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Research and Plans for Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Census: Interim Assessment: Panel on Coverage Evaluation and Correlation Bias in the 2010 Census
The panel offers four recommendations concerning coverage measurement plans for 2010. They are as follows:
Recommendation 1: The Census Bureau should evaluate, for use in the 2010Census Coverage Measurement Program, a broader range of models, mostimportantly logistic regression models, for net coverage error that include variablesin addition to those used to define the A.C.E. poststratification. These shouldinclude a wider range of predictors (e.g., geographic, contextual, family and housingvariables and census operational variables), alternative model forms (e.g.,classification trees), and the use of random effects to model small-area variation.
Recommendation 2: The Census Bureau should choose one or more of the proposeduses of administrative records (e.g., tax record data or state unemploymentcompensation data) for coverage improvement, nonresponse follow-up, or coveragemeasurement and comprehensively test those applications during the 2008 censusdress rehearsal. If a process using administrative records improves on processesused in 2000, that process should be implemented in the 2010 census.
Recommendation 3: The Census Bureau should collect data in the 2010 census tosupport development of a database that links person, household, and housing unitcharacteristics, census processes, and the presence or absence of census componentcoverage error. This database should also represent coverage errors, includingerroneous enumerations, enumerations in the wrong place, duplications, andomissions. The use of this database would better identify the sources of high rates ofcensus component coverage error.
Recommendation 4: Given the number of important research activities currentlyunder way, the needed design of the coverage measurement programs in the dressrehearsal and in the 2010 census, and the additional research suggested by thepanel, the Census Bureau should provide the coverage measurement group withsufficient resources to carry out its current research program, its planning activitiesregarding the dress rehearsal and the 2010 census, and the activities listed in thisreport.