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Amreica’s Enery Future: Technology and Transformation
TABLE 5.5 Estimated Costs of Various Fuel Products With and Without a CO2-Equivalent Price of $50 per Tonnea
Fuel Product
Cost Without CO2-Equivalent Price ($/bbl gasoline equivalent)
Cost With CO2-Equivalent Price of $50/Tonne ($/bbl gasoline equivalent)
Gasoline at crude oil price of $60/bbl
75
95
Gasoline at crude oil price of $100/bbl
115
135
Cellulosic ethanol
115
110
Biomass-to-liquid without CCS
140
130
Biomass-to-liquid with CCS
150
115
Coal-to-liquid without CCS
65
120
Coal-to-liquid with CCS
70
90
Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid without CCS
95
120
Coal-and-biomass-to-liquid with CCS
110
100
aNumbers are rounded to nearest $5. Estimated costs of fuel products for coal-to-liquids conversion represent the mean costs of fuels produced via FT and MTG.
results of the relatively small co-fed coal and biomass plant (total feed, 8000 tons per day) are particularly interesting. Fuels produced by that plant cost about $95/bbl on a gasoline-equivalent basis without CCS, and CO2 atmospheric releases from plants with CCS are negative. Those results point to the importance of that option in the U.S. energy strategy.
The important influence of CO2 price on fuel price is shown in Figure 5.6. In reading the graph, it is important to note that it shows the breakdown of all costs, including negative costs such as credit from electricity generation or carbon uptake. These negative costs must be subtracted from the positive ones in order to obtain the actual costs. For example, the cost of biomass-to-liquid fuel with CCS is $151/bbl – $37/bbl = $114/bbl. CO2 emissions for corn grain ethanol are slightly lower than for gasoline. In contrast, CO2 emissions of cellulosic ethanol without CCS are close to zero.
Figure 5.6 shows that a CO2 price of $50 per tonne significantly increases the costs of the fossil-fuel options, including the costs of petroleum-based gasoline. The large amount of CO2 vented in the coal-to-liquids process without CO2 storage almost doubles the cost of product once a carbon price of $50 per tonne of CO2 is imposed. The carbon price brings the cost of biochemical conversion options down to about $110/bbl.