References

Adler, R.J., R.E. Feldman, and M.S. Taggu. 1998. A Practical Guide to Heavy Tails: Statistical Techniques and Applications. Boston, Mass.: Birkhäuser.


Benjamin, J.R., and C. Allin Cornell III. 1970. Probability, Statistics, and Decision for Civil Engineers. New York: McGraw-Hill.

Breyfogle, Forrest W., III. 1999. Implementing Six Sigma: Smarter Solutions Using Statistical Methods. New York: John Wiley and Sons.

Burlington, Richard S., and Donald C. May, Jr. 1953. Handbook of Probability and Statistics with Tables. Sandusky, Ohio: Handbook Publishers, Inc.


CII (Construction Industry Institute). 1996. PDRI: Project Definition Rating Index, Industrial Projects. The Construction Industry Institute, Implementation Resource 113-2, July.

CII. 1999. PDRI: Project Definition Rating Index, Building Projects. The Construction Industry Institute, Implementation Resource 155-2, July.

CII. 2003. International Project Risk Assessment. Austin, Tex.: The Construction Industry Institute.

Cooper, K.G. 1980. “Naval Ship Production: A Claim Settled and a Framework Built.” Interfaces 10(6): 20-36.

Cox, L.A., Jr. 2002. Risk Analysis: Foundations, Models and Methods. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.


Efron, B., and R.J. Tibshirani. 1993. An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability. No. 57. London, U.K.: Chapman and Hall.

EIA (Electronic Industries Alliance). 1998. EIA Standard EIA-748, Earned Value Management Systems. Englewood, Colo.: Global Engineering Documents.


Flyvbjerg, Bent, Nils Bruzelius, and Werner Rothengatter. 2003. Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition . Cambridge, U.K.: University Press.

Flyvbjerg, B., M.S. Holm, and S. Buhl. 2002. “Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?” Journal of the American Planning Association 68(3): 279-295.

Ford, D., and J. Sterman. 2003. Overcoming the 90% Syndrome: Iteration Management in Concurrent Development Projects. Concurrent Engineering Research and Applications 111 (3):177-186.

Forrester, Jay W. 1969. Urban Dynamics. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.



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The Owner’s Role in Project Rick Management References Adler, R.J., R.E. Feldman, and M.S. Taggu. 1998. A Practical Guide to Heavy Tails: Statistical Techniques and Applications. Boston, Mass.: Birkhäuser. Benjamin, J.R., and C. Allin Cornell III. 1970. Probability, Statistics, and Decision for Civil Engineers. New York: McGraw-Hill. Breyfogle, Forrest W., III. 1999. Implementing Six Sigma: Smarter Solutions Using Statistical Methods. New York: John Wiley and Sons. Burlington, Richard S., and Donald C. May, Jr. 1953. Handbook of Probability and Statistics with Tables. Sandusky, Ohio: Handbook Publishers, Inc. CII (Construction Industry Institute). 1996. PDRI: Project Definition Rating Index, Industrial Projects. The Construction Industry Institute, Implementation Resource 113-2, July. CII. 1999. PDRI: Project Definition Rating Index, Building Projects. The Construction Industry Institute, Implementation Resource 155-2, July. CII. 2003. International Project Risk Assessment. Austin, Tex.: The Construction Industry Institute. Cooper, K.G. 1980. “Naval Ship Production: A Claim Settled and a Framework Built.” Interfaces 10(6): 20-36. Cox, L.A., Jr. 2002. Risk Analysis: Foundations, Models and Methods. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers. Efron, B., and R.J. Tibshirani. 1993. An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability. No. 57. London, U.K.: Chapman and Hall. EIA (Electronic Industries Alliance). 1998. EIA Standard EIA-748, Earned Value Management Systems. Englewood, Colo.: Global Engineering Documents. Flyvbjerg, Bent, Nils Bruzelius, and Werner Rothengatter. 2003. Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition . Cambridge, U.K.: University Press. Flyvbjerg, B., M.S. Holm, and S. Buhl. 2002. “Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?” Journal of the American Planning Association 68(3): 279-295. Ford, D., and J. Sterman. 2003. Overcoming the 90% Syndrome: Iteration Management in Concurrent Development Projects. Concurrent Engineering Research and Applications 111 (3):177-186. Forrester, Jay W. 1969. Urban Dynamics. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.

OCR for page 79
The Owner’s Role in Project Rick Management Greenberg, H.R., and J.J.Cramer, eds. 1991. Risk Assessment and Risk Management for the Chemical Process Industry. New York: Van Nostrand-Reinhold. Hald, A. 1952. Statistical Theory with Engineering Applications. New York: John Wiley and Sons. Halpin, Daniel W., and Luis-Henrique Martinez. 1999. “Real-world Applications of Construction Process Simulation.” Proceedings of the 1999 Winter Simulation Conference. Available online at http://www.informs-cs.org/wsc99papers/prog99.html. Accessed August 4, 2004. Keeney, R.L., and D. von Winterfeldt. 1991. “Eliciting Probabilities from Experts in Complex Technical Problems.” IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management 38: 191-201. Lyneis, J.M., K.G. Cooper, and S.A. Els. 2001. “Strategic Management of Complex Projects: A Case Study Using System Dynamics.” System Dynamics Review 17(3): 237-260. Mak, Stephen, and David Picken. 2000. “Using Risk Analysis to Determine Construction Project Contingencies.” ASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management 126 (2): 130-136. March, James G., and Zur Shapira. 1987. “Managerial Perspectives on Risk and Risk Taking.” Management Science 31 (11): 1404-1418. Miller, Roger, and Donald R. Lessard. 2000. The Strategic Management of Large Engineering Projects: Shaping Institutions, Risks, and Governance. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press. NRC (National Research Council). 1996. Understanding Risk: Informing Decisions in a Democratic Society. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press. NRC. 1998. Assessing the Need for Independent Project Reviews in the Department of Energy. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press. NRC. 1999. Improving Project Management in the Department of Energy. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press. NRC. 2001. Progress in Improving Project Management at the Department of Energy, 2001 Assessment. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press. NRC. 2003. Progress in Improving Project Management at the Department of Energy, 2002 Assessment. Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press. NRC. 2004. Progress in Improving Project Management at the Department of Energy, 2003 Assessment. Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press. OMB (Office of Management and Budget). 1992. Guidelines and Discount Rates for Benefit-Cost Analysis of Federal Programs. OMB Circular No. A-94. Washington, D.C.: The White House. Popper, Karl R. 1959. The Logic of Scientific Discovery. New York: Harper & Row. Roberts, Edward B., ed. 1978. Managerial Applications of System Dynamics. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press. Savage, S.L. 2002. “The Flaw of Averages.” Harvard Business Review 80 (11). Shenhar, A.J. 2001. “One Size Does Not Fit All Projects: Exploring Classical Contingency Domains.” Management Science 47 (3): 394-414. U.S. Congress. 1997. Committee of Conference on Energy and Water Development, HR 1056-271. Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office.