2-1

 

Matrix for assessing benefits and costs retrospectively,

 

9

2-2

 

Results matrix for evaluating benefits and costs prospectively,

 

10

3-1

 

Results matrix for evaluating benefits and costs prospectively,

 

14

3-2

 

Decision tree,

 

20

3-3

 

Example of decision tree applied to advanced lighting programs,

 

21

3-4

 

Benefits of energy efficiency advances,

 

26

3-5

 

Benefits of energy efficiency advances,

 

27

3-6

 

Benefits of resource supply enhancement,

 

29

5-1

 

Probability of technical success,

 

40

5-2

 

SSL Program prospective benefits, reduced budget,

 

41

1

 

Matrix for assessing benefits and costs retrospectively,

 

65

2

 

Matrix for assessing benefits and costs prospectively,

 

66

E-1

 

Matrix for assessing benefits and costs prospectively,

 

71

F-1

 

Trends in solid state lighting efficacy,

 

77

F-2

 

Solid state lighting economic benefits at a budget of $25 million per year,

 

79

F-3

 

Probability of technical success,

 

80

F-4

 

SSL Program prospective benefits, full funding,

 

81

F-5

 

SSL Program prospective benefits, reduced budget,

 

82

G-1

 

Schematic illustration of benefits calculation,

 

92

G-2

 

Cost and amount of zero-emissions electricity based on simplified calculations roughly matching DOE’s assumptions,

 

93

G-3

 

Cost and amount of zero-emissions electricity for one possible path through the decision tree,

 

96

G-4

 

The range of expected cost improvements predicted by the panel members,

 

97

G-5

 

Panelists’ assessment of cost reductions translated into expected benefits with and without sequestration risk,

 

98

G-6

 

Prospective benefits matrix for the Carbon Sequestration Program,

 

99

H-1

 

Prospective benefits matrix for the vehicle fuel cell program,

 

106

H-2

 

Prospective benefits matrix for the Solid State Energy Conversion Alliance (SECA) program,

 

111

J-1

 

Template for presenting panel results,

 

122

K-1

 

Program Assessment Summary (PAS) form, to be completed by DOE,

 

125



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