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Suggested Citation:"Appendix M: Acronyms." National Research Council. 2008. Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12206.
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Page 157
Suggested Citation:"Appendix M: Acronyms." National Research Council. 2008. Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12206.
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Page 158

Below is the uncorrected machine-read text of this chapter, intended to provide our own search engines and external engines with highly rich, chapter-representative searchable text of each book. Because it is UNCORRECTED material, please consider the following text as a useful but insufficient proxy for the authoritative book pages.

Appendix M Acronyms 9/11 September 11, 2001 BDM Bioterrorist Decision Model BTCC Biological Threat Characterization Center BTRA Biological Threat Risk Assessment CBA cost-benefit analysis CBRN chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention CREATE Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events DALY disability-adjusted life-year DHS Department of Homeland Security DNA deoxyribonucleic acid DSS decision support system EP exceedance probability EPA Environmental Protection Agency FY fiscal year GAO General Accounting Office; now Government Accountability Office HSPD Homeland Security Presidential Directive IDS interdependent security IL-4 interleukin-4 LHS Latin Hypercube Sampling NBACC National Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center NRC National Research Council OMB Office of Management and Budget PCR polymerase chain reaction PDF probability density function PRA probabilistic risk assessment QALY quality-adjusted life-year RNA ribonucleic acid SARS severe acute respiratory syndrome SEIR susceptible, exposed, infected, and recovered SME subject-matter expert SRA Society for Risk Analysis TOPOFF Top Officials U.S. NRC U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission WMD weapons of mass destruction 157

Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change Get This Book
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The mission of Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change, the book published in December 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates.

This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled.

Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.

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