APPENDIX B
WORKSHOP AGENDA
Decision Support Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting Workshop
Hosted by the
U.S. National Academy of Sciences
Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center
Irvine, California, USA
May 6-8, 2004
Agenda
Summary of workshop activities:
On Day 1 (Thursday) we will spend most of our time discussing each of the cases. We will start each discussion with a focus on the needs of the users of forecasts and try to get beginning answers to questions such as (1) What “success” of the forecasting system means. (2) Where is the system close to and far from success? (3) What have been the greatest barriers or challenges? (4) How have those been successfully addressed? WHILE WE WOULD LIKE YOU TO ARRIVE AT THE WORKSHOP HAVING THOUGHT ABOUT YOUR CASE AND EXPERIENCE IN LIGHT OF THE THEME PAPER WE WILL SEND, WE DO NOT WANT YOU TO HAVE A PREPARED POWERPOINT SLIDE SHOW. WE SEE THIS MORE AS A GIVE-AND-TAKE DISCUSSION.
On Day 2 (Friday), we will take a cross-cut look at the different cases, focusing on our three themes: (1) What makes forecasts salient, credible, and legitimate? (2) How do systems deal with cross-scale interactions (e.g., international to local)? and (3) What kinds of institutional and organizational structures contribute to success? On the evening of Day 2, participants will begin identifying lessons learned.
On Day 3 (Saturday), we will have an in-depth discussion of the lessons participants identify - discussing parallels across cases and interactions across themes. The activities of this day are critical in synthesizing the work of the prior two days.
AGENDA:
Wednesday May 5 |
|
~6:30pm |
Dinner - Workshop Goals, Introductions |
Thursday May 6 |
|
8:00-8:30 |
Breakfast at Beckman Center |
8:30-8:45 |
Plenary - Outline of workshop, plan of work |
8:45-9:30 |
Plenary - Central themes/questions on which we’ll focus Salience, credibility, and legitimacy Scale Institutions |
9:30-10:45 |
Plenary - Case: U.S. Pacific Northwest Each Case discussion will start with a focus on the users, and probe questions about (1) What does “success” mean? (2) Where is the system close to and far from success? (3) What have been the greatest barriers or challenges? (4) How have those been successfully addressed? |
10:45-11:00 |
Break |
11:00-12:15 |
Plenary - Case: Brazil |
12:15-1:15 |
Lunch |
1:15-2:30 |
Plenary - Case: Pacific ENSO Applications Center |
2:30-2:45 |
Break |
2:45-4:00 |
Plenary - Case: Colombia |
4:00-5:15 |
Plenary - Case: Queensland, Australia |
5:15-5:30 |
Plenary - Wrap-up |
5:30 |
Adjourn |
6:00 |
Dinner |
Friday May 7 |
|
8:00 |
Breakfast at Beckman Center |
8:30 |
Plenary - Charge for the day |
8:30-10:00 |
Parallel break-out groups - Theme 1: Salience, credibility, and legitimacy. |
10:00-10:15 |
Break |
10:15-11:00 |
Plenary - Discussion of Theme 1 Report out by three rapporteurs |
11:00-12:30 |
Parallel break-out groups - Theme 2: Linking global to local, cross-scale interactions. |
12:30-1:30 |
Lunch |
1:30-2:15 |
Plenary - Discussion of Theme 2 Report out by three rapporteurs |
2:15-2:30 |
Break |
2:30-4:00 |
Parallel break-out groups - Theme 3: Institutions for linking forecasts to decision making |
4:00-4:45 |
Plenary - Discussion of Theme 3 Report out by three rapporteurs |
4:45-5:00 |
Break |
5:00-5:45 |
Plenary - Discussion of connection between themes, missing issues Charge for the report writers |
5:45 |
Adjourn |
Saturday May 8 |
|
9:00-10:00 |
Plenary - Report on lessons learned |
10:00-12:00 |
Break-out groups by case: Discussion of case-specific examples of lessons learned |
12:00-1:00 |
Plenary - Next steps; Closing remarks/discussion |
1:00 |
Adjourn |