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OCR for page 21
Conclusion
The absence of consensus on the central methodological questions
addressed at this meeting provides a strong argument for further efforts to
investigate and analyze the relevant questions. While some participants
maintained that the current methodology provides the best estimates
possible in a difficult situation, others registered serious reservations
concerning the assumptions on which the AFC standard is based and the
methods by which the CIA produces its estimates of both the size and
rates of growth of the Soviet economy. A number of the challenges
advanced at the meeting have suffered in the past from the absence of
sufficient funding to support the research necessary to fully elaborate an
alternative to the AFC model, and a consensus was reached that alter-
native methodologies should be investigated in the future. The participants
also concurred in the view that they had only been able to initiate an
examination of the issues under review at this meeting, and that a major
study would be necessary in order to reach definitive conclusions.
21
Representative terms from entire chapter:
methodological questions