The following HTML text is provided to enhance online
readability. Many aspects of typography translate only awkwardly to HTML.
Please use the page image
as the authoritative form to ensure accuracy.
Stepping-Stones to the Future of Space Exploration: A Workshop Report
Appendix C Workshop Agenda
February 23-24, 2004
Washington, D.C.
Monday, February 23
OPEN SESSION
8:15 am
Welcome and Introduction
Darrell Branscome, Chair
8:30
Focus Topic 1: “The Rationale for Human and Robotic Space Exploration”
Moderator: Charles Walker
Panel Discussion
Neil Armstrong, EDO Corporation (retired)
David J. Goldston, Chief of Staff, House Committee on Science
Wesley Huntress, Geophysical Laboratory, Carnegie Institution of Washington
David Logsdon, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Space Enterprise Council
Donna Shirley, Director, Experience Science Fiction, Seattle
Focusing Questions:
What are the compelling reasons for human or robotic presence in space?
What are the appropriate roles for robotic exploration and human exploration and development of space?
What technological barriers must be overcome?
What role should federal government, industry, academia, and the private citizen have in this exploration and development of space?
How best do we establish and sustain public support for such endeavors?
10:00
Break
10:15
Overview of Office of Exploration Systems (Code T) and Context of FY2005 Budget
Below are the first 10 and last 10 pages of uncorrected machine-read text (when available) of this chapter, followed by the top 30 algorithmically extracted key phrases from the chapter as a whole. Intended to provide our own search engines and external engines with highly rich, chapter-representative searchable text on the opening pages of each chapter.
Because it is UNCORRECTED material, please consider the following text as a useful but insufficient proxy for the authoritative book pages.
Do not use for reproduction, copying, pasting, or reading; exclusively for search engines.
OCR for page 56
Stepping-Stones to the Future of Space Exploration: A Workshop Report
Appendix C
Workshop Agenda
February 23-24, 2004
Washington, D.C.
Monday, February 23
OPEN SESSION
8:15 am
Welcome and Introduction
Darrell Branscome, Chair
8:30
Focus Topic 1: “The Rationale for Human and Robotic Space Exploration”
Moderator: Charles Walker
Panel Discussion
Neil Armstrong, EDO Corporation (retired)
David J. Goldston, Chief of Staff, House Committee on Science
Wesley Huntress, Geophysical Laboratory, Carnegie Institution of Washington
David Logsdon, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Space Enterprise Council
Donna Shirley, Director, Experience Science Fiction, Seattle
Focusing Questions:
What are the compelling reasons for human or robotic presence in space?
What are the appropriate roles for robotic exploration and human exploration and development of space?
What technological barriers must be overcome?
What role should federal government, industry, academia, and the private citizen have in this exploration and development of space?
How best do we establish and sustain public support for such endeavors?
10:00
Break
10:15
Overview of Office of Exploration Systems (Code T) and Context of FY2005 Budget
Adm. Craig Steidle, NASA
10:45
Presentation of Advanced Systems, Technologies,
John C. Mankins
OCR for page 57
Stepping-Stones to the Future of Space Exploration: A Workshop Report
Research, and Analysis for Future Spaceflight Capabilities
Director of Human and Robotics Technology, Code T
11:45
Question and Answer Period
12:15 pm
Lunch
1:15
Recent Architecture Studies and Technology Drivers
James Geffre
Johnson Space Flight Center
1:45
Focus Topic 2: “Technology as a Driver for Capability Transformation”
Moderator: Darrell Branscome
1:50
DARPA Space Activities: Genesis, Legacy, and Vision
Joe Guerci, DARPA
2:15
Panel Discussion
Moderator: Charles Trimble
David Hardy, DOD Space Experiments Review Board
Brad Parkinson, Stanford University, GPS Model
Christine Sloane, General Motors (PNGV/FreedomCAR)
3:15
Break
3:30
Panel Discussion
Moderator: Dava Newman
Jacqueline Haynes, Intelligent Automation, Inc.- small business perspective
Stanley Schneider, National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite System (NPOESS) Project
Chris Stevens, NASA New Millennium Program Manager, JPL
Focusing Questions:
What, briefly, is the role of technology as an agent for organization and capability transformation, specifically as related to your organization?
What other factors must be present to facilitate technology as an agent for transformation?
What are the obstacles that are in the path of using technology to accomplish capability transformation?
What are the important barriers that must be overcome in using technology to facilitate capability transformation?
What are the challenges to achieving technology insertion into capability development?
OCR for page 58
Stepping-Stones to the Future of Space Exploration: A Workshop Report
What are the appropriate time templates to use for technology-driven innovation?
4:30
Final Thoughts/Discussion
Dava Newman
5:00-6:00
Reception
Tuesday, February 24
OPEN SESSION
8:15 am
Welcome Back
Darrell Branscome
8:20
Focus Topic 3: “Risk Aversion—Flying in the Face of Uncertainty”
Moderator: Molly Macauley Panel Discussion
Gen. John Barry, CAIB viewpoint
Joseph Fuller, Futron Corporation
Gregg Hagedorn, NAVSEA
Allan Mazur, Syracuse University
Richard Obermann, Staff Member, House Science Committee
Michael G. Stamatelatos, NASA Director for Safety & Assurance Requirements
Focusing Questions:
What lessons might be shared about differences in risk perception by the public, the Congress, and the agency (NASA)? How are perceptions influenced by risks that are low probability but high cost?
The NASA model under discussion (ASTRA) omits explicit treatment of risk. Risk can be defined in many ways—it can, for example; include economic, technological, and political uncertainty—but no matter how it is defined, the model does not explicitly include it. Specifically, the model does not (1) incorporate the consequences of failure to meet milestones, (2) identify decision points at which technology development might be terminated because of cost, engineering problems, or obsolescence, (3) illustrate the cost impacts of failure or redirection of technology development, or (4) include fallback strategies. What modeling techniques might you suggest that would enable the model to incorporate probabilistic treatment yet remain tractable?
Among the arguments against including probabilistic treatment in the model are that it renders the model more difficult for decision makers to comprehend and can undermine the political ability to sell the technologies. How significant are these concerns and how can they be
OCR for page 59
Stepping-Stones to the Future of Space Exploration: A Workshop Report
addressed? Lessons learned from the development of other technologies (for instance, nuclear power generation, the superconducting supercollider, synthetic fuels) might be useful if you can share them.
10:00
Break
10:15 am
Focus Topic 4: “International Cooperation/Competition–Why, How, When?”
Moderator: Eric Rice
Panel Discussion
Joanne Gabrynowicz, National Remote Sensing and Space Law Center
Joan Johnson-Freese, Naval War College (by telephone)
Ian Pryke, George Mason University
Marcia Smith, Congressional Research Service
Focusing Questions:
What are the real goals and interests of the nations of the world with respect to their involvement in space tourism, space exploration, space bases, space commercialization, space settlements, and planetary terraforming?
What are the specific short- and long-term goals and objectives of the United States, the European Space Agency (ESA), China, Japan, and Russia in terms of their national and international space activities?
Should future manned lunar surface and Mars surface activity be national (U.S.) or international? What are the economic, social, political, or other benefits to be gained by nations doing it alone vs. doing it together with all or several partners?
Discuss implications of the ASTRA paradigm in terms of international cooperation and competition. When government agreements on ISS are complete, what should happen in the future? How will China’s new space capability enter into U.S. decisions?
What are the commercial and political issues related to mining and use of in situ resources on planetary surfaces by one nation, several nations, or the whole space community? What should be done from the international perspective?
11:30
Wrap-Up Discussion/Where We Go Now
Darrell Branscome
12:00
noon Adjourn
Items in cart [0]
