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OCR for page 93
Appendix B Workship Agenda U.S. NATURAL GAS SUPPLY AND DEMAND: A WORKSHOP THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES 500 FIFTH STREET NW WASHINGTON, D.C. 20001 Monday, April 21, 2003 OPEN SESSION 8:00 a.m. Introductions and Purpose of Workshop U.S. Natural Gas Demand 8:15 Scott Tinker Chair The Big Picture Richard Smalley Rice University What are the trends that will shape and control U.S. natural gas consumption for the next 25 to 30 years? Will natural gas be a bridge or a competitor to a hydrogen economy? 8:45 EIA's Outlook for U.S. Natural Gas Mary Hutzler, Director Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting 93

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94 APPENDIX B Assumptions and data used in the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 for U.S. natural gas demand Recent trends in technology progress and the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 Integrated price and supply forecast The U.S. greenhouse gas initiative and proposed legislation: How would these change the demand and price forecast for natural gas? 9:05 Open Discussion U.S. Natural Gas Supply 9:35 Minerals Management Service Richie Baud New Orleans Outer continental shelf natural gas resources Progress in deepwater technology to make these resources eco- nomical Recent discovery history for both the shelf and slope 9:55 U.S. Geological Survey Thomas Ahlbrandt Denver Future natural gas resources Why are today's USGS estimates of gas resources significantly larger than those made by the USGS 20 years ago? How might the estimates for natural gas look 20 years from now? Technically, economically, and environmentally recoverable resources 10:15 Break Meeting U. S. Natural Gas Demand 10:45 Technology Naresh Kumar Growth Oil and Gas What level of research and technology development will be required to meet future natural gas demand in the United States.? Are we on pace? What are the barriers that prevent industry from making opti

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APPENDIX B 11:05 12:00p.m. Lunch 95 mum (from a national perspective) research and develop- ment investments? Is there a national benefit from advanced technology and lower prices that would justify a federal role in natural gas research and development? What organizations could perform the research and develop- ment (federally assisted or otherwise) and is there an ad- equate supply of students in the United States? Open Discussion Meeting U.S. Natural Gas Demand 1:00 The Potential of Basin-Centered Gas 1:20 2:00 2:40 Break Keith Shanley Stone Energy Import/Export Picture Greg StringhamCanadian Association of Petroleum Producers Will Canada be able to meet expectations for imports? Alaskan and/or Mackenzie gas pipeline picture Colleen Sen Gas Technology Institute Liquefied natural gas Unconventional Gas Ben Law Pangea Hydrocarbon Explorations Conventional unconventionals coalbed methane, shale, tight gas Resources, technology, and economic issues Size and nature of in-place resource for unconventionals as well as deep gas Keith Millheim Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (Cancelled) Unconventional unconventionals deep gas, subsalt, hy- drates, etc. Resources, technology and economic issues

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96 In a. lv 4:00 FEW ~ Open D1scuss10n FerspecOves on C.S. Natural Cas Supply and Demand Does natural gas really have a bright future or could the Norm American supply have Ready peaked? Day Simmons Simmons and Company International Future of natural gas 4:40 D1scuss10n 5:30 Adjourn Michael Lynch (CanceUed) ID