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Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change (2008)
Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications (BMSA)
Board on Life Sciences (BLS)

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. "Appendix M: Acronyms." Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2008.

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Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change

Appendix M
Acronyms

9/11 September 11, 2001

BDM Bioterrorist Decision Model

BTCC Biological Threat Characterization Center

BTRA Biological Threat Risk Assessment

CBA cost-benefit analysis

CBRN chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear

CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

CREATE Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events

DALY disability-adjusted life-year

DHS Department of Homeland Security

DNA deoxyribonucleic acid

DSS decision support system

EP exceedance probability

EPA Environmental Protection Agency

FY fiscal year

GAO General Accounting Office; now Government Accountability Office

HSPD Homeland Security Presidential Directive

IDS interdependent security

IL-4 interleukin-4

LHS Latin Hypercube Sampling

NBACC National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center

NRC National Research Council

OMB Office of Management and Budget

PCR polymerase chain reaction

PDF probability density function

PRA probabilistic risk assessment

QALY quality-adjusted life-year

RNA ribonucleic acid

SARS severe acute respiratory syndrome

SEIR susceptible, exposed, infected, and recovered

SME subject-matter expert

SRA Society for Risk Analysis

TOPOFF Top Officials

U.S. NRC U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission

WMD weapons of mass destruction

Page
157
Front Matter (R1-R14)
Summary (1-5)
1 Introduction (6-10)
2 The Critical Contribution of Risk Analysis to Risk Management and Reduction of Bioterrorism Risk (11-19)
3 Description and Analysis of the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Threat Risk Assessment of 2006 (20-33)
4 Department of Homeland Security Decision Requirements for Risk Management (34-41)
5 Risk Assessment for Unknown and Engineered Biothreat Agents (42-46)
6 Improving Bioterrorism Consequence Assessment (47-50)
7 Improving the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Threat Risk Assessment and Adding Risk Management (51-60)
Appendix A: Lexicon (61-77)
Appendix B: Mathematical Characterization of the Biological Threat Risk Assessment Event Tree and Risk Assessment (78-79)
Appendix C: Computational Example Illustrating the Replacement of a Joint Distribution of Arc Probabilities with Marginal Expected Values of Individual Arc Probabilities (80-84)
Appendix D: Bioterrorism Risk Analysis with Decision Trees (85-89)
Appendix E: Optimizing Department of Homeland Security Defense Investments: Applying Defender-Attacker (-Defender) Optimization to Terror Risk Assessment and Mitigation (90-102)
Appendix F: Combining Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Counterterrorism: A Smallpox Example (103-110)
Appendix G: On the Quantification of Uncertainty and Enhancing Probabilistic Risk Analysis (111-115)
Appendix H: Game Theory and Interdependencies (116-121)
Appendix I: Review of BTRA Modeling (122-125)
Appendix J: Reprinted Interim Report (126-148)
Appendix K: Meeting Agendas (149-152)
Appendix L: Biographies of Committee Members (153-156)
Appendix M: Acronyms (157-158)

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OCR for page 157
Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change Appendix M Acronyms 9/11 September 11, 2001 BDM Bioterrorist Decision Model BTCC Biological Threat Characterization Center BTRA Biological Threat Risk Assessment CBA cost-benefit analysis CBRN chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention CREATE Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events DALY disability-adjusted life-year DHS Department of Homeland Security DNA deoxyribonucleic acid DSS decision support system EP exceedance probability EPA Environmental Protection Agency FY fiscal year GAO General Accounting Office; now Government Accountability Office HSPD Homeland Security Presidential Directive IDS interdependent security IL-4 interleukin-4 LHS Latin Hypercube Sampling NBACC National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center NRC National Research Council OMB Office of Management and Budget PCR polymerase chain reaction PDF probability density function PRA probabilistic risk assessment QALY quality-adjusted life-year RNA ribonucleic acid SARS severe acute respiratory syndrome SEIR susceptible, exposed, infected, and recovered SME subject-matter expert SRA Society for Risk Analysis TOPOFF Top Officials U.S. NRC U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission WMD weapons of mass destruction

OCR for page 158
Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change This page intentionally left blank.