Appendix

WORKSHOP AGENDA AND PARTICIPANTS

Committee on National Statistics Workshop on Reliability Issues for DoD Systems

National Academy of Sciences

2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W.

Washington, D.C.

Lecture Room

AGENDA

Friday, June 9

8:00 a.m.

Continental Breakfast

8:30 a.m.

Opening Remarks

 

Nancy Spruill, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics, DoD

Francisco Samaniego, University of California, Davis

8:45 a.m.

Reliability Test Designs to Direct Defense System Development

 

Development and management of comprehensive programs, from system concept through fielding, for the design, test, and assessment of reliability performance.



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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop Appendix WORKSHOP AGENDA AND PARTICIPANTS Committee on National Statistics Workshop on Reliability Issues for DoD Systems National Academy of Sciences 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. Lecture Room AGENDA Friday, June 9 8:00 a.m. Continental Breakfast 8:30 a.m. Opening Remarks   Nancy Spruill, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics, DoD Francisco Samaniego, University of California, Davis 8:45 a.m. Reliability Test Designs to Direct Defense System Development   Development and management of comprehensive programs, from system concept through fielding, for the design, test, and assessment of reliability performance.

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop   Ronald Glaser (Chair), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Jane Booker, Los Alamos National Laboratory, on “PREDICT: A New Approach to System Performance Prediction” Lawrence Crow, General Dynamics, on “An Integrated Reliability Growth Strategy at General Dynamics Advanced Technology Systems” Walter Hollis (Discussant), Deputy Under Secretary of the Army Arthur Fries (Discussant), Institute for Defense Analyses 10:30 a.m. Break 10:45 a.m. Recent Developments in Reliability Growth Modeling   Patricia Jacobs (Chair), Naval Postgraduate School Ananda Sen, Oakland University, on “Recent Developments in Reliability Growth Modeling: Duane Curve and Beyond” Donald Gaver, Naval Postgraduate School, on “Reliability Growth in Stage-wise-Functioning Systems by Failure Mode Removal” Paul Ellner (Discussant), Army Materiel System Analysis Activity 12:00 noon Lunch 1:00 p.m. Use of Statistical Modeling to Join Developmental and Operational Testing Data   Pooling of data from diverse information sources (e.g., laboratory and developmental testing, operational testing, field and training exercise data, simulations).   Asit Basu (Chair), University of Missouri-Columbia Duane Steffey, San Diego State University, on “Combining Information for Reliability Assessment” Francisco Samaniego, University of California, Davis, on

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop   “Nonparametric Alternatives to Exponential Life Testing” Ernest Seglie (Discussant), Science Advisor to the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Fred Myers (Discussant), Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology and Logistics) 2:15 p.m. Estimating Reliability from Field Performance Data   Philip Boland (Chair), University College, Dublin William Meeker, Iowa State University, on “Extracting Information from Field-Failure and Warranty Data Bases: An Important Opportunity” Fritz Scholz, The Boeing Company, on “Assessing Reliability Growth from Field Performance Data” James Crouch (Discussant), Wright-Patterson Air Force Base 4:00 p.m. Break 4:15 p.m. Modeling Fatigue   Henry Block (Chair), University of Pittsburgh Samuel Saunders, Washington State University, on “Backward and Forward in the Prediction of Service-Lives” William Padgett, University of South Carolina, on “Some Cumulative Damage Approaches to Modeling Materials or System Failure” Theodore Nicholas (Discussant), United States Air Force Research Laboratory 5:30 p.m. Adjourn Saturday, June 10 8:00 a.m. Continental Breakfast 8:30 a.m. Reliability of Software-Intensive Systems   Simon Wilson (Chair), Trinity College, Dublin

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop   Sidhartha Dalal, Telcordia Technologies, on “The State of Software Reliability Research” Jesse Poore, University of Tennessee, on “An Approach to Software Testing” Margaret Myers (Discussant), Director, Information Technology, Acquisition and Defense Jack Ferguson (Discussant), Software Intensive Systems 10:00 a.m. Break 10:15 a.m. Reliability Economics—Life-Cycle Costs   Michael Tortorella (Chair), Bell Laboratories Wallace Blischke, University of Southern California, on “Life-Cycle Costing, Reliability, and Warranty Presentation for NAS Workshop on Reliability” Frank Camm, The RAND Corporation-Washington, on “A Life Cycle Context for Reliability Assessment of DoD Systems” Allen Beckett (Discussant), Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Logistics 12:00 noon Lunch and Panel Discussion on “Implications for Future DoD Practices”   Francisco Samaniego (Moderator), University of California, Davis Stephen Pollock, University of Michigan Ernest Seglie, Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Marion Williams, Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Command Robert Easterling, Sandia National Laboratories Hans Mark, Director, Defense Research and Engineering 2:00 p.m. Adjourn

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop PARTICIPANTS Presenters Allen Beckett, Principal Assistant, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Logistics and Materiel Readiness Logistics Wallace Blischke, University of Southern California Henry Block, University of Pittsburgh Philip Boland, University College, Dublin Jane Booker, Los Alamos National Laboratory Frank Camm, The RAND Corporation James Crouch, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base Larry Crow, General Dynamics Advanced Technology Systems Siddhartha Dalal, Telcordia Technologies Robert Easterling, Sandia National Laboratories Paul Ellner, U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity Jack Ferguson, Software Intensive Systems, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logstics) Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses Donald Gaver, Naval Postgraduate School Ronald Glaser, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Walter Hollis, Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of the Army (Operations Research) Patricia Jacobs, Naval Postgraduate School William Meeker, Iowa State University Fred Myers, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology and Logistics) Margaret Myers, Director, Information Technology, Acquisition and Investments Theodore Nicholas, U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory William Padgett, University of South Carolina Jesse Poore, University of Tennessee Frank Samaniego, University of California, Davis Sam Saunders, Washington State University Friedrich Scholz, Boeing Ernest Seglie, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Ananda Sen, Oakland University Nancy Spruill, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics)

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop Duane Steffey, San Diego State University Michael Tortorella, Bell Laboratories Marion Williams, Air Force Operational Test & Evaluation Command Simon Wilson, Trinity College, Dublin Invited Guests Anthony Adessa, BMDO/TEP Asit Basu, University of Missouri-Columbia Michael Bell, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Barry Bodt, U.S. Army Research Laboratory Paul Bricker, Maintenance Policy Program & Resources Mike Bridgman, Logistics Management Institute David S. Chu, The RAND Corporation Daniel Cork, Carnegie Mellon University Kathleen Diegart, Sandia National Laboratories William Eddy, Carnegie Mellon University Robert Ernst, Naval Air Systems Joseph Ferrara, Deputy Director, Acquisition Management Lee H. Frame, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Donald Henry, Office of Deputy Assistant Army Secretary (Research and Technology) Paul Hoffman, Naval Air Systems Command Charles Horton, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Shane Knighton, Air Force Operational Test and Evaluation Command Paul Kvam, Georgia Institute of Technology David Lee, Logistics Management Institute Thomas Louis, The RAND Corporation Milton Margolis, Logistics Management Institute Maj. Kyle McKown, U.S. Air Force Andy Monje, Naval Air Systems Command Robert Nemetz, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics) David Oliver, Office of the Secretary of Defense David Olwell, Naval Post Graduate School Russell S. Pimm, CSC/Nichols Research Stephen Pollock, University of Michigan Pete Poppe, Marine Corps Operational Test and Evaluation Activity Shane Reese, Los Alamos National Laboratory

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop Philip Rodgers, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics) Richard Sabo, Naval Air Systems Command Michael Saboe, U.S. Army Tank Automotive, Research, Development & Engineering Center Dennis Smallwood, U.S. Military Academy James Streilein, U.S. Army Evaluation Center David Thomen, Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation Ron Wagner, Georgia Tech Research Center Steven Whitehead, Commander, Operational Test and Evaluation Force Daniel Willard, Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of the Army (Operations Research) Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory Paul Zimmerman, Naval Air Systems Command Staff of the Committee on National Statistics Jamie Casey, Research Assistant Michael Cohen, Study Director Agnes Gaskin, Senior Project Assistant Andrew White, Director

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Reliability Issues for DoD Systems: Report of a Workshop This page in the original is blank.