paradigms need to reflect such shifting realities. Analysis requires modeling and scenario building.

Several workshop participants posited that the next IPCC report must include robust damage narratives for different mitigation timelines. It will also likely discuss the costs of failing to mitigate and adapt. Since three of the four new IPCC scenarios for trajectories of radiative forcing project mean global warming higher than 3°C by the end of this century, public concern about impacts and adaptation will increase.

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