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NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Council of the National Academy of Sciences. The members of the panel responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.

This study was supported by Contract No. DE-AM01–99PO90016, Task Order No. DE-AT01–01NN40245 between the National Academy of Sciences and the Department of Energy, Contract No. S-LMAQM-00-C-0125 between the National Academy of Sciences and the Department of State, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Carnegie Corporation of New York, the John D. and Catherine T.MacArthur Foundation, and National Research Council Funds. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the organizations or agencies that provided support for the project.

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