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New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities: Volume I, Diseases of Importance in the United States (1985)
Board on Population Health and Public Health Practice (BPH)

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. "7. Calculation and Comparison of the Health Benefits and Costs Associated with Candidate Vaccines." New Vaccine Development: Establishing Priorities: Volume I, Diseases of Importance in the United States. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 1985.

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New Vaccine Development Establishing Priorities, Volume I: Diseases of Importance in the United States

FIGURE 7.3 Calculation of vaccination program costs.

of the vaccine and the time at which a steady-state yield of benefits would be achieved.

  1. Calculation of the annualized present value of expected reduction in morbidity costs; as illustrated in Figure 7.2. This procedure can also be applied to the costs of adverse effects calculated as noted under (6) above.

  2. Calculation of the net costs associated with each vaccine. The net totals represent the reductions in morbidity costs (taking into account vaccine efficacy, utilization, probability of success, and time to steady-state yield of benefits, Figure 7.2), adjusted for the actual cost of the vaccination program (at the predicted utilization rate, Figure 7.3), the annualized cost of vaccine development (see Chapter 3), and, where necessary, the actual cost of adverse effects (i.e., at the predicted utilization rate).

A more detailed explanation of some elements used in the calculations and a discussion of certain assumptions adopted to simplify the process appear below.

Vaccine Characteristics

The vaccine characteristics used in this comparison are described in Chapter 5, Table 5.1. Detailed information on specific vaccines is included in Appendixes C through P.

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Front Matter (R1-R14)
1. Summary (1-16)
2. Priority Setting for Health Related Investments: A Review of Methods (17-27)
3. Overview of the Analytic Approach (28-38)
4. Comparison of Disease Burdens and Costs (39-58)
5. Predictions on Vaccine Development (59-66)
6. Assessing the Likely Utilization of New Vaccines (67-91)
7. Calculation and Comparison of the Health Benefits and Costs Associated with Candidate Vaccines (92-120)
8. Additional Issues in the Selection of Priorities for Accelerated Vaccine Development (121-126)
9. Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations (127-148)
Appendix A: Some Examples of the Application of Project Selection Method (149-152)
Appendix B: Pathogenic Agents for Which Accelerated Vaccine Development Does Not Appear Appropriate (153-170)
Appendix C: Prospects for Immunizing Against Bordetella pertussis (171-182)
Appendix D: Prospects for Immunizing Against Coccidioidomycosis (183-197)
Appendix E: Prospects for Immunizing Against Cytomegalovirus (198-234)
Appendix F: Prospects for Immunizing Against Hemophilus influenzae type b (235-251)
Appendix G: Prospects for Immunizing Against Hepatitis A Virus (252-260)
Appendix H: Prospects for Immunizing Against Hepatitis B Virus (261-279)
Appendix I: Prospects for Immunizing Against Herpes Simplex Viruses 1 and 2 (280-312)
Appendix J: Prospects for Immunizing Against Herpesvirus varicellae (313-341)
Appendix K: Prospects for Immunizing Against Influenza Viruses A and B (342-364)
Appendix L: Prospects for Immunizing Against Neisseria gonorrhoeae (365-384)
Appendix M: Prospects for Immunizing Against Parainfluenza Viruses (385-396)
Appendix N: Prospects for Immunizing Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (397-409)
Appendix O: Prospects for Immunizing Against Rotavirus (410-423)
Appendix P: Prospects for Immunizing Against Streptococcus group B (424-439)
Appendix Q: Questionnaire for Assessing Morbidity-Mortality Trade-Offs (440-443)
Appendix R: Technical Notes (444-444)
Appendix S: Biographical Notes on Committee Members (445-449)
Appendix T: Additional Sources of Advice to the Committee (450-452)
Index (453-458)