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Appendix K
Meeting Agendas

AUGUST 28-29, 2006


Monday, August 28, 2006


Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only)

8:00 a.m.

Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public

9:45 a.m.

Introductory Remarks

Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Science and Technology Leadership

10:00

Biology Presentation (Background for Nonbiologists)

Prof. Luciana Borio, Center for Biosecurity, University of Pittsburgh

10:45

Break

 

11:00

DHS and National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center (NBACC) Background and Risk Assessment Requirements

Dr. Steve Bennett, DHS/NBACC

Dr. Bernard Courtney, DHS/NBACC

11:30

DHS 2006 Bioterrorism Risk Assessment Methodology

Dr. Richard Denning, Battelle Memorial Institute

1:00 p.m.

Lunch

 

1:45

Past Experiences and Implications for Bioterrorism

Prof. Detlof von Winterfeldt, Director, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California

2:15

Assessing the Economic Impacts of Terrorism—Capturing Behavioral Linkages and Resilience

Prof. Adam Rose, Pennsylvania State University and CREATE

2:45

Break

 

NOTE: Meetings of the Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security’s Biological Agent Risk Analysis were held at the Keck Center of the National Academies, 500 Fifth Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20001.



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OCR for page 149
Appendix K Meeting Agendas AUGUST 28-29, 2006 Monday, August 28, 2006 Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 8:00 a.m. Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public 9:45 a.m. Introductory Remarks Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Science and Technology Leadership 10:00 Biology Presentation (Background for Prof. Luciana Borio, Center for Biosecurity, Nonbiologists) University of Pittsburgh 10:45 Break 11:00 DHS and National Biodefense Analysis and Dr. Steve Bennett, DHS/NBACC Countermeasures Center (NBACC) Background Dr. Bernard Courtney, DHS/NBACC and Risk Assessment Requirements 11:30 DHS 2006 Bioterrorism Risk Assessment Dr. Richard Denning, Battelle Memorial Institute Methodology 1:00 p.m. Lunch 1:45 Past Experiences and Implications for Prof. Detlof von Winterfeldt, Director, Center for Bioterrorism Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California 2:15 Assessing the Economic Impacts of Terrorism— Prof. Adam Rose, Pennsylvania State University and Capturing Behavioral Linkages and Resilience CREATE 2:45 Break NOTE: Meetings of the Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security’s Biological Agent Risk Analysis were held at the Keck Center of the National Academies, 500 Fifth Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20001. 

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0 DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BIOTERRORISM RISK ASSESSMENT 3:00 Branch Probabilities and Uncertainty Mr. Rob Carnell, Battelle Management Atmospheric (Outdoor) Dispersion Modeling Ms. Mary Shell, Battelle Indoor Aerosol Dispersion Modeling Dr. Brian Hawkins, Battelle Medical Mitigation and Epidemiological Ms. Traci Hale and Dr. Nancy McMillan, Battelle Modeling Food and Water Contamination Modeling Mr. Jon David Sears, Battelle Risk Calculation Engine Mr. Rob Carnell, Battelle 5:30 p.m. Reception Tuesday, August 29, 2006 Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public 9:30 a.m. Updates and Planned Changes for the 2008 DHS/NBACC, Battelle Staff Bioterrorism Risk Assessment 10:45 Break Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 11:00 a.m. 4:00 p.m. Adjourn NOVEMBER 19-20, 2006 Sunday, November 19, 2006 Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 8:00 a.m. Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public 10:30 a.m. Break 11:00 Manufactured Bioagents Prof. Stephen Morse, Director, Center for Public Health Preparedness at the Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University 12:00 noon Lunch 1:00 p.m. Emerging Methods for Handling Large Degrees of Dr. Alyson Wilson, Technical Staff Member, Uncertainty Statistician and Technical Lead, Department of Defense Programs, Los Alamos National Laboratory 2:00 Strategies for Adversarial Risk Analysis Prof. David Banks, Institute of Statistics and Decision Sciences, Duke University 2:30 Frequentist Approach to Risk Analysis Prof. Tapan Nayak, Department of Statistics, George Washington University 3:30 Break

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 APPENDIX K Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 3:45 p.m. 5:30 p.m. Reception Monday, November 20, 2006 Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 8:00 a.m. Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public 9:30 a.m. DHS Chemical Agent Risk Analysis Dr. George Famini, DHS Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 10:30 p.m. FEBRUARY 9-10, 2007 Friday, February 9, 2007 Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 8:00 a.m. Data-Gathering Session Open to the Public1 8:45 a.m. Medical Response and Preparedness for a Dr. Norman Coleman, National Institutes of Health Radiological/Nuclear Event Dr. Peter Highnam, Public Health Emergency Medical Countermeasures (PHEMC)/Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR)/Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) 9:45 Perspectives on Risk Assessment for a Global Mr. Mark Mullen, Lead Systems Architect, Defense Nuclear Detection Architecture Nuclear Detection Office/DHS 10:30 Break 10:45 Strategic Biodefense Prof. Tara O’Toole, University of Pittsburgh 11:45 Lunch 12:30 p.m. Systems Dynamics Approach to the Spread of Ms. Cheryl Dingus, Battelle Infectious Disease Ms. Michelle Gisi, Battelle 1:30 The Spread of Infectious Disease Prof. Marc Lipsitch, Harvard University 1The committee deviated from this published schedule to hear an open briefing from Rear Admiral Jay Cohen, Undersecretary of Science and Technology of the Department of Homeland Security: “DHS Science and Technology: Enabling Technology to Protect the Nation,” from approximately 11:30 to 12:30.

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2 DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BIOTERRORISM RISK ASSESSMENT Saturday, February 10, 2007 Open Session 2 8:00 a.m. DHS Reaction to Interim Report Dr. Steve Bennett, DHS Changes at DHS 10:30 Break 10:45 Institute for Defense Analyses Approach to Risk Dr. James Morgensen, IDA Assessment for Critical Infrastructure 11:45 Lunch Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 12:30 p.m. MAY 18-19, 2007 Friday, May 18, 2007 Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 8:00 a.m. Saturday, May 19, 2007 Closed Session (Committee Members and NRC Staff Only) 8:00 a.m. 2This included the briefing: “2008 DHS Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: Planned Improvements,” by Traci Hale of Battelle Memorial Institute.