The committee’s analysis indicates the following:

  • Considering the assumptions for future technology, biomass-to-hydrogen conversion is unlikely to produce hydrogen at a competitive price, even when compared with hydrogen generated from distributed natural gas.

  • The environmental impact of growing significant quantities of biomass as energy crops, including engineered, high-yield crops, will most likely place significant strains on natural resources, including water, soil, land availability, and biodiversity.

  • Because of the inherently high cost for collecting and transporting biomass, a biomass gasification plant will be limited in size, will not make full use of the economics of scale, and will be limited to certain geographic regions in the United States.

  • Biomass-to-hydrogen conversion is a thermodynamically inefficient path for using solar energy.

  • The use of biomass (residues), when co-fired (e.g., with coal) and coupled to subsequent carbon sequestration, might be an important technical option for achieving zero emission and, potentially, a net reduction of atmospheric CO2.

  • Photobiological hydrogen production is a theoretically more efficient process, but significant fundamental molecular research is needed to identify and improve the limiting factors in order to evaluate fully this approach for hydrogen production.



It has been estimated that solar energy has the potential of meeting the energy demand of the human race well into the future.29 One of the methods of recovering solar energy is through the use of photovoltaic (PV) cells. Upon illumina-tion with sunlight, PV cells generate electric energy. Commercial PV modules are available for a wide range of applications. However, they represent a miniscule contribution to U.S. electric power production. The current cost of electricity from a PV module is 6 to 10 times the cost of electricity from coal or natural gas. Therefore, if PV electricity were to be used to make hydrogen, the cost would be significantly higher than if fossil fuels were used. The key for solar energy to be used on a large scale for electricity or hydrogen production is cost reduction. This would require a number of advancements in the current technology.

Current State of Technology

Approximately 85 percent of the current commercial PV modules are based on single-crystal or polycrystalline silicon. The single-crystal or polycrystalline silicon cells are generally of the dimension of 10 to 15 centimeter (cm) (Archer and Hill, 2001). They are either circular or rectangular. In a module, a number of cells are soldered together. Each cell is capable of providing a maximum output of 0.6 volt (V), with the total module output approaching 20 V. The output current of each cell in bright sunlight is generally in the range of to 2 to 5 amps. The single-crystal silicon cells are made from wafers obtained by continuous wire sawing of single-crystal ingots grown by the Czochralski process. Similarly, a large portion of the polycrystalline silicon cells are made from ingots obtained by directional solidification of silicon within a mold. The wafer thickness is generally in the range of 250 to 400 microns. It is worth noting that nearly half of the silicon is wasted as “kerf” loss during cutting. Polycrystalline silicon cells are also made from silicon sheet or ribbon grown by other techniques (Archer and Hill, 2001). This process avoids the cost associated with cutting silicon ingots into wafers. The silicon wafers or ribbons are then further processed to develop p-n junctions and wire contacts. The array of cells is laminated using glass and transparent polymer, called ethylvinylacetate (EVA), to provide the final PV module. The modules are known to have long lifetime (10- to 25-year warranty from manufacturers). The current technology gives about 18 percent cell efficiency and 15 percent module efficiency.30

A second type of PV technology is based on deposition of thin films. PV cells are prepared by deposition of amorphous as well as microcrystalline silicon from a variety of techniques, including plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition, hot wire chemical vapor deposition, and so on. Polycrystalline thin-film compounds based on group II-VI of the periodic table, such as cadmium telluride (CdTe), and group I-III-VI ternary mixtures such as copper-indium-diselenide (CIS), have been used to make thin-film solar cells (Ullal et al., 2002). The thickness of deposited layers is much less than 1 micron. As compared with crystalline silicon solar cells, the thin-film technology potentially has a number of significant advantages in manufacturing: (1) lower consumption of materials; (2) fewer processing steps; (3) automation of processing steps; (4) integrated, monolithic circuit design leading to elimination of the assembly of individual solar cells into final modules; and (5) fast roll-to-roll deposition (Wieting, 2002). It has been estimated that for crystalline silicon solar cells, the complete process involves more than two dozen separate steps to prepare and process ingots, wafers, cells, and circuit assemblies before a module is complete (Wieting, 2002). On the other hand, thin-film module


Nathan Lewis, California Institute of Technology, “Hydrogen Production from Solar Energy,” presentation to the committee, April 25, 2003.


The efficiency in this section is defined at 25°C under 1000 W/m2 of sunlight intensity with the standard global air mass 1.5 spectral distribution. Thus, 15 percent module efficiency refers to peak watt efficiency (Wp) and implies that 15 percent of the incident sunlight energy is converted to electricity.

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