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SLIDE 2

SLIDE 2 NOTES: Our model is a cohort model. The main outputs are average years of life lived and accrued costs per person.

It can be an converted to an aggregate annual model by combining the estimates for every age group in each year and projecting to the national population. Year-2000 U.S. Census data can be combined with age-specific model outputs to make predictions for the U.S. population (aggregate annual model), as opposed to a hypothetical cohort of a given size starting at age 50 years.

The model is a Markov model. For the purposes of the pre-workshop modeling exercise, it followed people from age 50 to 85 years of age, or until death if that came before age 85. The model can incorporate stopping ages up to age 100. It is also possible to treat each sex separately, though most of our work has been with average values for the entire population.

The current version runs on DataPro™, a commercial software package.



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