APPENDIX B
WORKSHOP AGENDA

Decision Support Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting Workshop

Hosted by the

U.S. National Academy of Sciences

Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center

Irvine, California, USA

May 6-8, 2004

Agenda

Summary of workshop activities:

On Day 1 (Thursday) we will spend most of our time discussing each of the cases. We will start each discussion with a focus on the needs of the users of forecasts and try to get beginning answers to questions such as (1) What “success” of the forecasting system means. (2) Where is the system close to and far from success? (3) What have been the greatest barriers or challenges? (4) How have those been successfully addressed? WHILE WE WOULD LIKE YOU TO ARRIVE AT THE WORKSHOP HAVING THOUGHT ABOUT YOUR CASE AND EXPERIENCE IN LIGHT OF THE THEME PAPER WE WILL SEND, WE DO NOT WANT YOU TO HAVE A PREPARED POWERPOINT SLIDE SHOW. WE SEE THIS MORE AS A GIVE-AND-TAKE DISCUSSION.

On Day 2 (Friday), we will take a cross-cut look at the different cases, focusing on our three themes: (1) What makes forecasts salient, credible, and legitimate? (2) How do systems deal with cross-scale interactions (e.g., international to local)? and (3) What kinds of institutional and organizational structures contribute to success? On the evening of Day 2, participants will begin identifying lessons learned.

On Day 3 (Saturday), we will have an in-depth discussion of the lessons participants identify - discussing parallels across cases and interactions across themes. The activities of this day are critical in synthesizing the work of the prior two days.

AGENDA:

Wednesday May 5

~6:30pm

Dinner - Workshop Goals, Introductions

Thursday May 6

8:00-8:30

Breakfast at Beckman Center

8:30-8:45

Plenary - Outline of workshop, plan of work

8:45-9:30

Plenary - Central themes/questions on which we’ll focus

Salience, credibility, and legitimacy

Scale

Institutions



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OCR for page 29
Knowledge-Action Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting: Summary of a Workshop APPENDIX B WORKSHOP AGENDA Decision Support Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting Workshop Hosted by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences Arnold and Mabel Beckman Center Irvine, California, USA May 6-8, 2004 Agenda Summary of workshop activities: On Day 1 (Thursday) we will spend most of our time discussing each of the cases. We will start each discussion with a focus on the needs of the users of forecasts and try to get beginning answers to questions such as (1) What “success” of the forecasting system means. (2) Where is the system close to and far from success? (3) What have been the greatest barriers or challenges? (4) How have those been successfully addressed? WHILE WE WOULD LIKE YOU TO ARRIVE AT THE WORKSHOP HAVING THOUGHT ABOUT YOUR CASE AND EXPERIENCE IN LIGHT OF THE THEME PAPER WE WILL SEND, WE DO NOT WANT YOU TO HAVE A PREPARED POWERPOINT SLIDE SHOW. WE SEE THIS MORE AS A GIVE-AND-TAKE DISCUSSION. On Day 2 (Friday), we will take a cross-cut look at the different cases, focusing on our three themes: (1) What makes forecasts salient, credible, and legitimate? (2) How do systems deal with cross-scale interactions (e.g., international to local)? and (3) What kinds of institutional and organizational structures contribute to success? On the evening of Day 2, participants will begin identifying lessons learned. On Day 3 (Saturday), we will have an in-depth discussion of the lessons participants identify - discussing parallels across cases and interactions across themes. The activities of this day are critical in synthesizing the work of the prior two days. AGENDA: Wednesday May 5 ~6:30pm Dinner - Workshop Goals, Introductions Thursday May 6 8:00-8:30 Breakfast at Beckman Center 8:30-8:45 Plenary - Outline of workshop, plan of work 8:45-9:30 Plenary - Central themes/questions on which we’ll focus Salience, credibility, and legitimacy Scale Institutions

OCR for page 29
Knowledge-Action Systems for Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasting: Summary of a Workshop 9:30-10:45 Plenary - Case: U.S. Pacific Northwest Each Case discussion will start with a focus on the users, and probe questions about (1) What does “success” mean? (2) Where is the system close to and far from success? (3) What have been the greatest barriers or challenges? (4) How have those been successfully addressed? 10:45-11:00 Break 11:00-12:15 Plenary - Case: Brazil 12:15-1:15 Lunch 1:15-2:30 Plenary - Case: Pacific ENSO Applications Center 2:30-2:45 Break 2:45-4:00 Plenary - Case: Colombia 4:00-5:15 Plenary - Case: Queensland, Australia 5:15-5:30 Plenary - Wrap-up 5:30 Adjourn 6:00 Dinner Friday May 7 8:00 Breakfast at Beckman Center 8:30 Plenary - Charge for the day 8:30-10:00 Parallel break-out groups - Theme 1: Salience, credibility, and legitimacy. 10:00-10:15 Break 10:15-11:00 Plenary - Discussion of Theme 1 Report out by three rapporteurs 11:00-12:30 Parallel break-out groups - Theme 2: Linking global to local, cross-scale interactions. 12:30-1:30 Lunch 1:30-2:15 Plenary - Discussion of Theme 2 Report out by three rapporteurs 2:15-2:30 Break 2:30-4:00 Parallel break-out groups - Theme 3: Institutions for linking forecasts to decision making 4:00-4:45 Plenary - Discussion of Theme 3 Report out by three rapporteurs 4:45-5:00 Break 5:00-5:45 Plenary - Discussion of connection between themes, missing issues Charge for the report writers 5:45 Adjourn Saturday May 8 9:00-10:00 Plenary - Report on lessons learned 10:00-12:00 Break-out groups by case: Discussion of case-specific examples of lessons learned 12:00-1:00 Plenary - Next steps; Closing remarks/discussion 1:00 Adjourn