. "12 Estimating Cancer Risk." Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation: BEIR VII Phase 2. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2006.
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Health Risks from Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation: Beir VII Phase 2
TABLE 12D-1 Lifetime Attributable Risk of Cancer Incidencea
Cancer Site
Age at Exposure (years)
0
5
10
15
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Males
Stomach
76
65
55
46
40
28
27
25
20
14
7
Colon
336
285
241
204
173
125
122
113
94
65
30
Liver
61
50
43
36
30
22
21
19
14
8
3
Lung
314
261
216
180
149
105
104
101
89
65
34
Prostate
93
80
67
57
48
35
35
33
26
14
5
Bladder
209
177
150
127
108
79
79
76
66
47
23
Other
1123
672
503
394
312
198
172
140
98
57
23
Thyroid
115
76
50
33
21
9
3
1
0.3
0.1
0.0
All solid
2326
1667
1325
1076
881
602
564
507
407
270
126
Leukemia
237
149
120
105
96
84
84
84
82
73
48
All cancers
2563
1816
1445
1182
977
686
648
591
489
343
174
Females
Stomach
101
85
72
61
52
36
35
32
27
19
11
Colon
220
187
158
134
114
82
79
73
62
45
23
Liver
28
23
20
16
14
10
10
9
7
5
2
Lung
733
608
504
417
346
242
240
230
201
147
77
Breast
1171
914
712
553
429
253
141
70
31
12
4
Uterus
50
42
36
30
26
18
16
13
9
5
2
Ovary
104
87
73
60
50
34
31
25
18
11
5
Bladder
212
180
152
129
109
79
78
74
64
47
24
Other
1339
719
523
409
323
207
181
148
109
68
30
Thyroid
634
419
275
178
113
41
14
4
1
0.3
0.0
All solid
4592
3265
2525
1988
1575
1002
824
678
529
358
177
Leukemia
185
112
86
76
71
63
62
62
57
51
37
All cancers
4777
3377
2611
2064
1646
1065
886
740
586
409
214
NOTE: Number of cases per 100,000 persons exposed to a single dose of 0.1 Gy.
aThese estimates are obtained as combined estimates based on relative and absolute risk transport and have been adjusted by a DDREF of 1.5, except for leukemia, which is based on a linear-quadratic model.
TABLE 12D-2 Lifetime Attributable Risk of Cancer Mortalitya
Cancer Site
Age at Exposure (years)
0
5
10
15
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Males
Stomach
41
34
30
25
21
16
15
13
11
8
4
Colon
163
139
117
99
84
61
60
57
49
36
21
Liver
44
37
31
27
23
16
16
14
12
8
4
Lung
318
264
219
182
151
107
107
104
93
71
42
Prostate
17
15
12
10
9
7
6
7
7
7
5
Bladder
45
38
32
27
23
17
17
17
17
15
10
Other
400
255
200
162
134
94
88
77
58
36
17
All solid
1028
781
641
533
444
317
310
289
246
181
102
Leukemia
71
71
71
70
67
64
67
71
73
69
51
All cancers
1099
852
712
603
511
381
377
360
319
250
153
Females
Stomach
57
48
41
34
29
21
20
19
16
13
8
Colon
102
86
73
62
53
38
37
35
31
25
15
Liver
24
20
17
14
12
9
8
8
7
5
3
Lung
643
534
442
367
305
213
212
204
183
140
81
Breast
274
214
167
130
101
61
35
19
9
5
2
Uterus
11
10
8
7
6
4
4
3
3
2
1
Ovary
55
47
39
34
28
20
20
18
15
10
5
Bladder
59
51
43
36
31
23
23
22
22
19
13
Other
491
287
220
179
147
103
97
86
69
47
24
All solid
1717
1295
1051
862
711
491
455
415
354
265
152
Leukemia
53
52
53
52
51
51
52
54
55
52
38
All cancers
1770
1347
1104
914
762
542
507
469
409
317
190
NOTE: Number of deaths per 100,000 persons exposed to a single dose of 0.1 Gy.
aThese estimates are obtained as combined estimates based on relative and absolute risk transport and have been adjusted by a DDREF of 1.5, except for leukemia, which is based on a linear-quadratic model.
