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In the Light of Evolution, Volume II: Biodiversity and Extinction (2008)
National Academy of Sciences (NAS)

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. "13 A Phylogenetic Perspective on the Distribution of Plant Diversity--MICHAEL J. DONOGHUE." In the Light of Evolution, Volume II: Biodiversity and Extinction. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2008.

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In the Light of Evolution: Volume II—Biodiversity and Extinction

appreciation of the extent and possible roles of phylogenetic niche conservatism, and the development of better analytical tools, especially to infer historical biogeography [e.g., Ree et al. (2005)] and rates of diversification [e.g., Chan and Moore (2005) and see Ricklefs (2007a)], the stage is clearly set to reintegrate historical factors into such explanations. These are in no way meant to replace environmental explanations, but rather to complement them and connect them to the speciation, extinction, and migration processes that ultimately underlie such patterns (Wiens and Donoghue, 2004).

The argument I am making in several ways parallels the view set out by Gould and Lewontin (1979) on the study of adaptation. They argued that adaptation is caused not by the environment, but by the interaction of the environment with the evolved, organismic substrate. They viewed the substrate in this interaction as determining the outcome just as much as the environmental pressures and argued that these should be treated as equal partners in the causal explanation. Likewise, I am arguing that it is the action of changing environments on the evolved ecological characteristics of lineages that results in the patterns of biodiversity we observe today, and, furthermore, that the role that these lineages play is every bit as interesting and powerful in determining the outcome. In short, I am agreeing with Robert Ricklefs (2004) that we should “raise regional and historical factors to equal footing with local determinism in their influence on the diversity–environment relationship and geographical patterns of diversity in general.” Fortunately, whereas the integration of phylogenetic knowledge into such explanations once seemed unnecessary, and for a time seemed interesting but impractical, now it seems virtually inevitable.

Finally, it is worth reflecting on the future of biodiversity in light of the basic principle highlighted here. In the deep evolutionary past, corridors for the movement of biotas within and among continents were opened or shut based primarily on the relative position of landmasses, geologic particulars (e.g., the location and orientation of rivers and mountain ranges), and climate changes. Moving into the future, anthropogenic habitat fragmentation adds a complicating new variable to the equation, as does the current rapidity of climate change and the wholesale movement of species by humans. Depending on the vagility of the organisms involved, the habitat discontinuities imposed by humans may limit the impact of the migration of preadapted species in community assembly, which I believe has played such an important role in the past. The consequences for community composition, structure, and function are unclear. One possibility is that anthropogenically isolated habitats will remain, at least for a time, “empty” of species from surrounding areas that might be well adapted to them. On the other hand, barriers to migration might create circumstances

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Front Matter (R1-R18)
Part I: Contemporary Patterns and Processes in Animals (1-4)
1 Ecological Extinction and Evolution in the Brave New Ocean--JEREMY B. C. JACKSON (5-26)
2 Are We in the Midst of the Sixth Mass Extinction? A View from the World of Amphibians--DAVID B. WAKE and VANCE T. VREDENBURG (27-44)
3 Patterns of Biodiversity and Endemism on Indo-West Pacific Coral Reefs--MARJORIE L. REAKA, PAULA J. RODGERS, and ALEXEI U. KUDLA (45-62)
4 Homage to Linnaeus: How Many Parasites? How Many Hosts?--ANDY DOBSON, KEVIN D. LAFFERTY, ARMAND M. KURIS, RYAN F. HECHINGER, and WALTER JETZ (63-82)
Part II: Contemporary Patterns and Processes in Plants and Microbes (83-84)
5 Species Invasions and Extinction: The Future of Native Biodiversity on Islands--DOV F. SAX and STEVEN D. GAINES (85-106)
6 How Many Tree Species Are There in the Amazon and How Many of Them Will Go Extinct?--STEPHEN P. HUBBELL, FANGLIANG HE, RICHARD CONDIT, LUIS BORDA-DE-ÁGUA, JAMES KELLNER, and HANS TER STEEGE (107-126)
7 Microbes on Mountainsides: Contrasting Elevational Patterns of Bacterial and Plant Diversity--JESSICA A. BRYANT, CHRISTINE LAMANNA, HÉLÈNE MORLON, ANDREW J. KERKHOFF, BRIAN J. ENQUIST, and JESSICA L. GREEN (127-148)
8 Resistance, Resilience, and Redundancy in Microbial Communities--STEVEN D. ALLISON and JENNIFER B. H. MARTINY (149-166)
Part III: Trends and Processes in the Paleontological Past (167-170)
9 Extinction as the Loss of Evolutionary History--DOUGLAS H. ERWIN (171-188)
10 Extinction and the Spatial Dynamics of Biodiversity--DAVID JABLONSKI (189-206)
11 Dynamics of Origination and Extinction in the Marine Fossil Record--JOHN ALROY (207-226)
12 Megafauna Biomass Tradeoff as a Driver of Quaternary and Future Extinctions--ANTHONY D. BARNOSKY (227-242)
Part IV: Prospects for the Future (243-246)
13 A Phylogenetic Perspective on the Distribution of Plant Diversity--MICHAEL J. DONOGHUE (247-262)
14 Phylogenetic Trees and the Future of Mammalian Biodiversity--T. JONATHAN DAVIES, SUSANNE A. FRITZ, RICHARD GRENYER, C. DAVID L. ORME, JON BIELBY, OLAF R. P. BININDA-EMONDS, MARCEL CARDILLO, KATE E. JONES, JOHN L. GITTLEMAN, GEORGINA M. MACE, and ANDY PURVIS (263-280)
15 Three Ambitious (and Rather Unorthodox) Assignments for the Field of Biodiversity Genetics--JOHN C. AVISE (281-296)
16 Engaging the Public in Biodiversity Issues--MICHAEL J. NOVACEK (297-316)
17 Further Engaging the Public on Biodiversity Issues--PETER J. BRYANT (317-328)
18 Where Does Biodiversity Go from Here? A Grim Business-as-Usual Forecast and a Hopeful Portfolio of Partial Solutions--PAUL R. EHRLICH and ROBERT M. PRINGLE (329-346)
References (347-394)
Index (395-414)