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NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES NATIONAL ACADEMY OF ENGINEERING INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
June 18, 2004 Current Operating Status
International Cooperation for Mars Exploration and Sample
Return
Committee on Cooperative Mars Exploration and Sample Return
Space Studies Board
Commission on Physical Sciences,
Mathematics, and Resources
National Research Council
Notice
Membership
Executive Summary
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1. Introduction
2. General Considerations
National Policy
q
The Status of the U.S. Program and Programs of Other Nations
q
The Environment for International Cooperation
q
3. Intensive Investigations of Mars
General Characterization of the Planet
q
The Scientific and Technical Character of Mars Exploration
q
4. Possible Cooperative Mission Modes and Their Implications
The Present State of U.S. Mars Investigations and Planning
q
Varieties of U.S.-USSR Cooperation
q
Independently Conducted Programs
Split Responsibilities and Joint Technical Operations
A Highly Coordinated Exploration Program
5. Summary and Concluding Recommendations
Participation of Other Nations
q
Sample Return and Subsequent Scientific Analysis
q
References
National Academy Press, 1990
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NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES NATIONAL ACADEMY OF ENGINEERING INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
June 18, 2004 Current Operating Status
Space Studies Board
International Cooperation for Mars Exploration and Sample
Return
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the
Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn
from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of
Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee
responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with
regard for appropriate balance.
This report has been reviewed by a group other than the authors according to
procedures approved by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the
National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the
Institute of Medicine.
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Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in
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NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES NATIONAL ACADEMY OF ENGINEERING INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
June 18, 2004 Current Operating Status
International Cooperation for Mars Exploration and Sample
Return
Membership
COMMITTEE ON COOPERATIVE MARS EXPLORATION AND SAMPLE
RETURN
EUGENE H. LEVY, University of Arizona, Chairman
WILLIAM V. BOYNTON, University of Arizona
A.G.W. CAMERON, Harvard University
MICHAEL H. CARR, United States Geological Survey
JENNIFER H. KITCHELL, University of Michigan
PETER MAZUR, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
NORMAN R. PACE, Indiana University
RONALD G. PRINN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
SEAN C. SOLOMON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
GERALD J. WASSERBURG, California Institute of Technology
Ex Officio and Staff
THOMAS M. DONAHUE (Chairman, Space Science Board*), University of
Michigan
ROBERT O. PEPIN (Chairman, Committee on Planetary and Lunar Exploration),
University of Minnesota
DEAN P. KASTEL (Executive Secretary), Space Studies Board, National Research
Council
SPACE STUDIES BOARD
LOUIS J. LANZEROTTI, AT&T Bell Laboratories, Chairman
PHILIP ABELSON, American Association for the Advancement of Science
JOSEPH A. BURNS, Cornell University
JOHN R. CARRUTHERS, INTEL
ANDREA K. DUPREE, Center for Astrophysics
JOHN A. DUTTON, Pennsylvania State University
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LARRY W. ESPOSITO, University of Colorado
JAMES P. FERRIS, Renssalear Polytechnic Institute
HERBERT FRIEDMAN, Naval Research Laboratory
RICHARD L. GARWIN, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
RICCARDO GIACCONI, Space Telescope Science Institute
NOEL W. HINNERS, Martin Marietta Corporation
JAMES R. HOUCK, Cornell University
DAVID A. LANDGREBE, Purdue University
JOHN W. LEIBACHER, National Solar Observatory
ELLIOTT C. LEVINTHAL, Stanford University
MICHAEL MENDILLO, Boston University
WILLIAM J. MERRILL, JR., Texas A&M University
RICHARD K. MOORE, University of Kansas
ROBERT H. MOSER, NutraSweet Corporation
NORMAN F. NESS, Bartol Research Institute
MARCIA NEUGEBAUER, Jet Propulsion Laboratory
JOSEPH M. REYNOLDS, Louisiana State University
SALLY K. RIDE, California Space Institute
ROBERT F. SEKERKA, Carnegie Mellon University
MARK SETTLE, ARCO Oil and Gas Company
L. DENNIS SMITH, University of California at Irvine
BYRON D. TAPLEY, Center for Space Research
DEAN P. KASTEL, Staff Director
RICHARD C. HART, Acting Associate Staff Director
JOYCE M. PURCELL, Staff Officer
PAUL F. UHLIR, Staff Officer
LINDA S. HERINGTON, Staff Associate
CARMELA CHAMBERLAIN, Administrative Secretary
MELANIE GREEN, Senior Secretary
MARY ELLEN MACK, Senior Secretary
ANN SACCOMANO, Administrative Secretary
COMMISSION ON PHYSICAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICS, AND RESOURCES
NORMAN HACKERMAN, Robert A. Welch Foundation, Chairman
ROBERT C. BEARDSLEY, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute
B. CLARK BURCHFIEL, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
GEORGE F. CARRIER, Harvard University
RALPH J. CICERONE, University of California at Irvine
HERBERT D. DOAN, The Dow Chemical Company (retired)
PETER S. EAGLESON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
DEAN E. EASTMAN, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
MARY ANNE FOX, University of Texas at Austin
GERHART FRIEDLANDER, Brookhaven National Laboratory
LAWRENCE W. FUNKHOUSER, Chevron Corporation (retired)
PHILLIP A. GRIFFITHS, Duke University
NEAL F. LANE, Rice University
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CHRISTOPHER F. McKEE, University of California at Berkeley
RICHARD S. NICHOLSON, American Association for the Advancement of Science
JACK E. OLIVER, Cornell University
JEREMIAH P. OSTRIKER, Princeton University Observatory
PHILIP A. PALMER, E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Company
FRANK L. PALMER, Vanderbilt University
DENIS J. PRAGER, MacArthur Foundation
DAVID M. RAUP, University of Chicago
ROY F. SCHWITTERS, Superconducting Super Collider Laboratory
LARRY L. SMARR, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
KARL K. TUREKIAN, Yale University
MYRON F. UMAN, Acting Executive Director
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NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES NATIONAL ACADEMY OF ENGINEERING INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
June 18, 2004 Current Operating Status
International Cooperation for Mars Exploration and Sample
Return
Executive Summary
The goal of intensive Mars exploration by robotic systems coupled with the return
to Earth of martian materials is one of historic proportions and is widely recognized
as a premier objective of solar system investigation. The discoveries and
understanding generated in such an endeavor will be of fundamental scientific
importance in their own right and will be a focus of worldwide interest. The
scientific results will be basic to further exploratory activity and technological
developments.
The National Research Council's Space Studies Board has previously
recommended that the next major phase of Mars exploration for the United States
involve detailed in situ investigations of the surface of Mars and the return to Earth
for laboratory analysis of selected martian surface samples. 1 In addition, Mars
exploration is of wide scientific and technical interest to several other nations. More
recently, the European space science community has expressed general interest in
the concept of cooperative Mars exploration and sample return. The USSR has
now announced plans for a program of Mars exploration incorporating international
cooperation. If the opportunity becomes available to participate in Mars exploration,
interest is likely to emerge on the part of a number of other countries, including
Japan and Canada, among others.
The Space Studies Board's Committee on Cooperative Mars Exploration and
Sample Return was asked by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration
(NASA) to examine and report on the question of how Mars sample return missions
might best be structured for effective implementation by NASA along with
international partners.
The committee examined alternatives ranging from scientific missions in which the
United States would take a substantial lead, with international participation playing
only an ancillary role, to missions in which international cooperation would be a
basic part of the approach, with the international partners taking on comparably
large mission responsibilities. On the basis of scientific strategies developed earlier
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by the Space Studies Board, the committee considered the scientific and technical
basis of such collaboration and the most mutually beneficial arrangements for
constructing successful cooperative missions.
GENERAL PREMISES
The committee's charge was to examine the opportunities and benefits of various
approaches to international cooperation in Mars exploration as these derive from
the scientific objectives. That examination requires certain assumptions about the
quality and character of future U.S. and world space science. A large number of
the developed nations have evinced interest in Mars exploration. However, as will
be developed in this report, the committee noted that the United States and the
USSR currently occupy special positions with respect to experience, capability, and
commitment to intensive space exploration in general, and to Mars exploration in
particular. For this reason, the committee concluded that the character of intensive
Mars exploration will be determined by program commitments made in the United
States and the USSR and that the participation of other nations will be shaped
largely by opportunities deriving from those programs. Thus the level and the
nature of U.S.-Soviet cooperation are critical elements that will determine the
character of Mars exploration as well as its international aspects. Consequently,
this report takes the potential and the problems of U.S.-Soviet cooperation as its
primary, though not exclusive, focus.
The response of this committee to its charge rests on premises of overall policy
upon which the recommendations depend. The committee has summarized and
briefly discussed these premises as follows:
1. There is a need for the United States to reestablish its leadership in some
aspects of space science, including planetary exploration. At present, the
architectural goals of the U.S. space science program require both definition and a
firm plan for implementation. The committee assumes, for the purpose of this
report, that the United States will carry forward a vigorous national space science
program of high quality. This program is assumed to include international
participation and cooperation as enunciated in the National Aeronautics and Space
Act of 1958 and in the 1988 "Presidential Directive on National Space poliey." 2,3
2. Mars is an appropriate focus of a program that supports intensive scientific
investigation of our solar system, with the goal of developing our understanding of
the evolution of the terrestrial planets. The Space Studies Board has defined Mars
as the key immediate objective of this effort because the evolutionary track that
Mars has followed, while clearly divergent from the Earth's, has still produced
some remarkable similarities in the two planets. Moreover, by virtue of its proximity
and environment, Mars is unusually accessible to the intensive scientific
investigations that are required to address these questions of terrestrial planet
science.
3. The nation or group of nations that makes the necessary commitment to
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intensive Mars exploration with sample return will create a focus of intense
international attention and interest, both scientifically and in the public at large. The
principal nations involved will thus play a leading role in space science activities
and technological development for at least a decade.
SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL PREMISES
In formulating recommendations, the committee took careful note of the breadth
and intensity of the investigations that will be needed to accomplish the Mars
scientific objectives. The motivation for intensive scientific exploration of Mars is to
understand that planet at a level that will allow important questions to be answered
about the planet's history and evolution and about the character and stability of its
environment. In some respects, the character of the questions that we seek to
answer in exploring Mars is similar to the character of questions that we address in
studies of Earth. To achieve these scientific goals, it will be necessary to conduct a
sequence of missions to Mars that involve both in situ investigations and sample
return. The committee envisions that a first phase of such detailed Mars
investigations should entail several missions, conducted over a number of years, to
a set of selected, diverse sites. Such a program would provide a major increment
of knowledge about the planet Mars and about the states and evolutions of
terrestrial planets in general. It would also provide the basis of fact that is needed
to inform future decisions about further levels of Mars investigation, including the
potential for human exploration of that planet.
This breadth and character of Mars exploration, as they are dictated by the
scientific objectives, provide the framework of anticipated exploratory and scientific
endeavors on Mars that should be the focus of cooperative international activity.
Certain technical issues also enter into determining the most effective approach to
international cooperation in the exploration of Mars. Cooperation between two or
more independent technical organizations involves costs as well as benefits. The
magnitude of the costs is especially dependent on the character of the technical
and management interfaces involved. The costs of a major joint undertaking are
also highly susceptible to variations on the existence of stable long-term working
relationships, an established means of communication, and mutual understanding
about the partner's institutions. The committee's recommendations attempt to
balance the benefits and the costs of cooperation, within the specific framework of
the required scientific and technical activities, and to provide a path along which
relationships can be built that can lead to closer cooperation in the future.
However, it is also recognized that decisions to undertake Cooperative programs
may be based on other national policy considerations and social motivations. Such
an approach could dictate more intimate cooperation from the beginning to achieve
objectives connected with demonstrating the ability of the United States and the
USSR to cooperate. Thus the need to establish cooperative relationships and
understanding might be seen as a net benefit rather than a net cost. Such an
expansion of the initial cooperation would not be inconsistent with the committee's
recommendations, but rather would constitute an acceleration of the
recommended, longer-term evolution of the cooperative relationship. This issue lies
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in the realm of U.S. national policies that are outside the purview of this report.
GENERAL BACKGROUND
The accomplishments of the 1976 U.S. Viking mission generated a major advance
in the study of Mars. The further commitment of the United States to the 1992 Mars
Observer mission represents a logical next step in a Mars exploration program.
Beyond Mars Observer, the United States has announced no specific plans for
defining and implementing a strategy for continuing intensive exploration of Mars.
There exists a clear need for the United States to reestablish vigorous leadership
in crucial aspects of space science, including planetary exploration. A commitment
to leading participation in a multinational program of Mars investigation would meet
this need and would be in full consonance with the 1988 "Presidential Directive." 3
Intensive Mars exploration is an appropriate focus of international scientific
cooperation. The breadth and significance of the scientific problems to be
investigated on Mars—as well as the expected expansion of knowledge about
terrestrial planets in general, including Earth—make Mars investigations of deep
and persistent interest to a broad, international community of scientists. The scope
of investigations and operations needed to explore Mars provides a rich
opportunity for a variety of missions that can fruitfully involve all of the interested
nations and space agencies. The number of missions required to survey and
sample an appropriate diversity of sites on Mars means that substantial economies
can be realized by combining the resources of several nations in a joint program of
the highest quality and productivity. The intrinsic significance of Mars exploration
and sample return has evoked a major announced activity within the Soviet Union
to aggressively pursue the scientific exploration of Mars; the first mission in this
long-term Soviet endeavor was the 1988 Phobos mission, which, however, did not
achieve all of its scientific objectives.
Establishment of a multinational Mars exploration program will demand effective
international cooperation and commitment to the longevity of that cooperation.
There is a tradition of cooperation between the United States and European
scientific and industrial communities. This relationship has been highly synergistic.
Continuing such relationships in the context of international investigation of Mars,
with full appreciation and respect for the scientific and technological maturity of
European space science and for the potential importance of European
contributions to such a program, would represent a natural and mutually beneficial
evolution of past and present associations. It is important in this context to
recognize that the European scientific community has become increasingly
involved in Soviet space programs as U.S. launch opportunities and space science
programs have diminished and as USSR programs have increasingly encouraged
participation by Western nations. This trend is likely to continue; the European
nations and scientific communities have important interests of their own and should
be expected to pursue these interests by the most effective means available to
them.
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At least three space agencies—those of the United States, the USSR, and the
European community—are capable of planning and executing ambitious planetary
exploration programs. A larger number of nations and space agencies are eager to
participate in the scientific and technical opportunities offered by these three
agencies. High interest has been shown by several European nations, and by the
European Space Agency, in participating in Mars exploration; there is the
possibility, in the context of an exciting international opportunity for Mars
exploration, that many other nations will wish to participate, including Japan and
Canada, among others.
Although many nations have a broad interest in Mars exploration, the United States
and the USSR will play unique roles in any comprehensive international Mars
initiative because of their historic commitments to space exploration and because
of their launch capabilities and their established scientific and technical
infrastructures for planetary exploration. The United States and the USSR are the
only nations currently in a position to take on the lead role in a major Mars program
that includes surface exploration of the planet and sample return. Therefore, the
committee has assumed that the gross structure of any intensive Mars exploration
program will be determined by policy and programmatic decisions made in the
United States and the USSR and that, for at least the next decade, the
opportunities for other nations to participate in intensive Mars exploration will
depend on the programs undertaken by the United States and the USSR. It is for
that reason that the present report focuses primarily on the possibility of U.S.-
USSR cooperation and on the question of how best to achieve the potential of such
cooperation. This focus is not intended to underestimate the importance of
participation by other nations and space agencies. The highly developed scientific
and technical talents and capacities that exist in these nations would render their
participation extremely valuable and important.
There is little precedent for long-term or close cooperation between the United
States and the USSR in major space endeavors. However, one cooperative
mission (Apollo-Soyuz) has been carried out, and mechanisms of scientific
exchange have been increasing regularly to the point that longer-term plans and
mission possibilities are now exchanged. The exchange of scientific and technical
data during and, after missions has become increasingly common. In addition,
there have been instances of limited cooperation and technical interchange in
space projects. There is no compelling constraint, at the scientific level of
consideration, on the expansion of existing relationships between the two nations,
or on the creation and formalization of those new modes of interaction that would
be needed to implement a cooperative program of Mars exploration. However, a
prudent approach would be to begin cooperating in activities that are especially
resilient to unforeseen technical and nontechnical problems, and to anticipate
building closer kinds of future cooperation on the basis of accumulated success
and experience. Considering the complexity of such an enterprise, a time scale of
perhaps a decade may be required to achieve this goal.
The committee assessed a range of possible approaches to U.S.-USSR
cooperation in the exploration of Mars. The approaches considered have been
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divided into three general categories:
Independently conducted programs. In this approach, there would be
q
essentially no significant level of cooperation. Each side would plan and
conduct its own program. Opportunities that might fortuitously arise
would be candidates for possible low-level cooperative activities. But the
planning for such opportunities would not play a major role in the
shaping of either nation's program. This approach would continue the
status quo.
Split responsibilities and joint technical operations. This is the most
q
ambitious approach insofar as international cooperation is concerned.
The two sides would divide specific technical responsibilities in the
context of missions that would be conducted jointly. The dependence of
each side on the other and the intimacy of the technical interfaces would
be maximized in this approach. The success of each mission would
hinge on the success of the interaction.
A highly coordinated exploration program. In this approach, the two sides
q
would define, plan, and carry out a joint program of Mars exploration and
sample return. The program—extending over a period of years—would
consist of a sequence of highly coordinated missions, carried out in
pairs, one mission by each side. Each mission could largely succeed
without depending on its counterpart„ but the success of the overall
program would depend on the overall success of the cooperation and the
contributions of the two sides.
The committee considers that the best approach to carrying out cooperative
exploration of the planet Mars would strike a balance between very close
cooperation that involved division of responsibility and joint technical operations,
and independent, nearly noninteracting programs. Insofar as the major participants
would be the United States and the USSR, the committee recommends an
approach in which the two nations initially would agree to carry out a highly
coordinated program of intensive Mars exploration and sample return, consisting of
independently conducted missions. The two sides would work together at all levels,
from the initial planning of scientific objectives, experimental approaches, principles
of sample collection, and site selection. However, in the early stages, the two sides
would conduct their own self-contained and independently designed missions, with
specific interaction at Mars limited to the coordination of networked investigations,
where that is beneficial, and to mutual support and backup of communications and
data telemetry. The exchange of instruments and scientific investigators would be
encouraged in cases where it would be beneficial. An important element in the
planning of this program would be to provide opportunities for participation by other
interested nations.
RECOMMENDATIONS
In analyzing the possibilities for international cooperation in Mars exploration and
sample return, the committee identified both substantial benefits and potential
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costs. Mars presents a large and complex system and poses planetary-scale
scientific questions, obtaining the answers to which will require an ambitious
program of in situ investigations and sample return. The scale of needed Mars
investigation is such as to make it desirable to combine the resources of the
world's major spacefaring nations in this scientific, exploratory, and technical
endeavor of historic proportions.
1. It is recognized that the United States must be selective in its objectives in space
exploration. Because of the importance of a Mars program in terms of the quality
and significance of the scientific objectives, the prestige and scientific importance
associated with the return of the martian materials, and the substantial implications
for new technologies such as robotics and artificial intelligence, this committee
concurs with previous recommendations of the Space Studies Board and
recommends that the vigorous scientific exploration of Mars with the return of
martian materials be a prominent part of the U.S. national space science program
and part of a continuing balanced exploration of the solar system.
2. 7b answer fundamental questions related to the origin and evolution of the
terrestrial planets requires a coherent program of excursions to the surface of
Mars. The committee recommends robotic study of the martian surface and the
return of martian materials from several diverse sites, ranging from equatorial to
polar, in order to understand the rich diversity of martian processes These
excursions will require extended and advanced robotic mobility, robotic
manipulative capability, and on-board artificial intelligence in order to adequately
study, sample, and return selected materials from the various sites and to conduct
scientific measurements and experiments on the surface.
3. The committee recommends that intensive Mars exploration be undertaken
initially in an international program coordinated with the Soviet Union. Longer-term
evolution of joint activities with the USSR, based on accumulated experience and
success along with lines of communication and working relationships that would be
created, may lead to a more intensively cooperative and mutually dependent
program in the future.
4. The United States should develop the capability to undertake several of these
excursions independent of the performance of the USSR. Within the context of the
recommended cooperative international program, the committee recommends that
the actual design of spacecraft hardware and conduct of early missions be carried
out independently and in parallel by the two nations. The committee further
recommends that the United States and the USSR cooperate to identify the
scientific objectives of their programs and to coordinate mission planning in detail
to optimize the scientific return of the missions. The commitment to cooperation in
such a program should be announced jointly by the United States and the USSR to
make it clear that the two parties are major collaborators. The committee
recommends that nonmission-critical hardware, such as individual scientific
experiments, be considered for inclusion on the spacecraft of the other nation
when there is a distinct scientific or performance advantage. The evolution of these
working relationships may grow to a point that more complex interdependent
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missions can be considered.
5. The returned martian samples will be of utmost scientific importance and will
have immense prestige associated with them. The control, care, and distribution of
these materials will be under the jurisdiction of the nation returning the samples,
but the committee recommends that there be a commitment to a joint scientific
research program with the USSR that will provide these materials to quakfied
scientists throughout the world. The interchange of scientific information and close
collaboration on all aspects of the science derived from these missions should be
intrinsic and continuing components of the program, from its inception through the
advanced stages of scientific analysis.
6. The committee recommends that the United States encourage close cooperation
with its more traditional scientific collaborators following the mechanisms that are
already established. The U.S. program will make use of the knowledge of these
collaborators in determining scientific mission objectives and in contributing to
mission design. The committee recommends that this cooperation also allow the
traditional collaborators to provide mission-critical subsystems as well as scientific
packages when there is a distinct benefit to the program. Such a substantial
commitment among nations may require an improved mechanism for ensuring the
needed long-term commitments to approved missions or programs.
CONSEQUENCES
If the committee's recommendations are carried out, several prominent
consequences will ensue.
The United States will have reestablished a role of international
q
leadership in space science in the context of a new and constructive
cooperation with the world's major spacefaring nations.
A very-high-priority scientific goal will have been accomplished through
q
international effort, thus advancing the state of knowledge about Earth-
like planets.
Altogether, the recommended approach
would allow a rapid start on international cooperation for Mars
q
exploration and sample return;
would yield substantial economies in the context of a program that
q
realized the recommended science objectives for Mars investigations;
would aid in defining launch capabilities required for deep-space
q
exploration;
would allow a graceful path to increasingly close levels of cooperation
q
with the Soviet Union as experience is gained and as the international
situation might permit and make desirable; and
could be implemented now without undue concern for technology
q
transfer or extraordinary burdens associated with interfacing and
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