Interim Report on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis (2007)

Closed Session (committee members and NRC staff only)

8:00 a.m.

Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public

9:45 a.m.

Introductory Remarks

Department of Homeland Security Science and Technology Leadership

10:00 a.m.

Biology Presentation (background for nonbiologists)

Prof. Luciana Borio, University of Pittsburgh, Center for Biosecurity

10:45 a.m.

Break

11:00 a.m.

DHS and National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center (NBACC) Background and Risk Assessment Requirements

Dr. Steven Bennett, DHS/NBACC

Dr. Bernard Courtney, DHS/NBACC

11:30 a.m.

DHS 2006 Bioterrorism Risk Assessment Methodology

Dr. Richard Denning, Battelle Memorial Institute

1:00 p.m.

Lunch

1:45 p.m.

Past Experiences and Implications for Bioterrorism

Prof. Detlof von Winterfeldt, Director, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California

2:15 p.m.

Assessing the Economic Impacts of Terrorism—Capturing Behavioral Linkages and Resilience

Prof. Adam Rose, Pennsylvania State University and CREATE

Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public: Scenario

Analysis and Consequence Modeling

3:00 p.m

Branch Probabilities and Uncertainty Management

Mr. Rob Carnell, Battelle

Atmospheric (Outdoor) Dispersion Modeling

Ms. Mary Shell, Battelle

Indoor Aerosol Dispersion Modeling

Dr. Brian Hawkins, Battelle

Medical Mitigation and Epidemiological Modeling

Ms. Traci Hale and Dr. Nancy McMillan, Battelle

Food and Water Contamination Modeling

Mr. Jon David Sears, Battelle

Risk Calculation Engine

Mr. Rob Carnell, Battelle

Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public

9:30 a.m.

Updates and Planned Changes for the 2008 Bioterrorism Risk Assessment

DHS/NBACC, Battelle Staff

10:45 a.m

Break

Closed Session (committee members and NRC staff only)