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In the Light of Evolution, Volume II: Biodiversity and Extinction (2008)
National Academy of Sciences (NAS)

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. "12 Megafauna Biomass Tradeoff as a Driver of Quaternary and Future Extinctions--ANTHONY D. BARNOSKY." In the Light of Evolution, Volume II: Biodiversity and Extinction. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2008.

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In the Light of Evolution: Volume II—Biodiversity and Extinction

Also coincident with the megafauna biomass crash was rapid climatic cooling, then warming as the YD gave way to the Holocene. In the Americas, where most of the extinction was concentrated, the tail end of the LGM, then the YD cooling, depressed NPP in at least the Northern Hemisphere. A slightly earlier YD-like cooling did the same in South America, just as humans began to interact with the non-human megafauna. Likewise, YD cooling was pronounced in northern Eurasia at the time of the world biomass crash.

If the evidence for a comet explosion over North America stands the test of time, NPP available to megafauna would have been further depressed at the time of the big extinction pulse. Large tracts of land are thought to have burned, and the explosion itself may have triggered the YD cooling in the Northern Hemisphere through opening the way for massive amounts of cold glacial meltwater to flood into the North Atlantic (Firestone et al., 2007).

Biomass Recovery

At the crash, megafauna biomass fell below its previous baseline value (Fig. 12.4). Then, beginning ≈10 kyr B.P., it began to build back up. By that time, the energy bottleneck that accompanied the crash was over. Global NPP was increasing as Holocene temperatures warmed, more land area was being exposed as glaciers melted, and there were fewer megafauna species on Earth among which to split the energy allocation. Even so, it took thousands of years for megafauna biomass to build back to precrash levels. The way it built back up was fundamentally different from the way it had been before, because virtually the entire recovery was by adding human biomass; the biomass of non-human megafauna remained virtually unchanged.

In terms of ecosystem dynamics under threshold models (Scheffer et al., 2001; Scheffer and Carpenter, 2003), the biomass trajectory suggests that the global ecosystem crossed a threshold when the crash occurred. In the precrash state, megafauna biomass was distributed among many megafauna species, each with a relatively narrow ecological niche. In the postcrash alternative state, megafauna biomass concentrated in one species, humans, which has a very broad ecological niche. That means that ultimately humans were successful in coopting energy previously shared among other species with big bodies. It also means that not only are those extinct megafauna gone forever, but also there is no potential for new megafauna species to evolve into the “megafauna space” as long as humans are so abundant. In that respect, we have decreased biodiversity for as long as we remain abundant on Earth.

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Front Matter (R1-R18)
Part I: Contemporary Patterns and Processes in Animals (1-4)
1 Ecological Extinction and Evolution in the Brave New Ocean--JEREMY B. C. JACKSON (5-26)
2 Are We in the Midst of the Sixth Mass Extinction? A View from the World of Amphibians--DAVID B. WAKE and VANCE T. VREDENBURG (27-44)
3 Patterns of Biodiversity and Endemism on Indo-West Pacific Coral Reefs--MARJORIE L. REAKA, PAULA J. RODGERS, and ALEXEI U. KUDLA (45-62)
4 Homage to Linnaeus: How Many Parasites? How Many Hosts?--ANDY DOBSON, KEVIN D. LAFFERTY, ARMAND M. KURIS, RYAN F. HECHINGER, and WALTER JETZ (63-82)
Part II: Contemporary Patterns and Processes in Plants and Microbes (83-84)
5 Species Invasions and Extinction: The Future of Native Biodiversity on Islands--DOV F. SAX and STEVEN D. GAINES (85-106)
6 How Many Tree Species Are There in the Amazon and How Many of Them Will Go Extinct?--STEPHEN P. HUBBELL, FANGLIANG HE, RICHARD CONDIT, LUIS BORDA-DE-ÁGUA, JAMES KELLNER, and HANS TER STEEGE (107-126)
7 Microbes on Mountainsides: Contrasting Elevational Patterns of Bacterial and Plant Diversity--JESSICA A. BRYANT, CHRISTINE LAMANNA, HÉLÈNE MORLON, ANDREW J. KERKHOFF, BRIAN J. ENQUIST, and JESSICA L. GREEN (127-148)
8 Resistance, Resilience, and Redundancy in Microbial Communities--STEVEN D. ALLISON and JENNIFER B. H. MARTINY (149-166)
Part III: Trends and Processes in the Paleontological Past (167-170)
9 Extinction as the Loss of Evolutionary History--DOUGLAS H. ERWIN (171-188)
10 Extinction and the Spatial Dynamics of Biodiversity--DAVID JABLONSKI (189-206)
11 Dynamics of Origination and Extinction in the Marine Fossil Record--JOHN ALROY (207-226)
12 Megafauna Biomass Tradeoff as a Driver of Quaternary and Future Extinctions--ANTHONY D. BARNOSKY (227-242)
Part IV: Prospects for the Future (243-246)
13 A Phylogenetic Perspective on the Distribution of Plant Diversity--MICHAEL J. DONOGHUE (247-262)
14 Phylogenetic Trees and the Future of Mammalian Biodiversity--T. JONATHAN DAVIES, SUSANNE A. FRITZ, RICHARD GRENYER, C. DAVID L. ORME, JON BIELBY, OLAF R. P. BININDA-EMONDS, MARCEL CARDILLO, KATE E. JONES, JOHN L. GITTLEMAN, GEORGINA M. MACE, and ANDY PURVIS (263-280)
15 Three Ambitious (and Rather Unorthodox) Assignments for the Field of Biodiversity Genetics--JOHN C. AVISE (281-296)
16 Engaging the Public in Biodiversity Issues--MICHAEL J. NOVACEK (297-316)
17 Further Engaging the Public on Biodiversity Issues--PETER J. BRYANT (317-328)
18 Where Does Biodiversity Go from Here? A Grim Business-as-Usual Forecast and a Hopeful Portfolio of Partial Solutions--PAUL R. EHRLICH and ROBERT M. PRINGLE (329-346)
References (347-394)
Index (395-414)