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Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results (2007)

Chapter: Appendix A: Status of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Status of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products." National Research Council. 2007. Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/11934.
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Page 139
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Status of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products." National Research Council. 2007. Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/11934.
×
Page 140
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Status of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products." National Research Council. 2007. Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/11934.
×
Page 141
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Status of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products." National Research Council. 2007. Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program: Methods and Preliminary Results. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/11934.
×
Page 142

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Appendix A Status of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Products Topic Prospectus Final Draft Publication 1.1 Temperature trends in 2/05 3/06 5/06 the lower atmosphere—Steps for understanding and reconciling differences 1.2 Past climate variability 1/07 6/08 and change in the Arctic and at high latitudes 1.3 Re-analyses of 10/06 6/08 historical climate data for key atmospheric features. Implications for attribution of causes of observed change 2.1 Scenarios of greenhouse 12/05 12/06 7/07 gas emissions and concentrations and review of integrated scenario development and application 2.2 North American carbon 2/06 3/07 7/07 budget and implications for the global carbon cycle 2.3. Aerosol properties and 7/07 9/07 their impacts on climate 2.4 Trends in emissions of 2/07 6/08 ozone-depleting substances, ozone layer recovery, and implications for ultraviolet radiation exposure 3.1 Climate models: An 2/06 9/07 10/07 assessment of strengths and limitations for user applications Continued 139

140 APPENDIX A Topic Prospectus Final Draft Publication 3.2 Climate projections for 10/06 12/07 research and assessment based on emissions scenarios developed through the Climate Change Technology Program 3.3 Weather and climate 7/06 6/08 extremes in a changing climate. Regions of focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific islands 3.4 Abrupt climate change 1/07 6/08 4.1 Coastal elevation and 12/06 12/07 sensitivity to sea level rise 4.2 Thresholds of change in 6/07 12/07 ecosystems 4.3 The effects of climate 12/06 12/07 change on agriculture, biodiversity, land, and water resources 4.4 Preliminary review 7/06 12/07 of adaptation options for climate-sensitive ecosystems and resources 4.5 Effects of climate change 4/06 6/07 7/07 on energy production and use in the United States 4.6 Analyses of the effects 7/06 12/07 of global change on human health and welfare and human systems 4.7 Impacts of climate 5/06 12/07 change and vulnerability on transportation systems and infrastructure: Gulf Coast study 5.1 Uses and limitations of 2/06 12/07 observations, data, forecasts, and other projections in decision support for selected sectors and regions

APPENDIX A 141 Topic Prospectus Final Draft Publication 5.2 Best practice approaches 10/06 9/07 for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in decision making 5.3 Decision support 4/06 12/07 experiments and evaluations using seasonal-to-interannual forecasts and observational data NOTE: All dates beyond 7/15/2007 are anticipated. Source: <http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/>.

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The U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) coordinates the efforts of 13 federal agencies to understand why climate is changing, to improve predictions about how it will change in the future, and to use that information to assess impacts on human systems and ecosystems and to better support decision making. Evaluating Progress of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program is the first review of the CCSP's progress since the program was established in 2002. It lays out a method for evaluating the CCSP, and uses that method to assess the strengths and weaknesses of the entire program and to identify areas where progress has not met expectations. The committee found that the program has made good progress in documenting and understanding temperature trends and related environmental changes on a global scale, as well as in understanding the influence of human activities on these observed changes. The ability to predict future climate changes also has improved, but efforts to understand the impacts of such changes on society and analyze mitigation and adaptation strategies are still relatively immature. The program also has not met expectations in supporting decision making, studying regional impacts, and communicating with a wider group of stakeholders.

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