary to combine multiple years of statistics to obtain reasonable sample sizes. In addition, some otherwise promising datasets were not usable because they lacked the specificity needed to identify incidences or trips related to students going to and from school, or because they could not be paired with the corresponding exposure or outcome data. For example, as noted by Stutts and Hunter (1999, 505):

Traditionally, the U.S. Department of Transportation has relied on state motor vehicle crash data, based on reports completed by police and other law enforcement officers, as their primary source of information on events causing injury to pedestrians and bicyclists. While these data provide considerable information to help guide safety program and countermeasure development, they have often been referred to as ‘the tip of the iceberg’ because they are limited almost entirely to motor vehicle-related events that occur on public roadways. Specifically, they exclude (1) many bicycle-motor vehicle and pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes that occur in non-roadway locations such as parking lots, driveways, and sidewalks; and (2) bicyclist and pedestrian falls or other non-collision events that do not involve a motor vehicle, regardless of whether they occur on a roadway or in a non-roadway location. Even using emergency-room data will not fill in the gaps because many of the injuries may not result in visits to the emergency room, and if they do, the forms that are filled out will not include information on the purpose of the transportation (e.g., pleasure, to/from work, to/from school, etc.).

The various datasets that were examined for possible use in the committee’s analyses are briefly described in this chapter. A detailed description of the three datasets selected, the analyses conducted with each, and the limitations of each for the purposes of this study is then provided. Finally, conclusions are presented.

Page 26
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

DATA SOURCES

The committee identified a number of databases that could be used in assessing the safety of the various student transportation modes; unfortunately, most of the datasets are highly limited, contain data that cannot be used to generalize to the population of interest (i.e., all students in kindergarten through grade 12), or do not include the data categories needed to conduct the analyses of interest (e.g., purpose of trip or time of day). Only one dataset, the Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS), provides any usable exposure data at the national level. The database of the National Association of State Directors for Pupil Transportation Services (NASDPTS), recorded annually in industry journals and School Bus Fleet and School Transportation News magazines, contains the most accurate data available on school bus ridership on a state-by-state basis.1 However, the underlying data collected by the states, in many cases, is used to reimburse school districts for school bus services resulting in an overestimation of the number of student riders. In addition, the database does not contain data on the other modes used by children traveling to and from school. In addition, as with the other datasets, there is a lack of consistency in terminology. For example, some states report ridership based on actual head counts, others base their counts on the number of students “authorized” to use the school bus in their daily commute to and from school, and some also include private school ridership. In this dataset, it should be noted, ridership numbers are attached to trip purpose; however, this dataset could not be linked to others because it does not use the data selection criterion of normal school travel hours that is applied for the other modes. Therefore, the NASDPTS data could not be used for cross-mode comparisons.

Nine national outcome (or crash) datasets were considered by the committee: (a) the National Automotive Sampling System (NASS) General Estimates System (GES), (b) the NASS Crashworthiness Data System (CDS), (c) the NASS Pedestrian Crash Data System (PCDS), (d) the Crash Outcome Data Evaluation System (CODES), (e) the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS), (f) the Kansas Department of Education school bus loading/unloading fatality dataset, (g) the National Transit Database (NTD), (h) the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS), and (i) the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS).2

1

On the basis of this dataset, School Transportation News estimates annual school bus ridership to be approximately 10.5 billion. Using the Annual Student Ride Formula, this calculation incorporates estimates for student rides on regular route to-and-from K-12 school service, school-related activity trips, some private and parochial school transportation service, summer school transportation service, and Head Start transportation service. Unlike the data used in the committee’s analyses, this estimate is not restricted to children 5 to 18 years of age, specific time periods during the day, and specific months of the year.

2

The committee was interested in examining state fatality and injury data, as well as insurance industry data, but did not have time or resources available to do so for all 50 states. The committee did select two states (Texas and California) for which available fatality and injury data were obtained and analyzed; however, the data could not be compared directly with the national data because of the lack of data for nonbus modes and the small counts. In addition, the committee could not easily access crash and injury data from the Department of Education. These data and data from local school districts could also prove valuable.

Page 27
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

GES, which became operational in 1988, contains data from a nationally representative sample of police-reported motor vehicle crashes of all types. The reports are chosen from 60 areas that reflect the geography, roadway mileage, population, and traffic density of the United States. Data are collected weekly from approximately 400 police jurisdictions, from which about 50,000 police accident reports (PARs) are randomly sampled each year. PARs are completed by police officers investigating crashes that result in personal injury and/or property damage above the state’s reporting threshold. For example, in the state of Texas, if a vehicle involved in a crash is towed, a PAR must be completed, while in the state of California, one must be completed if property damage is estimated to be $500 or more. Each state, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands has a unique crash report form. The reader is referred to the State Crash Report Forms Catalog 1999 Update (NHTSA 1999), which contains a copy of each state’s form, as well as the state crash reporting threshold. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) encourages uniformity across states in the data elements contained on the crash report form, and for this purpose encourages the use of American National Standards Institute (ANSI) D-16 (Manual on Classification of Motor Vehicle Traffic Accidents) and D-20 (Data Element Dictionary for Traffic Records Systems). NHTSA, in collaboration with the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) and the National Association of Governors’ Highway Safety Representatives, has also developed a guideline for collection of crash data, referred to as the Model Minimum Uniform Crash Criteria (NHTSA 1998). Although states do not generally record data from crashes (either on- or off-highway) in which a motor vehicle is not involved, GES is the most complete injury database available.

CDS, which covers about 5,000 accidents in depth annually, contains data on vehicle occupants and is used to study injury mechanisms; precrash events are not examined in detail. This shortcoming is moot for purposes of the committee’s analysis, however, as there are not enough cases involving school and transit vehicles for this dataset to be useful.

PCDS contains data on pedestrian crashes. It is essentially an update (or continuation) of earlier pedestrian data files, such as the Pedestrian Injury Causation Study of 1977 and the special pedestrian data collected for NASS from 1979 through 1987. PCDS data for 1995–1997 relate to only 280 cases, too few for the purposes of this study. Although there is a code for school buses and other buses, none of the 280 cases in the file involved these types of vehicles.

CODES contains linked statewide crash and injury data for 20 states that match vehicle, crash, and human characteristics with final medical and financial outcomes. The purpose of the dataset is to improve decision making related to highway safety and injury control. CODES studies often tend to be in-depth examinations of special problems; however, they usually cover highly limited geographical areas.

HSIS, which contains selected data for eight states (California, Illinois, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Utah, and Washington), is a roadway-based system that includes data on a large number of accident, roadway, and traffic variables. The data are collected annually from the participating states,

Page 28
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

processed, documented, and prepared for analysis. The dataset contains little information specifically about travel to and from school, and thus could not be used to address the issues of concern to the committee.

The Kansas Department of Education conducts an annual national survey of school bus loading and unloading fatalities. As with the NASDPTS dataset, however, it does not contain data for the other modes, making comparison with other studies difficult, if not statistically invalid. For example, there are no comparable loading and unloading data for the other modes.

NTD, which is maintained by the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), contains performance, operational (such as miles traveled, passenger-miles, and passengers carried), and financial information, as well as injury data stratified by mode [motor bus, trolley bus, light rail (passenger rail operating on exclusive or separated guideways)] reported by all transit agencies receiving federal assistance.3 This database, which is used for management and planning by transit systems, as well as for policy analysis and investment decision making, also contains data on numbers of fatalities and injuries by transit system; however, data on age of victim and purpose of trip are not included. The data collected make it possible to compute injury rates for each transit mode for each agency, as well as national rates by mode. However, the data are not reported by passenger age, and this greatly restricts use of the data in school transportation analyses.

NEISS, which has been maintained for approximately 30 years by the Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC), is a representative sampling of U.S. hospital emergency departments (Stutts and Hunter 1999). Its primary purpose has been to provide data on consumer product–related injuries occurring in the United States. In 2000, CPSC initiated an expansion of the system to collect data on all injuries. Thus, although not useful to the committee for the present study, NEISS may provide highly useful information in the future, depending on the data elements that are added.

FARS, established in 1975, provides a census of all highway fatalities (including deaths of school-age children by time of day and vehicle type) in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico. The data in FARS are obtained from existing state data: PARs, state vehicle registration files, state driver licensing files, state highway department data, vital statistics, death certificates, coroner/medical examiner reports, hospital medical reports, emergency medical service reports, and other state records. From these documents, data for more than 100 FARS data elements are obtained. Each year, specific data elements are modified in response to changing user needs, vehicle characteristics,

3

According to the 2002 Public Transportation Fact Book (APTA 2002) there were approximately 9.363 billion total transit trips in 2000; however, this number includes all trips by all transit modes (bus, commuter rail, demand response, light rail, heavy rail, trolley bus, and other). In the committee’s analyses, only data for other buses were included. According to the Fact Book,of these 9.363 billion trips, 5.678 billion were taken by bus, and only about 10 percent of transit trips were provided to riders under 18 years of age. Thus, using NTD data, approximately 568 million trips were taken by children under 18 years of age. This number includes trips taken at all hours during the entire year and also includes children under 5 years of age. School-related trips relevant to this study would be a portion of these trips.

Page 29
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

and highway safety emphasis areas. As specific as the data are, however, no personal identifying information (such as names or addresses) is recorded in FARS. Similar to GES, FARS was developed to provide an overall measure of highway safety, to identify traffic safety problems, and to provide a single objective basis for evaluating the effectiveness of motor vehicle safety standards and highway safety incentives. NHTSA annually provides descriptive statistics for traffic crashes of all degrees of severity in its Traffic Safety Facts series, based on GES and FARS data (see NHTSA 2000 for a recent report). (FARS data may also be accessed on the Internet at www.fars.nhtsa.dot.gov.)

DATASETS USED FOR THIS STUDY

Given the study objectives and the data available in the various datasets, the committee elected to use the following three datasets for its analyses:

  • NPTS, the only national dataset that contains exposure/travel information, used to estimate the number of trips taken and miles traveled by school-age children;

  • FARS, used to analyze student fatalities; and

  • GES, used to analyze student injuries.

Information from all three datasets had to be filtered and grouped to extract relevant inputs for the committee’s risk analyses. Three main generalizations had to be made: (a) time of day was used as a surrogate for school travel trips; (b) age groupings were created from individual age groups; and (c) general transportation mode categories were delineated.

The FARS and GES datasets do not reliably record purpose of trip for each incident. As a surrogate for purpose of trip, the committee defined school travel hours (i.e., hours during which most school-related trips would occur), as follows:4

  • Months of year: September 1 through June 155,6

  • Days of week: Monday through Friday

  • Hours of day: 6:00 a.m. to 8:59 a.m. and 2:00 p.m. to 4:59 p.m.7

4

All child fatalities not recorded during the months, days, and hours shown for school travel are referred to as occurring during non–school travel hours.

5

The GES data analysis included the entire month of June because, while it is possible to select days of the week, it is not possible to break out or select part of a month (i.e., the first 2 weeks but not the last 2 weeks of the month).

6

In this study, more than 180 days are included in the defined “school year” to capture school trips for children attending schools with different schedules. In addition, the GES and NPTS datasets do not allow one to identify holidays or other special days in order to remove data for these days from the analyses. The rates per school day are rough estimates that assume different travel behavior for children during vacations (i.e., significantly fewer trips during normal school travel hours while on vacation and minimal school bus use).

7

The selection of these hours for school travel omits the transporting of kindergarten children to and from school during midday (for those school districts in which kindergarten is a half-day). A fatality or injury of a kindergartner or bus driver during such a midday trip would not be included in the reported risk calculations. Also omitted are injuries and fatalities that occur on school activity trips that take place during the school day between 9:00 a.m. and 1:59 p.m. or after 5:00 p.m. Thus, trip purpose and time of day are not perfectly correlated.

Page 30
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Because of the limited amount of data in the two output datasets (FARS and GES), an analysis for each age group was not possible. Therefore, the committee created the following four age groupings: 5–10 years of age, 11–13, 14–15, and 16–18. This categorization is associated with the ages at which children change schools (the break around 10–11 years is when children generally move from elementary to middle school; 11–13 years of age maps to middle-school ages, and 14–18 is the rough equivalent of high school ages). These groupings also correspond roughly to transition points in the developmental and behavioral characteristics of children. Further, while the last two age groupings both include high school students, those aged 16–18 are more likely to have a driver’s license (or friends that have one), resulting in a different distribution of travel modes used. In addition, those aged 16–18 are more likely to hold after-school jobs or to participate in after-school activities that require transportation after regularly scheduled school bus service times. Therefore, the committee believed this last age group would be significantly different in both modes of travel used and number/length of trips during normal school travel hours, and thus should be examined separately.

There are many ways to classify injury and fatality data. Table 2-1 shows a classification consisting of 16 categories. FARS and GES provide data for 14 of these categories; categories 6 and 8 do not include motor vehicles. For much of the analysis, these 16 categories were combined into six more general categories:

  • Categories 1 and 2—school bus–related crashes;

  • Categories 3, 4, and 5—passenger vehicle crashes;

  • Categories 6 and 7—pedestrian crashes;

  • Categories 8, 9, and 10—bicyclist crashes;

  • Categories 11 and 12—other bus crashes; and

  • Categories 13, 14, and 15—motorcycle crashes.

Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey

Description

NPTS serves as the nation’s inventory of daily personal travel. It is a computer-assisted telephone interview survey of households in the United States. For each trip made during a preselected 24-hour time period, data are gathered regarding purpose of trip, mode of travel, length of trip, day of travel, vehicle occupancy, driver characteristics (e.g., age, gender, worker status, education level), and vehicle attributes (e.g., make, model, model year, annual miles driven, odometer readings). These data are gathered for all areas of the country, all days of the week, and all months of the year. Data are collected only for the civilian, noninstitutionalized population in the United States aged 5 years and older. NPTS does not include responses from military personnel living on base or overseas, or from residents of nursing homes, assisted-living facilities, long-term medical institutions, college dormitories, or prisons.

NPTS has been conducted five times—in 1969, 1977, 1983, 1990, and 1995; the sixth survey was initiated in late 2001. Since the survey contents and method-

Page 31
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-1 Categories Used to Classify Injury and Fatality Incident Data

Category

Description

1

Child school bus passenger in a school bus–related crasha

2

Child pedestrian in a school bus–related crash

3

Child passenger in passenger vehicle driven by an adult

4

Driver younger than 19, passenger vehicle

5

Child passenger in passenger vehicle, driver younger than 19

6

Child pedestrian not involved in a motor vehicle crashb

7

Child pedestrian incident, not school bus–relatedc

8

Child bicyclist not involved in a motor vehicle crashb

9

Child bicyclist in a school bus–related crash

10

Child bicyclist not involved in a school bus–related crash

11

Other bus, driver younger than 19

12

Child passenger in other bus

13

Child passenger on motorcycle operated by an adult

14

Motorcycle, driver (operator) younger than 19

15

Child passenger on a motorcycle operated by a driver younger than 19

16

Unknown

a Includes any child riding in a vehicle being used as a school bus.

b Not included in FARS or GES.

c This category includes child pedestrian injuries and fatalities occurring in other bus-related crashes as well as in incidents with passenger vehicles driven by teens.

ology have been modified each time, data from multiple years cannot be used in one analysis without some type of data manipulation. Therefore, the committee used data from the most recent survey available at the time (the 1995 survey) for its analyses. In 1995, NPTS consisted of a national sample of 21,020 households and an additional 21,013 households in five add-on areas (New York; Massachusetts; Oklahoma City and Tulsa, Oklahoma; and Seattle, Washington). The data were collected from May 1995 through July 1996 (Chen et al. 2000). [See RTI and FHWA (1997) and Hu and Young (1999) for an in-depth description of the 1995 NPTS survey procedures and methodology.]

NPTS is a random sample of the nine census regions stratified by population size and other factors. The 1995 survey began with 160,000 telephone numbers, approximately 45 percent of which were dropped when there was no response. Because the stratification was done using telephone numbers, all households without a telephone—a group in which households at the poverty level are over-represented—were excluded.

It was determined that approximately 72 percent of households that received the travel log filled it out. The overall response rates were 55.3 percent for household-level data and 34.3 percent for person-level data.

Page 32
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Analyses

Given the data fields available in NPTS, it is possible to extract data on trips made and miles traveled by transportation mode, age, date, time of day, purpose of trip, and type of geographic region (i.e., rural versus urban).8 On the basis of this dataset, it was estimated that approximately 50 million students (Census Bureau 2000) made 9.7 billion trips (5.9 billion urban and 3.8 billion rural) to school during normal morning school travel hours and traveled approximately 44.0 billion student-miles (20.0 billion urban and 24.0 billion rural). Table 2-2 provides data on number of trips, and Table 2-3 shows student-miles traveled during normal morning and afternoon school travel hours. Tables containing detailed trip and student-mile data are provided in Annex 2-1. The data suggest that, on average, each student made approximately 194 trips during normal morning school travel hours throughout the school year—an average of 1.1 school trips per student each school morning.9 The definition of a trip is one-way travel from one address to another. Thus, if a person travels from home to school to drop off a student, and then goes to work, the driver has made two trips and the student one. If a child walks to the bus stop and rides a bus to school, this is considered one trip.

It was estimated that during normal afternoon school travel hours, these same students made 13.8 billion trips (8.6 billion urban and 5.2 billion rural) and traveled approximately 69.3 billion student-miles (34.7 billion urban and 34.6 billion rural). The data suggest that, on average, each student made approximately 276 trips during normal afternoon school travel hours throughout the school year, which translates to approximately 1.5 trips per student each afternoon. Given that it is known, at least anecdotally, that more trips are taken in the afternoon than in the morning travel period (e.g., to run errands, go to the library, go to lessons, meet friends), one would expect there to be more afternoon than morning trips on average.

For each analysis, the sample size (N), the estimated statistic (trips or student-miles) based on the sample size, and the standard error are reported in the tables in Annex 2-1. These data are the basis for the analyses in Chapter 3 that compare the risk to students of traveling to and from school during normal school travel hours using the various modes.

Limitations

The committee’s analyses were hampered by problems inherent in the quantity and quality of the data, especially difficulties in obtaining accurate and reliable enrollment and ridership data. This was especially the case when the committee tried to gather data at other than the aggregate level. As noted, the NPTS data are based on a sampling of some 42,000 households in the United States, and

8

In the 1995 NPTS dataset, urbanized areas were defined as areas having population densities of at least 1,000 persons per square mile (RTI and FHWA 1997).

9

As noted earlier, time of day rather than stated purpose of trip was used to determine school-related travel trips because the outcome datasets (i.e., FARS and GES) do not report purpose-of-trip information reliably.

Page 33
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-2 Population Estimates for Number of Student Trips Made During Normal Morning and Afternoon School Travel Hours by Mode

Mode

Morning

Afternoon

Total

Urban

Rural

Total

Urban

Rural

Total

Passenger vehicle

3,279,726,554

2,092,628,516

5,372,355,070

4,831,405,530

3,049,681,460

7,881,086,990

13,253,442,060

School bus

1,309,995,348

1,441,861,776

2,751,857,124

1,309,959,884

1,416,289,818

2,726,249,702

5,478,106,826

Other bus

163,558,718

36,486,530

200,045,248

198,811,400

40,970,533

239,781,933

439,827,181

Bicycle

58,188,176

16,409,185

74,597,361

220,961,475

156,812,750

377,774,225

452,371,586

Walk

777,336,383

133,346,747

910,683,130

1,428,155,719

358,272,221

1,786,427,940

2,697,111,070

Other

28,403,226

1,488,789

29,892,015

34,962,929

6,140,836

41,103,765

70,995,780

Unknown

263,551,965

68,015,175

331,567,140

567,138,229

189,249,284

756,387,513

1,087,954,653

Total

5,880,760,371

3,790,236,718

9,670,997,089

8,591,395,167

5,217,416,902

13,808,812,069

23,479,809,158

Page 34
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-3 Population Estimates for Student-Miles Traveled During Normal Morning and Afternoon School Travel Hours by Mode

Mode

Morning

Afternoon

Total

Urban

Rural

Total

Urban

Rural

Total

Passenger vehicle

11,878,985,126

13,133,834,292

25,012,819,418

27,063,682,981

23,290,793,916

50,354,476,897

75,367,296,315

School bus

5,512,961,165

10,175,511,847

15,688,473,012

5,142,320,970

10,130,758,328

15,273,079,298

30,961,552,310

Other bus

1,504,235,227

574,239,365

2,078,474,592

1,004,595,164

651,981,293

1,656,576,457

3,735,051,049

Bicycle

70,908,770

9,919,170

80,827,940

181,293,770

109,111,080

290,404,850

371,232,790

Walk

404,887,916

70,401,933

475,289,849

791,461,811

32,911,699

824,373,510

1,299,663,359

Other

256,003,012

1,544,134

257,547,146

288,301,481

43,662,333

331,963,814

589,510,960

Unknown

390,248,076

65,991,805

456,239,881

256,879,036

182,406,298

439,285,334

895,525,215

Total

20,018,229,293

24,031,442,548

44,049,671,841

34,728,535,213

34,621,458,107

69,349,993,320

113,399,665,161

Page 35
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

they cannot be used reliably for analyses at the state and community levels with any degree of confidence. Thus the committee’s ability to gauge the effects of state-by-state or local differences was constrained. While it was recognized that substantial variation exists in the modes of student travel according to location and such factors as climate, infrastructure, and local economic and demographic characteristics, the committee was unable to measure this variation directly. Without such data, conclusions concerning the direct effects of local conditions on the numbers of fatalities and injuries could not be drawn since rates and risk ratios could not be computed. In addition, the data in the NPTS database are self-reported, a feature associated with many well-known limitations. For example, there may be an undercount of trips because, in the case of pupil transportation, the bus trip to school may be documented, but not the trip between home and the bus stop. All travel data for children aged 5–13 are reported by their parents, while travel data for teens aged 14–17 may be either self-reported or reported for them by household adults. Teenagers may not report all afternoon trips they made, or parents responding for their older children may not be aware of all the trips the children made.

The NPTS survey is intended to gather information on personal travel of U.S. households, including why, how, when, where from, where to, how frequently, how long, and with whom trips were made. The survey is not limited to schoolage children and not focused on school-related transportation—small facets of daily travel that are captured by the dataset only to a limited extent. This can be seen by the extremely small sample size (N) shown in the tables in Annex 2-1.

Fatality Analysis Reporting System

Description

Number of fatalities was one of two outcome measures examined by the committee. These data are contained in FARS, a database first developed in 1975 that contains only data on all fatal traffic crashes that occur on public roadways in the United States.10 Data in this national database are extracted from medical examiner, coroner, emergency medical, and police accident reports, as well as from driver, vehicle, and roadway classification records. There is detailed information in the database on crash, vehicle, driver, and occupant characteristics.

Analyses

Analyses were performed using 9 years of FARS data (1991–1999). In these 9 years, a total of 51,350 children between the ages of 5 and 18 were killed in all traffic crashes in the United States (Table 2-4). Of these, 7,470 were killed during normal school travel hours,11 2,719 were killed during school session

10

To be classified as a fatal crash, an incident must involve a vehicle occupant or nonmotorist who dies within 30 days of the crash from injuries caused by the crash.

11

These tables include data for the previously defined 205 school travel days. Extra days include holidays and other weekday nonschool days. Because of the extra days included in the tables, fatalities for non–school bus modes may be overrepresented. See note 4.

Page 36
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-4 Child (5–18 Years of Age) Deaths in FARS by Year (1991–1999)

Year

Fatalities

1991

5,748

1992

5,397

1993

5,506

1994

5,772

1995

5,860

1996

5,847

1997

5,849

1998

5,690

1999

5,681

Total

51,350

hours, and 40,655 were killed during all nonschool hours. Table 2-5 breaks these values down by the 15 fatality categories used by the committee. Details on the school session time and non–school time categories can be found in Annex 2-2.

The FARS variable “roadway functional class” was used to distinguish between “rural” and “other” (basically urban) crash sites for mapping to the rural/ urban classification used in the NPTS analyses. Table 2-6 shows the distribution of normal school travel time fatalities for urban versus rural geographic locations. Table 2-7 shows the distribution of fatalities by individual ages, and Table 2-8 shows the distribution by age group.

Limitations

The FARS database, being limited to fatalities, is likely to overstate or understate the incidence of uncommon events, such as fatalities not involving passenger vehicles, when only a single year of data is considered. An extremely rare event, such as an incident resulting in multiple fatalities to pupils aboard a school bus, can skew the data by inflating the risk for that mode during the year of occurrence and can change the interpretation or ranking of risk for that mode. For these reasons, fatality data were examined for a longer period.

As noted, moreover, the national databases used to examine the safety of children traveling to and from school—FARS for fatality counts and GES for non-fatal injury estimates—provide data only for incidents in which a motor vehicle is involved. There is no national database to record pedestrian and bicycling fatalities and injuries not involving a motor vehicle. The result is underestimation of the number of fatalities and injuries involving the non–motor vehicle modes, which hampered the committee’s analyses of the relative safety of these modes. However, FARS and GES do provide some insight into the safety of these modes when they interact with the motor vehicle modes.

Page 37
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-5 Child Fatalities by Time of Day and Fatality Categories (9-Year Totals)

Category

Description

School Travel

School Session

Non-School Times

Total

1

Child school bus passenger fatalitya in a school bus–related crash

41

6

8

55

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

136

16

8

160

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

1,517

660

10,775

12,952

4

16–18 year old driver fatality, all other vehicles

2,545

1,067

13,282

16,894

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a 16–18 year old

1,483

591

8,512

10,586

6

Child passenger fatality (not a motor vehicle crash)b

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

1,177

188

4,661

6,026

8

Child bicyclist fatality (not a motor vehicle crash)b

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

12

0

2

14

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

402

116

2,188

2,706

11

16–18 year old driver fatality, other buses

0

0

1

1

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

5

2

25

32

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

7

5

169

181

14

16–18 year old driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

135

60

931

1,126

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a 16–18 year old

10

8

93

111

Totalc

 

7,470

2,719

40,655

50,844

a This category includes any child riding in a vehicle being used as a school bus.

b Not in FARS data.

c Does not include 506 child fatalities that could not be classified because of incomplete information.

Page 38
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-6 Child Fatalities During School Transport Hours by Fatality Category and Location (N = 7,470)

Category

Description

Fatalities

Rural

Urban

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

23

<1

18

1

41

1

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

64

1

72

3

136

2

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

1,057

22

460

17

1,517

20

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

1,927

40

618

23

2,545

34

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

1,046

22

437

16

1,483

20

6

Child passenger fatality (not a motor vehicle crash)

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

403

8

774

29

1,177

16

8

Child bicyclist fatality (not a motor vehicle crash)

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

3

<1

9

<1

12

<1

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

172

4

230

<1

402

5

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

4

<1

1

0.0

5

<1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

2

<1

5

<1

7

<1

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

77

2

58

2

135

2

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

7

<1

3

<1

10

<1

Total

 

4,785

100

2,685

100

7,470

100

Page 39
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-7 Child Fatalities During School Transport Hours by Fatality Category and Age (N = 7,470)

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

0

0

3

5

7

0

1

4

7

3

7

3

0

1

41

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

35

25

17

16

7

5

9

4

6

6

3

0

1

2

136

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

170

136

126

128

87

100

81

78

79

80

81

90

113

168

1,517

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

0

0

0

0

2

1

2

9

11

36

103

793

766

822

2,545

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

10

11

4

9

17

10

19

36

64

168

291

357

311

176

1,483

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

88

128

113

91

99

104

92

101

71

91

67

55

49

28

1,177

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

1

1

0

1

2

0

2

2

1

0

0

1

0

1

12

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

13

23

30

31

27

41

51

45

43

24

26

15

20

13

402

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

1

1

0

0

5

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

3

3

7

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

1

4

11

25

15

29

47

135

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

3

2

2

10

Total

 

317

325

295

282

248

262

258

282

286

420

605

1,333

1,294

1,263

7,470

Page 40
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-8 Child Fatalities During School Transport Hours by Fatality Category and Age Group (N = 7,470)

Category

Description

Age Group (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

15

0.9

12

1.5

10

1.0

4

0.1

41

0.5

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

105

6.1

19

2.3

9

0.9

3

0.1

136

1.8

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

747

43.2

238

28.8

161

15.7

371

9.5

1,517

20.3

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

3

0.2

22

2.7

139

13.6

2,381

61.2

2,545

34.1

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

61

3.5

119

14.4

459

44.8

844

21.7

1,483

19.9

6

Child passenger fatality (not a motor vehicle crash)

Page 41
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

623

36.0

264

32.0

158

15.4

132

3.4

1,177

15.8

8

Child bicyclist fatality (not a motor vehicle crash)

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

5

0.3

5

0.6

0

0

2

0.1

12

0.2

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

165

9.5

139

16.8

50

4.9

48

1.2

402

5.4

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

1

0.1

2

0.2

1

0.1

1

0.0

5

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

0

0

0

0

1

0.1

6

0.2

7

0.1

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

3

0.2

5

0.6

36

3.5

91

2.3

135

1.8

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

1

0.1

1

0.1

1

0.1

7

0.2

10

0.1

Total

 

1,729

100.0

826

100.0

1,025

100.0

3,890

100.0

7,470

100.0

Page 42
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

The committee encountered two other difficulties in attempting to analyze fatalities that occurred when students were being transported to and from school and school-related activities. First, it was not possible to determine that a trip was, in fact, a school trip (going either to or from school or to or from a school-sponsored activity), especially for the non–school bus modes. Second, pedestrian fatalities resulting from crashes involving other buses could not be identified. For example, if a student were fatally injured crossing the road to get to a transit stop, this would not be recorded as a transit bus–related fatality in the database.

General Estimates System

Description

Data in the GES database are subdivided into three levels of nonfatal injury— levels A, B, and C—and one fatal injury category. This ANSI-developed injury severity rating scale is used by most states:

  • Level A: incapacitating injury—Any nonfatal injury that prevents the injured person from walking, driving, or normally continuing the activities he or she was able to perform before the injury occurred. Included are injuries such as severe lacerations, broken or distorted limbs, skull or chest injuries, abdominal injuries, unconsciousness at or when taken from the accident scene, and an inability to leave the accident scene without assistance. Momentary unconsciousness is excluded.

  • Level B: nonincapacitating evident injury—Any injury, other than a fatal or incapacitating injury, that is evident to observers at the scene of the accident where the injury occurred. Included are injuries such as lumps on the head, abrasions, bruises, and minor lacerations. Limping (the injury cannot be seen) is excluded.

  • Level C: possible injury—Any injury reported or claimed that is not fatal, incapacitating, or nonincapacitating evident. Included are such injuries as momentary unconsciousness; claims of injuries not evident; limping; and complaints of pain, nausea, or hysteria.

These categories are quite subjective, meaning that different individuals (e.g., police officers) who apply the scale may interpret the definitions differently. Further, because some states do not use this classification, a state’s classification of injuries may not correlate with that in GES or with those used by other states. Finally, because only three categories are used, injuries of vastly different severity must, at times, be grouped at the same severity level: “For example, under the ANSI D16.1 scale, injuries ranging from broken arms to quad-riplegia are all classified as incapacitating injuries” (TRB 1989, 54).

GES provides information on a nationally representative (stratified) sample of all severities of police-reported traffic crashes within 60 geographic sites across the United States. It is a probability sample of approximately 45,000 annual U.S. police-reported crashes on public roads that result in property dam-

Page 43
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

age, injury, or death. GES estimates are intended to provide information on a national level about motor vehicle crashes and the vehicles and people involved. The purpose of GES is to track trends in these national-level estimates so that highway safety problem areas can be identified, to provide a basis for regulatory and consumer initiatives, and to form the basis for cost–benefit analyses of highway safety initiatives. [See NHTSA (1991) for information on the set of crashes described by GES estimates, the sample selection procedures, the estimation procedure, and the reliability of those estimates in terms of sampling error.]

Analyses

The committee performed analyses on 9 years of GES nonfatal injury data (1991–1999) to determine the number of nonfatal injuries involving each mode of interest for the age groupings of interest during the defined normal school travel hours. Given that portions of a month (e.g., the first 2 weeks but not the last 2) could not be segregated, the analyses were conducted for the entire months of September through June.

Although the injuries in GES are classified into three levels, the small number of accidents and injuries for some of the age categories within a mode resulted in large standard error estimates. In addition, some category C injuries are severe (e.g., whiplash and concussion) and the committee wanted to be sure not to miss serious but unobservable injuries. Finally, for the travel modes that the committee used, the percentage of (A+B) injuries when compared to (A+B+C) were significant. For the school bus, other bus, and the two private vehicle categories, (A+B) was between 37 and 40 percent of the total. The effect of including C categories would not change the relative comparison among these modes. For the other two transportation categories (walking and bicycling), (A+B) was 68 to 70 percent of the total injuries. This is because of the higher lethality of accidents involving children not protected by a vehicle. An injury rate analysis based on categories (A+B) would look very similar to the one in the report with the exception of walking and bicycling. These two modes would have their injury rates increase relative to the other modes by approximately 70 percent. Therefore, although the range of injuries that are included in the A, B, and C categories is quite broad, the three injury levels were collapsed to ensure sufficient sample sizes within each category for the committee’s analyses. Given the already significant differences in the risk rates and the committee’s desire to capture all injuries, the committee felt that doing separate analyses based on (A+B) injuries were not warranted.

From 1991 through 1999, an estimated 5,714,048 school-age children were injured, 1,379,394 of whom received their injuries during normal school travel hours (see Tables 2-9 through 2-11).12 Of the latter injuries, 40 percent

12

These injuries occurred during normal school travel hours as defined previously, but the totals given are based on 230 days (not the approximately 180 school days each year) because of limitations in accessing only school days. Inclusion of these additional days leads to an overestimate of the number of injuries associated with school travel for the non–school bus modes.

Page 44
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-9 Estimated Total Child Injuries (1991–1999)

Category

Description

Population Estimate

1

Child school bus passenger injury in a school bus–related crash

60,883

2

Child pedestrian injury in a school bus–related crash

5,001

3

Child passenger injury in all other vehicles driven by an adult

2,151,848

4

16–18 year old driver injury, all other vehicles

1,869,850

5

Child passenger injury in all other vehicles driven by a 16–18 year old

1,037,154

7

Child pedestrian injury, not school bus–related

251,264

9

Child bicyclist injury in a school bus–related crash

735

10

Child bicyclist injury not in a school bus–related crash

274,235

11

16–18 year old driver injury, other buses

142

12

Child passenger injury in other buses

11,942

13

Child passenger injury on motorcycle operated by an adult

7,675

14

16–18 year old driver (operator) injury, motorcycle

38,010

16

Other

5,309

Total

 

5,714,048

occurred to pupils traveling in a passenger vehicle driven by an operator 19 years of age or older, and 32 percent to students aged 16–18 who were driving a motor vehicle. Just over 3.5 percent were student passengers on a school bus, and only 0.25 percent were student pedestrians injured in school bus–related crashes. Of the total student injuries, 5 percent are estimated to be to bicyclists in crashes not involving school buses. Table 2-10 shows the estimated total number of injuries to school-age children during normal school travel hours for the years 1991 through 1999, inclusive, broken down by age and mode categories.

It is interesting to note that for each of the four age groupings, numbers of injuries sustained in passenger vehicle crashes are consistently highest relative to the other modal categories. For example, of the injuries sustained by students 5–10 years of age, 72 percent occurred when they were riding in a passenger vehicle driven by an operator 19 years of age or older. For those aged 11–13, this category also represents the largest proportion of injuries—49 percent. Of the injuries sustained by students aged 14–15, 39 percent occurred when they were riding in a passenger vehicle driven by someone under age 19. And for those aged 16–18, the majority of injuries (62 percent) occurred when they themselves were driving a motor vehicle. Table 2-11 shows for comparison the estimated total number of injuries for the same breakdowns for non–school travel hours for the same years.

Page 45
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-10 Estimated Child Injuries During Normal School Travel Hours by Age Category

Category

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

1

14,388

4.86

15,321

8.82

9,758

5.05

10,899

1.52

50,366

3.65

2

1,283

0.43

1,287

0.74

857

0.44

436

0.06

3,863

0.28

3

213,935

72.27

84,854

48.85

64,341

33.30

96,038

13.40

459,168

33.29

4

1,476

0.50

2,548

1.47

14,019

7.26

447,522

62.46

465,565

33.75

5

9,259

3.13

16,860

9.71

75,718

39.19

136,482

19.05

238,319

17.28

7

33,217

11.22

24,122

13.89

12,113

6.27

9,686

1.35

79,138

5.74

9

169

0.06

140

0.08

35

0.02

335

0.05

679

0.05

10

20,833

7.04

25,077

14.44

14,115

7.31

8,949

1.25

68,974

5.00

11

0

0.00

0

0.00

0

0.00

122

0.02

122

0.01

12

1,262

0.43

2,315

1.33

669

0.35

669

0.09

4,915

0.36

13

107

0.04

161

0.09

40

0.02

274

0.04

582

0.04

14

36

0.01

403

0.23

1,524

0.79

5,088

0.71

7,051

0.51

16

38

0.01

614

0.35

0

0.00

0

0.00

652

0.05

Total

296,003

100.00

173,702

100.00

193,189

100.00

716,500

100.00

1,379,394

100.01

Page 46
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

TABLE 2-11 Estimated Child Injuries During Non–School Travel Hours by Age Category

Category

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

Estimate

%

1

3,797

0.43

1,646

0.33

3,495

0.59

1,578

0.07

10,516

0.24

2

354

0.04

645

0.13

86

0.01

54

0.00

1,139

0.03

3

679,334

77.65

326,024

64.76

237,207

40.27

450,114

19.01

1,692,679

39.05

4

3,141

0.36

9,575

1.90

57,555

9.77

1,334,016

56.35

1,404,287

32.40

5

31,854

3.64

56,564

11.24

216,570

36.77

493,848

20.86

798,836

18.43

7

78,389

8.96

38,185

7.58

23,677

4.02

31,872

1.35

172,123

3.97

9

0

0.00

56

0.01

0

0.00

0

0.00

56

0.00

10

72,025

8.23

64,743

12.86

39,091

6.64

29,403

1.24

205,262

4.74

11

0

0.00

0

0.00

0

0.00

20

0.00

20

0.00

12

2,117

0.24

1,030

0.20

1,338

0.23

2,544

0.11

7,029

0.16

13

1,177

0.14

987

0.20

1,283

0.22

3,644

0.15

7,091

0.16

14

1,185

0.14

3,334

0.66

7,851

1.33

18,590

0.79

30,960

0.71

16

1,482

0.17

662

0.13

872

0.15

1,642

0.07

4,658

0.11

Total

874,855

100.00

503,451

100.00

589,025

100.00

2,367,325

100.00

4,334,656

100.00

Page 47
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Limitations

Given the sampling procedures for the GES database, there are some limitations due to sampling error and standard error; there is also a potential lack of representativeness. For example, Traffic Safety Facts (NHTSA 2000) reports that there were 7,500 school bus passenger injuries, with a standard error of approximately 1,300, and there were 350 pedestrian injuries sustained in school bus–related crashes, with a standard error of 300. These standard error estimates are taken from the published generalized broad error estimates and are not derived individually for each individual estimate. This lack of statistical precision diminishes the confidence in the dataset. Again, however, GES is the best database available for analyzing transportation-related injuries to students and addressing the issues of concern to the committee.

According to NHTSA (2000), the GES data elements may be modified yearly, leading to some inconsistencies in the dataset. These inconsistencies may in turn limit the usability of the data for answering particular questions, especially if data for multiple years are being examined. Moreover, as with FARS, GES does not capture purpose of trip; therefore, analysis of the data for preselected time periods captures all types of trips occurring during those times, which may include non-school-related trips, especially in the afternoon time period.

Another limitation of this database is that there is an underreporting of injured passengers in some of the sampling units because only those crashes that resulted in a PAR and exceeded the particular state’s reporting threshold level had the potential to be included in the dataset. There could also be under-reporting of serious injury because internal injuries such as intra-abdominal and intracranial injury may not be detectable at the scene. On the other hand, given the imprecision of the category definitions, particularly Level C (possible injury), and the policy in some districts of transporting to the hospital all students involved in a bus crash, there could also be an overreporting of injuries in this category. Another limitation is that injury data for light rail transit, as well as for bicycling and walking, obtained from GES include only injuries occurring in crashes that involved a collision with a motor vehicle. For the purposes of the data, light rail vehicles are not considered to be motor vehicles because they do not operate on roadways; thus injuries sustained aboard that mode are not included in the dataset. Unfortunately, these data are largely absent in other sources as well.

CONCLUSIONS

Data problems occur with fatality and injury data for children traveling to and from school and school-related activities regardless of the mode used. For the issues addressed in this study, the available data have many limitations: needed data are not available, there are definitional inconsistencies across databases and across years for the same database, there are recording errors in the datasets, and there are unknowns and missing data in the datasets that need to be taken into account.

Page 48
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Although numerous datasets exist, few contain representative data in sufficient quantity to be used for the types of detailed analyses conducted by the committee. At the same time, sufficient data at the community level are not easily accessible, if they are available at all. This diminishes the completeness of assessments that may be conducted and in turn impedes the ability to manage the risks involved in school transportation appropriately.

Currently available data on fatalities and injuries associated with transportation to and from school and school-related activities are illuminating but incomplete. The committee also found it difficult to link the data from multiple databases, especially because of the lack of consistency in terminology and other limitations noted above. One of the primary responsibilities and contributions of the federal agencies whose mission encompasses issues related to school transportation is to collect good, accurate, reliable data. If done correctly, a consistent, comprehensive data collection effort would benefit all highway modes, including school transportation. However, obtaining more thorough and complete data is not without cost. Given the large numbers of fatalities and injuries that occur on highways in the United States and the fact that relatively few of these involve students during school travel hours, the benefits of any additional data collection efforts need to be fully considered before such efforts are recommended or implemented.

REFERENCES

Abbreviations

APTA American Public Transportation Association

BTS Bureau of Transportation Statistics

FHWA Federal Highway Administration

NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

RTI Research Triangle Institute

TRB Transportation Research Board


APTA. 2002. 2002 Public Transportation Fact Book. Washington, D.C.

BTS. 1999. Transportation Statistics Annual Report 1999. U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, D.C.

Census Bureau. 2000. Statistical Abstract of the United States. Washington, D.C.

Chen, L.-H., S. P. Baker, E. R. Braver, and G. Li. 2000. Carrying Passengers as a Risk Factor for Crashes Fatal to 16- and 17-Year-Old Drivers. Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 283, No. 12, pp. 1578–1582.

Hu, P. S., and J. R. Young. 1999. Summary of Travel Trends 1995 Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., Dec. www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohikm/nptspage.htm.

NHTSA. 1991. National Accident Sampling System General Estimates System Technical Note, 1988 to 1990. Washington, D.C.

NHTSA. 1998. Model Minimum Uniform Crash Criteria (MMUCC). Washington, D.C. www.nhtsa.dot.gov/people/ncsa/codes/mindata/guideline.pdf.

Page 49
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

NHTSA. 1999. State Crash Report Forms Catalog 1999 Update. Washington, D.C. www.nhtsa.dot.gov/people/perform/trafrecords/.

NHTSA. 2000. Traffic Safety Facts 1999: A Compilation of Motor Vehicle Crash Data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System and the General Estimates System. Washington, D.C.

RTI and FHWA. 1997. 1995 NPTS User’s Guide. Publication FHWA-PF-98-002; HPM-40/10-97 (2M)EW. North Carolina. www.cta.ornl.gov/npts/.

Stutts, J. C., and W. W. Hunter. 1999. Motor Vehicle and Roadway Factors in Pedestrian and Bicyclist Injuries: An Examination Based on Emergency Department Data. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 31, pp. 505–514.

TRB. 1989. Special Report 222: Improving School Bus Safety. National Research Council, Washington, D.C.

Page 50
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 1 Urban Number of Trips During Normal Morning School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

1,477,264,544

531,098,508

400,517,876

870,845,627

3,279,726,554

 

N

1,651

607

422

841

3,521

 

Standard error

86,534,714

39,381,074

33,741,888

59,542,291

131,232,579

School bus

Population estimate

563,855,526

412,838,530

214,978,726

118,322,566

1,309,995,348

 

N

805

475

259

157

1,696

 

Standard error

40,644,901

41,412,303

23,896,577

15,436,501

73,869,310

Other bus

Population estimate

36,755,175

33,949,898

39,948,869

52,904,776

163,558,718

 

N

36

41

45

59

181

 

Standard error

10,589,136

9,116,062

9,114,959

9,569,792

21,750,083

Bicycle

Population estimate

20,785,924

20,008,211

17,183,912

210,129

58,188,176

 

N

13

22

13

1

49

 

Standard error

8,590,618

5,895,656

6,806,737

210,129

13,423,861

Page 51
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Walk

Population estimate

382,922,367

177,262,345

131,747,013

85,404,658

777,336,383

 

N

386

201

106

92

785

 

Standard error

35,079,684

19,204,831

31,726,354

14,848,258

57,375,092

Other

Population estimate

3,619,997

1,643,831

5,070,090

18,069,308

28,403,226

 

N

5

4

9

24

42

 

Standard error

2,325,148

894,971

1,896,490

5,267,489

6,327,733

Unknown

Population estimate

127,369,982

81,319,258

30,098,173

24,764,552

263,551,965

 

N

147

86

38

40

311

 

Standard error

24,004,236

16,209,711

10,494,355

7,951,869

36,051,506

Total

Population estimate

2,612,573,515

1,258,120,581

839,544,659

1,170,521,616

5,880,760,371

 

N

3,043

1,436

892

1,214

6,585

 

Standard error

110,717,079

65,908,724

55,206,094

66,764,357

179,625,941

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 52
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 2 Urban Student-Miles Traveled During Normal Morning School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

4,761,281,944

1,791,096,290

1,372,679,540

3,953,927,352

11,878,985,126

 

N

1,633

595

405

825

3,458

 

Standard error

86,407,831

39,129,419

33,452,673

58,839,703

130,576,242

School bus

Population estimate

2,045,973,075

1,701,853,260

1,191,692,999

573,441,831

5,512,961,165

 

N

774

455

242

149

1,620

 

Standard error

40,373,188

40,377,136

23,627,100

15,372,813

72,953,572

Other bus

Population estimate

101,856,220

335,248,751

822,252,619

244,877,637

1,504,235,227

 

N

33

37

38

51

159

 

Standard error

10,484,740

9,004,633

8,699,763

9,122,355

21,198,568

Bike

Population estimate

15,939,345

27,286,852

27,577,509

105,064

70,908,770

 

N

13

22

13

1

49

 

Standard error

8,590,618

5,895,656

6,806,737

210,129

13,423,861

Page 53
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Walk

Population estimate

138,788,540

90,571,125

113,672,823

61,855,428

404,887,916

 

N

386

201

106

92

785

 

Standard error

35,079,684

19,204,831

31,726,354

14,848,258

57,375,092

Other

Population estimate

43,808,700

9,985,665

40,867,471

161,341,177

256,003,012

 

N

4

4

6

16

30

 

Standard error

2,299,055

894,971

1,825,485

5,058,794

6,037,580

Unknown

Population estimate

193,034,998

132,875,825

13,464,980

50,872,274

390,248,076

 

N

141

78

35

35

289

 

Standard error

23,905,839

16,080,068

6,334,804

7,923,014

34,935,910

Total

Population estimate

7,300,682,821

4,088,917,768

3,582,207,941

5,046,420,763

20,018,229,293

 

N

2,984

1,392

845

1,169

6,390

 

Standard error

110,479,419

64,854,690

54,366,841

65,892,631

178,179,617

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 54
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 3 Rural Number of Trips During Normal Morning School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

860,498,695

316,247,388

276,658,155

639,224,278

2,092,628,516

 

N

932

344

300

644

2,220

 

Standard error

64,461,356

33,092,480

29,690,045

49,379,249

105,798,541

School bus

Population estimate

683,319,840

443,993,597

219,232,462

95,315,877

1,441,861,776

 

N

991

582

300

167

2,040

 

Standard error

46,616,256

35,880,120

27,191,996

14,027,341

77,506,971

Other bus

Population estimate

17,925,546

7,869,828

8,524,793

2,166,362

36,486,530

 

N

24

17

8

7

56

 

Standard error

6,614,423

3,671,130

3,803,890

1,739,721

9,210,307

Bike

Population estimate

9,564,192

4,776,599

1,876,239

192,156

16,409,185

 

N

8

7

1

4

20

 

Standard error

4,408,397

3,260,056

1,876,239

135,007

7,666,113

Page 55
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Walk

Population estimate

63,287,714

49,173,766

9,352,461

11,532,807

133,346,747

 

N

58

38

20

22

138

 

Standard error

13,683,290

12,802,995

4,073,132

3,906,176

22,776,280

Other

Population estimate

0

0

0

1,488,789

1,488,789

 

N

0

0

0

2

2

 

Standard error

0

0

0

1,432,741

1,432,741

Unknown

Population estimate

26,452,451

13,428,648

12,672,985

15,461,090

68,015,175

 

N

48

25

25

21

119

 

Standard error

8,715,177

4,639,218

4,384,690

5,543,581

13,349,986

Total

Population estimate

1,661,048,438

835,489,825

528,317,095

765,381,360

3,790,236,718

 

N

2,061

1,013

654

867

4,595

 

Standard error

84,620,028

56,894,445

41,382,258

52,316,507

145,382,516

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 56
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 4 Rural Student-Miles Traveled to School During Normal Morning SchoolTravel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

5,202,954,714

1,688,664,853

1,813,576,387

4,428,638,338

13,133,834,292

 

N

921

341

293

639

2,194

 

Standard error

64,053,681

32,981,193

29,507,986

49,356,979

105,257,519

School bus

Population estimate

4,381,030,645

3,034,462,519

1,728,722,273

1,031,296,410

10,175,511,847

 

N

977

573

288

164

2,002

 

Standard error

46,282,788

35,773,715

26,859,248

13,960,988

76,995,724

Other bus

Population estimate

380,144,166

84,129,972

62,424,583

47,540,644

574,239,365

 

N

23

15

7

6

51

 

Standard error

6,614,245

3,670,095

3,803,648

1,739,486

9,209,217

Bike

Population estimate

3,615,815

4,152,614

1,876,239

274,503

9,919,170

 

N

8

7

1

3

19

 

Standard error

4,408,397

3,260,056

1,876,239

38,903

7,665,023

Page 57
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Walk

Population estimate

37,663,611

21,443,036

4,832,846

6,462,441

70,401,933

 

N

58

38

20

22

138

 

Standard error

13,683,290

12,802,995

4,073,132

3,906,176

22,776,280

Other

Population estimate

0

0

0

1,544,134

1,544,134

 

N

0

0

0

1

1

 

Standard error

0

0

0

57,190

57,190

Unknown

Population estimate

15,358,439

8,849,220

7,133,432

34,650,714

65,991,805

 

N

48

25

25

21

119

 

Standard error

8,715,177

4,639,218

4,384,690

5,543,581

13,349,986

Total

Population estimate

10,020,767,389

4,841,702,214

3,618,565,760

5,550,407,184

24,031,442,548

 

N

2,035

999

634

856

4,524

 

Standard error

83,879,804

56,765,042

41,038,177

52,148,126

144,420,916

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 58
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 5 Urban Trips During Normal Afternoon School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

2,100,547,722

823,613,202

503,335,498

1,403,909,108

4,831,405,530

 

N

2,336

891

580

1,445

5,252

 

Standard error

138,363,375

64,026,003

44,369,474

93,996,342

201,723,482

School bus

Population estimate

608,424,472

430,405,436

169,841,582

101,288,394

1,309,959,884

 

N

841

489

229

128

1,687

 

Standard error

41,954,305

42,272,804

20,622,458

17,015,906

73,279,362

Other bus

Population estimate

42,159,982

37,396,804

68,739,169

50,515,445

198,811,400

 

N

57

43

63

61

224

 

Standard error

10,729,737

9,231,985

13,111,518

9,776,708

24,583,674

Bike

Population estimate

80,546,573

73,120,021

56,541,979

10,752,902

220,961,475

 

N

74

85

56

21

236

 

Standard error

17,458,178

15,314,210

14,561,135

4,026,727

29,647,814

Page 59
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Walk

Population estimate

601,905,019

335,022,308

262,441,000

228,787,393

1,428,155,719

 

N

628

381

248

214

1,471

 

Standard error

55,355,907

33,314,229

38,842,327

32,201,507

89,999,130

Other

Population estimate

9,104,262

1,796,007

4,845,801

19,216,859

34,962,929

 

N

14

6

9

35

64

 

Standard error

3,991,532

915,201

1,952,824

4,553,955

6,618,319

Unknown

Population estimate

239,549,523

155,337,801

95,690,770

76,560,136

567,138,229

 

N

306

164

96

87

653

 

Standard error

31,726,420

27,115,550

18,788,228

15,501,934

54,810,536

Total

Population estimate

3,682,237,553

1,856,691,578

1,161,435,800

1,891,030,236

8,591,395,167

 

N

4,256

2,059

1,281

1,991

9,587

 

Standard error

173,927,108

99,885,163

76,541,657

108,140,229

275,065,881

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 60
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 6 Urban Student-Miles Traveled During Normal Afternoon School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

10,087,441,013

5,363,655,690

3,006,743,940

8,605,842,338

27,063,682,981

 

N

2,309

881

569

1,400

5,159

 

Standard error

137,724,551

63,905,782

43,893,749

91,412,339

199,853,917

School bus

Population estimate

2,158,279,293

1,643,264,349

765,475,091

575,302,237

5,142,320,970

 

N

810

473

207

122

1,612

 

Standard error

41,683,474

40,891,198

20,216,548

16,976,940

71,548,779

Other bus

Population estimate

256,876,004

151,352,944

340,811,331

255,554,884

1,004,595,164

 

N

51

40

53

55

199

 

Standard error

10,580,880

9,230,508

12,229,776

9,291,995

23,740,009

Bike

Population estimate

46,115,547

61,978,593

59,017,844

14,181,787

181,293,770

 

N

74

84

55

20

233

 

Standard error

17,458,178

15,307,499

14,560,954

4,026,383

29,644,242

Page 61
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Walk

Population estimate

277,345,080

187,385,153

185,594,148

141,137,430

791,461,811

 

N

628

381

248

213

1,470

 

Standard error

55,355,907

33,314,229

38,842,327

32,201,403

89,999,097

Other

Population estimate

70,084,133

9,446,290

63,564,015

145,207,042

288,301,481

 

N

11

5

7

27

50

 

Standard error

3,930,805

701,666

1,884,496

4,326,683

6,345,107

Unknown

Population estimate

90,342,199

71,548,632

56,365,805

38,622,401

256,879,036

 

N

297

146

91

73

607

 

Standard error

31,324,720

26,114,182

16,823,660

13,202,639

52,776,831

Total

Population estimate

12,986,483,269

7,488,631,651

4,477,572,174

9,775,848,119

34,728,535,213

 

N

4,180

2,010

1,230

1,910

9,330

 

Standard error

172,966,224

98,774,357

75,571,161

104,197,126

271,451,955

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 62
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 7 Rural Trips During Normal Afternoon School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

1,262,007,134

526,195,012

337,493,451

923,985,863

3,049,681,460

 

N

1,537

636

415

1,057

3,645

 

Standard error

85,803,928

54,902,693

35,082,384

76,310,051

147,990,991

School bus

Population estimate

704,668,044

402,190,725

210,615,943

98,815,106

1,416,289,818

 

N

986

551

279

146

1,962

 

Standard error

50,608,861

33,656,569

28,360,167

14,581,573

80,265,950

Other bus

Population estimate

18,572,942

10,625,139

9,956,689

1,815,765

40,970,533

 

N

21

17

11

4

53

 

Standard error

7,151,299

4,165,226

4,034,195

1,721,616

10,068,077

Motorcycle

Population estimate

0

5,699,198

174,425

98,487

5,972,111

 

N

0

1

1

1

3

 

Standard error

0

5,699,198

174,425

98,487

5,702,717

Page 63
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Bike

Population estimate

63,805,430

33,146,403

44,104,187

15,756,729

156,812,750

 

N

63

65

39

21

188

 

Standard error

22,115,634

10,163,115

17,291,476

8,461,089

33,125,093

Walk

Population estimate

111,672,611

126,462,256

63,337,583

56,799,771

358,272,221

 

N

120

106

67

50

343

 

Standard error

16,856,776

23,997,844

14,102,296

17,701,040

41,256,346

Other

Population estimate

0

0

54,344

114,380

168,725

 

N

0

0

1

2

3

 

Standard error

0

0

54,344

114,380

126,634

Unknown

Population estimate

82,630,684

56,224,018

22,195,071

28,199,511

189,249,284

 

N

110

81

53

46

290

 

Standard error

16,628,314

13,465,320

6,117,990

8,513,106

26,576,330

Total

Population estimate

2,243,356,845

1,160,542,753

687,931,693

1,125,585,611

5,217,416,902

 

N

2,837

1,457

866

1,327

6,487

 

Standard error

121,530,784

83,271,133

62,645,399

84,942,904

210,113,300

Note: N=actual number of persons who reported.

Page 64
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-1 TABLE 8 Rural Student-Miles Traveled During Normal Afternoon School Travel Hours by Mode and Age

Mode

Age (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

Passenger vehicle

Population estimate

10,610,752,700

3,769,543,109

2,939,597,211

5,970,900,897

23,290,793,916

 

N

1,522

632

406

1,042

3,602

 

Standard error

85,793,168

54,901,914

34,973,329

76,048,366

147,772,017

School bus

Population estimate

4,453,167,270

2,957,427,679

1,580,908,580

1,139,254,798

10,130,758,328

 

N

965

543

261

138

1,907

 

Standard error

50,299,560

33,558,932

27,739,974

14,383,715

79,486,373

Other bus

Population estimate

460,697,146

100,388,092

69,353,702

21,542,353

651,981,293

 

N

21

14

10

4

49

 

Standard error

7,151,299

4,163,474

4,033,968

1,721,616

10,066,891

Motorcycle

Population estimate

0

2,849,599

1,046,550

295,461

4,191,611

 

N

0

1

1

1

3

 

Standard error

0

5,699,198

174,425

98,487

5,702,717

Page 65
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Bike

Population estimate

33,295,438

31,922,931

23,347,981

20,544,729

109,111,080

 

N

63

65

37

20

185

 

Standard error

22,115,634

10,163,115

16,879,221

8,460,102

32,911,699

Walk

Population estimate

62,267,114

57,034,249

48,412,872

45,030,626

212,744,861

 

N

120

106

67

50

343

 

Standard error

16,856,776

23,997,844

14,102,296

17,701,040

41,256,346

Other

Population estimate

0

0

38,040,968

1,429,754

39,470,722

 

N

0

0

1

1

2

 

Standard error

0

0

54,344

57,190

78,892

Unknown

Population estimate

19,537,751

47,479,627

6,482,623

108,906,297

182,406,298

 

N

103

81

50

44

278

 

Standard error

16,233,135

13,465,320

5,988,193

8,410,821

26,148,341

Total

Population estimate

15,639,717,419

6,966,645,286

4,707,190,487

7,307,904,915

34,621,458,107

 

N

2,794

1,442

833

1,300

6,369

 

Standard error

121,158,850

83,231,843

62,056,103

84,629,599

209,281,574

Note: N = actual number of persons who reported.

Page 66
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 1 Child Deaths in FARS by Year (1991–1999)

Year

Frequency

Percent

Cumulative Frequency

Cumulative Percent

1991

5,748

11.2

5,748

11.2

1992

5,397

10.5

11,145

21.7

1993

5,506

10.7

16,651

32.4

1994

5,772

11.2

22,423

43.7

1995

5,860

11.4

28,283

55.1

1996

5,847

11.4

34,130

66.5

1997

5,849

11.4

39,979

77.9

1998

5,690

11.1

45,669

88.9

1999

5,681

11.1

51,350

100.0

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 2 Child Fatality Categories and Counts (1991–1999)

Category

Description

N

1

Child school bus passenger fatalitya in a school bus–related crash

55

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

160

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

12,952

4

16- to 18-year-old driver fatality, all other vehicles

16,894

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a 16- to 18-year-old

10,586

6

Child passenger fatality (not a motor vehicle crash) (not available in FARS)

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

6,026

8

Child bicyclist fatality (not a motor vehicle crash) (not available in FARS)

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

14

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

2,706

11

16- to 18-year-old driver fatality, other buses

1

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

32

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

181

14

16- to 18-year-old driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

1,126

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a 16- to 18-year-old

111

Total

 

50,844

a This category includes any child riding in a vehicle being used as a school bus.

Page 67
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 3 Total Child Fatalities by Fatality Group and Population (N = 50,844)

Category

Description

Population

Total

Rural

Urban

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

30

0.1

25

0.1

55

0.1

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

69

0.2

91

0.5

160

0.3

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

8,784

27.1

4,168

22.6

12,952

25.5

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

12,193

37.6

4,701

25.5

16,894

33.2

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

7,141

22.0

3,445

18.7

10,586

20.8

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

2,169

6.7

3,857

20.9

6,026

11.9

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

4

0.0

10

0.1

14

0.0

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

1,228

3.8

1,478

8.0

2,706

5.3

11

Child driver fatality, other buses

0

0

1

0.0

1

0.0

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

20

0.1

12

0.1

32

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

91

0.3

90

0.5

181

0.4

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

627

1.9

499

2.7

1,126

2.2

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

62

0.2

49

0.3

111

0.2

Total

 

32,418

100.0

18,426

100.0

50,844

100.0

Page 68
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 4 Total Child Fatalities by Fatality Group and Age Group (N = 50,844)

Category

Description

Age Group (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

19

0.2

15

0.3

12

0.2

9

0.0

55

0.1

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

121

1.4

23

0.5

12

0.2

4

0.0

160

0.3

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

4,482

51.4

1,922

39.3

1,735

23.7

4,813

16.1

12,952

25.5

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

69

0.8

233

4.8

1,123

15.4

15,469

51.7

16,894

33.2

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

323

3.7

744

15.2

2,814

38.5

6,705

22.4

10,586

20.8

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

2,577

29.6

1,039

21.3

901

12.3

1,509

5.0

6,026

11.9

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

6

0.1

5

0.1

0

0

3

0.0

14

0.0

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

1,065

12.2

789

16.1

452

6.2

400

1.3

2,706

5.3

11

Child driver fatality, other buses

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0.0

1

0.0

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

6

0.1

10

0.2

8

0.1

8

0.0

32

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

23

0.3

17

0.3

22

0.3

119

0.4

181

0.4

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

16

0.2

74

1.5

197

2.7

839

2.8

1,126

2.2

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

6

0.1

16

0.3

35

0.5

54

0.2

111

0.2

Total

 

8,713

100.0

4,887

100.0

7,311

100.0

29,933

100.0

50,844

100.0

Page 69
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 5 Total Child Fatalities by Fatality Group and Age (N = 50,844)

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus-related crash

1

0

4

5

9

0

1

4

10

4

8

6

2

1

55

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus-related crash

41

30

19

19

7

5

10

5

8

7

5

1

1

2

160

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

860

747

786

759

682

648

610

646

666

811

924

1,172

1,517

2,124

12,952

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

1

2

7

10

21

28

36

66

131

323

800

4,216

5,021

6,232

16,894

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

43

46

35

55

70

74

112

210

422

969

1,845

2,515

2,350

1,840

10,586

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus-related

518

489

467

407

358

338

317

345

377

439

462

476

461

572

6,026

Page 70
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus-related crash

1

1

0

2

2

0

2

2

1

0

0

1

1

1

14

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus-related crash

110

137

195

204

197

222

273

237

279

253

199

160

133

107

2,706

11

Child driver fatality, other buses

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

0

0

1

1

4

0

4

3

3

2

6

5

2

1

32

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

2

3

3

2

7

6

3

6

8

10

12

32

39

48

181

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

0

0

4

1

1

10

10

26

38

79

118

118

244

477

1,126

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

0

1

0

2

1

2

1

4

11

17

18

21

12

21

111

Total

 

1,577

1,456

1,521

1,467

1,359

1,333

1,379

1,554

1,954

2,914

4,397

8,723

9,783

11,427

50,844

Page 71
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 6 Child Fatalities During Normal School Travel Hours by Fatality Category and Population (N = 7,470)

Category

Description

Population

Rural

Urban

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

23

0.5

18

0.7

41

0.5

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

64

1.3

72

2.7

136

1.8

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

1,057

22.1

460

17.1

1,517

20.3

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

1,927

40.3

618

23.0

2,545

34.1

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

1,046

21.9

437

16.3

1,483

19.9

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

403

8.4

774

28.8

1,177

15.8

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

3

0.1

9

0.3

12

0.2

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

172

3.6

230

8.6

402

5.4

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

4

0.1

1

0.0

5

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

2

0.0

5

0.2

7

0.1

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

77

1.6

58

2.2

135

1.8

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

7

0.1

3

0.1

10

0.1

Total

 

4,785

100.0

2,685

100.0

7,470

100.0

Page 72
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 7 Child Fatalities During Normal School Travel Hours by Fatality Category and Age Group (N = 7,470)

Category

Description

Age Group (years)

5–10

11–13

14 –15

16 –18

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

15

0.9

12

1.5

10

10

4

0.1

41

0.5

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

105

6.1

19

2.3

9

0.9

3

0.1

136

1.8

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

747

43.2

238

28.8

161

15.7

371

9.5

1,517

20.3

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

3

0.2

22

2.7

139

13.6

2,381

61.2

2,545

34.1

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

61

3.5

119

14.4

459

44.8

844

21.7

1,483

19.9

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

623

36.0

264

32.0

158

15.4

132

3.4

1,177

15.8

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

5

0.3

5

0.6

0

0

2

0.1

12

0.2

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

165

9.5

139

16.8

50

4.9

48

1.2

402

5.4

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

1

0.1

2

0.2

1

0.1

1

0.0

5

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

0

0

0

0

1

0.1

6

0.2

7

0.1

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

3

0.2

5

0.6

36

3.5

91

2.3

135

1.8

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

1

0.1

1

0.1

1

0.1

7

0.2

10

0.1

Total

 

1,729

100.0

826

100.0

1,025

100.0

3,890

100.0

7,470

100.0

Page 73
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 8 Child Fatalities During Normal School Travel Hours by Fatality Category and Age (N = 7,470)

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus-related crash

0

0

3

5

7

0

1

4

7

3

7

3

0

1

41

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus-related crash

35

25

17

16

7

5

9

4

6

6

3

0

1

2

136

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

170

136

126

128

87

100

81

78

79

80

81

90

113

168

1,517

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

0

0

0

0

2

1

2

9

11

36

103

793

766

822

2,545

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

10

11

4

9

17

10

19

36

64

168

291

357

311

176

1,483

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus-related

88

128

113

91

99

104

92

101

71

91

67

55

49

28

1,177

Page 74
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus-related crash

1

1

0

1

2

0

2

2

1

0

0

1

0

1

12

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus-related crash

13

23

30

31

27

41

51

45

43

24

26

15

20

13

402

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

1

1

0

0

5

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

3

3

7

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

1

4

11

25

15

29

47

135

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

3

2

2

10

Total

 

317

325

295

282

248

262

258

282

286

420

605

1,333

1,294

1,263

7,470

Page 75
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 9 Child Fatalities During Non–School Travel Hours by Fatality Category and Population (N = 43,374)

Category

Description

Population

Rural

Urban

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

7

0.0

7

0.0

14

0.0

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

5

0.0

19

0.1

24

0.1

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

7,727

28.0

3,708

23.6

11,435

26.4

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

10,266

37.2

4,083

25.9

14,349

33.1

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

6,095

22.1

3,008

19.1

9,103

21.0

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

1,766

6.4

3,083

19.6

4,849

11.2

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

1

0.0

1

0.0

2

0.0

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

1,056

3.8

1,248

7.9

2,304

5.3

11

Child driver fatality, other buses

0

0

1

0.0

1

0.0

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

16

0.1

11

0.1

27

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

89

0.3

85

0.5

174

0.4

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

550

2.0

441

2.8

991

2.3

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

55

0.2

46

0.3

101

0.2

Total

 

27,633

100.0

15,741

100.0

43,374

100.0

Page 76
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 10 Child Fatalities During Non–School Travel Hours by Fatality Category and Age Group (N = 43,374)

Category

Description

Age Group (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

4

0.1

3

0.1

2

0.0

5

0.0

14

0.0

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

16

0.2

4

0.1

3

0.0

1

0.0

24

0.1

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

3,735

53.5

1,684

41.5

1,574

25.0

4,442

17.1

11,435

26.4

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

66

0.9

211

5.2

984

15.7

13,088

50.3

14,349

33.1

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

262

3.8

625

15.4

2,355

37.5

5,861

22.5

9,103

21.0

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

1,954

28.0

775

19.1

743

11.8

1,377

5.3

4,849

11.2

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus–related crash

1

0.0

1

0.0

2

0.0

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

900

12.9

650

16.0

402

6.4

352

1.4

2,304

5.3

11

Child driver fatality, other buses

1

0.0

1

0.0

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

5

0.1

8

0.2

7

0.1

7

0.0

27

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

23

0.3

17

0.4

21

0.3

113

0.4

174

0.4

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

13

0.2

69

1.7

161

2.6

748

2.9

991

2.3

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

5

0.1

15

0.4

34

0.5

47

0.2

101

0.2

Total

 

6,984

100.0

4,061

100.0

6,286

100.0

26,043

100.0

43,374

100.0

Page 77
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 11 Child Fatalities During Non–School Travel Hours by Fatality Category and Age (N = 43,374)

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus-related crash

1

0

1

0

2

0

0

0

3

1

1

3

2

0

14

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus-related crash

6

5

2

3

0

0

1

1

2

1

2

1

0

0

24

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

690

611

660

631

595

548

529

568

587

731

843

1,082

1,404

1,956

11,435

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

1

2

7

10

19

27

34

57

120

287

697

3,423

4,255

5,410

14,349

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

33

35

31

46

53

64

93

174

358

801

1,554

2,158

2,039

1,664

9,103

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus-related

430

361

354

316

259

234

225

244

306

348

395

421

412

544

4,849

Page 78
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

9

Child bicyclist fatality in a school bus-related crash

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

2

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus-related crash

97

114

165

173

170

181

222

192

236

229

173

145

113

94

2,304

11

Child driver fatality, other buses

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

0

0

0

1

4

0

3

2

3

2

5

4

2

1

27

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

2

3

3

2

7

6

3

6

8

10

11

32

36

45

174

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

0

0

3

0

1

9

10

25

34

68

93

103

215

430

991

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

0

0

0

2

1

2

1

3

11

16

18

18

10

19

101

Total

 

1,260

1,131

1,226

1,185

1,111

1,071

1,121

1,272

1,668

2,494

3,792

7,390

8,489

10,164

43,374

Page 79
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 12 Child Fatalities During School Session Hours by Fatality Category and Population (N = 2,719)

Category

Description

Population

Rural

Urban

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

1

0.1

5

0.5

6

0.2

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

2

0.1

14

1.4

16

0.6

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

484

28.0

176

17.8

660

24.3

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

723

41.8

344

34.8

1,067

39.2

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

372

21.5

219

22.2

591

21.7

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

66

3.8

122

12.3

188

6.9

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

49

2.8

67

6.8

116

4.3

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

1

0.1

1

0.1

2

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

1

0.1

4

0.4

5

0.2

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

28

1.6

32

3.2

60

2.2

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

4

0.2

4

0.4

8

0.3

Total

 

1,731

100.0

988

100.0

2,719

100.0

Page 80
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 13 Child Fatalities During School Session Hours by Fatality Category and Age Group (N = 2,719)

Category

Description

Age Group (years)

5–10

11–13

14–15

16–18

Total

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

N

%

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

3

0.7

1

0.5

1

0.3

1

0.1

6

0.2

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

12

2.6

2

0.9

1

0.3

1

0.1

16

0.6

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

265

57.9

110

49.5

94

24.5

191

11.5

660

24.3

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

3

0.7

14

6.3

79

20.6

971

58.7

1,067

39.2

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

23

5.0

33

14.9

159

41.4

376

22.7

591

21.7

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

98

21.4

30

13.5

23

6.0

37

2.2

188

6.9

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

53

11.6

26

11.7

15

3.9

22

1.3

116

4.3

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

2

0.1

2

0.1

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

0

0

1

0.5

1

0.3

3

0.2

5

0.2

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

0

0

3

1.4

8

2.1

49

3.0

60

2.2

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

1

0.2

2

0.9

3

0.8

2

0.1

8

0.3

Total

 

458

100.0

222

100.0

384

100.0

1,655

100.0

2,719

100.0

Page 81
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

ANNEX 2-2 TABLE 14 Child Fatalities During School Session Hours by Fatality Category and Age (N = 2,719)

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

1

Child school bus passenger fatality in a school bus–related crash

0

0

1

0

2

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

1

0

6

2

Child pedestrian fatality in a school bus–related crash

6

3

1

2

0

0

0

1

1

1

0

1

0

0

16

3

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by an adult

62

46

41

45

38

33

28

38

44

39

55

45

63

83

660

4

Child driver fatality, all other vehicles

0

0

0

0

1

2

0

4

10

19

60

221

295

455

1,067

5

Child passenger fatality in all other vehicles driven by a child

4

6

2

3

4

4

5

7

21

54

105

145

141

90

591

7

Child pedestrian fatality, not school bus–related

28

25

17

11

12

5

15

1

14

10

13

10

14

13

188

Page 82
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×

 

Category

Description

Age (years)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Total

10

Child bicyclist fatality not in a school bus–related crash

5

8

13

5

9

13

8

9

9

6

9

8

7

7

116

12

Child passenger fatality in other buses

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

2

13

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by an adult

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

0

1

2

5

14

Child driver (operator) fatality, motorcycle

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

4

4

7

17

25

60

15

Child passenger fatality on motorcycle operated by a child

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

2

1

0

1

1

8

Total

105

88

75

66

66

58

57

60

105

136

248

437

541

677

2,719

Page 25
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 25
Page 26
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 26
Page 27
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 27
Page 28
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 28
Page 29
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 29
Page 30
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 30
Page 31
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 31
Page 32
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 32
Page 33
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 33
Page 34
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 34
Page 35
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 35
Page 36
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 36
Page 37
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 37
Page 38
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 38
Page 39
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 39
Page 40
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 40
Page 41
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 41
Page 42
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 42
Page 43
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 43
Page 44
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 44
Page 45
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 45
Page 46
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 46
Page 47
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 47
Page 48
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 48
Page 49
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 49
Page 50
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 50
Page 51
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 51
Page 52
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 52
Page 53
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 53
Page 54
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 54
Page 55
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 55
Page 56
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 56
Page 57
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 57
Page 58
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 58
Page 59
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 59
Page 60
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 60
Page 61
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 61
Page 62
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 62
Page 63
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 63
Page 64
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 64
Page 65
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 65
Page 66
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 66
Page 67
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 67
Page 68
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 68
Page 69
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 69
Page 70
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 70
Page 71
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 71
Page 72
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 72
Page 73
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 73
Page 74
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 74
Page 75
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 75
Page 76
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 76
Page 77
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 77
Page 78
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 78
Page 79
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 79
Page 80
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 80
Page 81
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 81
Page 82
Suggested Citation:"2 Quantitative Analyses: Data and Methods." Transportation Research Board. 2002. The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10409.
×
Page 82
Next: 3 Analysis of Risk Measures »
The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269 Get This Book
×
 The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment -- Special Report 269
MyNAP members save 10% online.
Login or Register to save!

TRB Special Report 269 - The Relative Risks of School Travel: A National Perspective and Guidance for Local Community Risk Assessment presents a method to estimate, on a per-mile and per-trip basis, the relative risks that students face in traveling to and from school by walking, bicycling, riding in passenger vehicles with adult drivers, riding in passenger vehicles with teenage drivers, or taking a bus. These estimated risk measures can assist localities in developing policies to improve the safety of students traveling to school and in evaluating policies that affect mode choices by students and their parents. The report also includes checklists of actions to reduce the risks associated with each mode of school travel.

Children in the United States travel to and from school and school-related activities by a variety of modes. Because parents and their school-age children have a limited understanding of the risks associated with each mode, it is unlikely that these risks greatly influence their school travel choices. Public perceptions of school transportation safety are heavily influenced by school bus (i.e., "yellow bus") services.

When children are killed or injured in crashes involving school buses, the link to school transportation appears obvious; when children are killed or injured in crashes that occur when they are traveling to or from school or school-related activities by other modes, however, the purpose of the trip is often not known or recorded, and the risks are not coded in a school-related category. Despite such limitations and the fact that estimates of the risks across school travel modes are confounded by inconsistent and incomplete data, sufficient information is available to make gross comparisons of the relative risks among modes used for school travel and to provide guidance for risk management.

Each year approximately 800 school-aged children are killed in motor vehicle crashes during normal school travel hours. This figure represents about 14 percent of the 5,600 child deaths that occur annually on U.S. roadways and 2 percent of the nation’s yearly total of 40,000 motor vehicle deaths. Of these 800 deaths, about 20 (2 percent)—5 school bus passengers and 15 pedestrians—are school bus–related. The other 98 percent of school-aged deaths occur in passenger vehicles or to pedestrians, bicyclists, or motorcyclists. A disproportionate share of these passenger vehicle–related deaths (approximately 450 of the 800 deaths, or 55 percent) occur when a teenager is driving.

At the same time, approximately 152,000 school-age children are nonfatally injured during normal school travel hours each year. More than 80 percent (about 130,000) of these nonfatal injuries occur in passenger vehicles; only 4 percent (about 6,000) are school bus–related (about 5,500 school bus passengers and 500 school bus pedestrians), 11 percent (about 16,500) occur to pedestrians and bicyclists, and fewer than 1 percent (500) are to passengers in other buses.

When school travel modes are compared, the distribution of injuries and fatalities is found to be quite different from that of trips and miles traveled. Three modes (school buses, other buses, and passenger vehicles with adult drivers) have injury estimates and fatality counts below those expected on the basis of the exposure to risk implied by the number of trips taken or student-miles traveled. For example, school buses represent 25 percent of the miles traveled by students but account for less than 4 percent of the injuries and 2 percent of the fatalities. Conversely, the other three modal classifications (passenger vehicles with teen drivers, bicycling, and walking) have estimated injury rates and fatality counts disproportionately greater than expected on the basis of exposure data. For example, passenger vehicles with teen drivers account for more than half of the injuries and fatalities, a much greater proportion than the 14–16 percent that would be expected on the basis of student-miles and trips.

Special Report 269 Summary

READ FREE ONLINE

  1. ×

    Welcome to OpenBook!

    You're looking at OpenBook, NAP.edu's online reading room since 1999. Based on feedback from you, our users, we've made some improvements that make it easier than ever to read thousands of publications on our website.

    Do you want to take a quick tour of the OpenBook's features?

    No Thanks Take a Tour »
  2. ×

    Show this book's table of contents, where you can jump to any chapter by name.

    « Back Next »
  3. ×

    ...or use these buttons to go back to the previous chapter or skip to the next one.

    « Back Next »
  4. ×

    Jump up to the previous page or down to the next one. Also, you can type in a page number and press Enter to go directly to that page in the book.

    « Back Next »
  5. ×

    Switch between the Original Pages, where you can read the report as it appeared in print, and Text Pages for the web version, where you can highlight and search the text.

    « Back Next »
  6. ×

    To search the entire text of this book, type in your search term here and press Enter.

    « Back Next »
  7. ×

    Share a link to this book page on your preferred social network or via email.

    « Back Next »
  8. ×

    View our suggested citation for this chapter.

    « Back Next »
  9. ×

    Ready to take your reading offline? Click here to buy this book in print or download it as a free PDF, if available.

    « Back Next »
Stay Connected!