BOX 1-1
Candidate Technologies Likely to Impact National Security by the 2015 Time Frame, Identified by a Panel of Experts

First Tier: High-Impact Technologies

  • Gene Therapy

  • Wireless Communications

  • Image Understanding

  • Cloned or Tailored Organisms

  • MicroElectroMechanical Systems (MEMS)

  • Nanotechnology

Second Tier Technologies

  • Optical Communications

  • Regenerative Medicine

  • Efficient Software Development

  • Sensor Webs

  • Advanced Materials

Third Tier: Below-Threshold Technologies

  • Hypersonic/Supersonic Aircraft

  • Next-Generation Space Shuttle System

  • Alternative Energy

  • Distributed Energy

  • New-Generation Nuclear Power Plants

  • Fuel Cells

Other Technologies Considered

  • Brain-Machine Interfaces

  • “Smart” Materials (organic and inorganic)

  • Distributed-Grid-Based Processing Systems

  • Performance-Enhancing Drugs

  • Multilingual Voice Recognition

  • Molecular Electronics

  • Ubiquitous Water Generation

  • High-Power Lasers

  • Directed Energy (Microwave)

NOTE: See definitions of these technologies in Appendix C of this report.

SOURCE: OTI IA (2001).



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