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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies
Appendix B
Meetings and Speakers
MEETING 1
October 15-16, 2007
Keck Center of the National Academies
Washington, D.C.
X2 Program
Marina Gorbis, Institute for the Future
Mike Love, Institute for the Future
Matt Daniels, Institute for the Future
Globalization of Technology: Impact on Defense S&T Planning
Alan Shaffer, Plans and Programs Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering
Technology Forecasting
Steven D. Thompson, Defense Intelligence Agency
Delta (S&T) Scan: Uses in U.K. Government
Harry Woodroof, Horizon Scanning Centre, Government Office for Science, Dept. for Innovation, United Kingdom
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MEETING 2
February 26-27, 2008
Beckman Center of the National Academies
Irvine, California
Technology Forecasting and Long Term S&T Planning
Adam Nucci, Defense Research and Engineering
Adaptivity in a Disruptive World
Jeffery Hersh, Booz Allen Hamilton
Anticipating Future Disruptive Technologies
Jae Engelbrecht, Toffler Associates
Deb Westphal, Toffler Associates
International Forecasting
Peter Schwartz, Global Business Network
Search and Research: Bringing Science Onto the Web
Mark Kaganovich, Labmeeting, Inc.
Prediction Market Overview: Effectiveness in Forecasting Disruptive Technological Change
Russell Andersson, HedgeStreet Exchange
X2 Framework
Marina Gorbis, Institute for the Future
Mike Love, Institute for the Future
Matt Daniels, Institute for the Future
Processes and Strategies that Affect Commercialization Success
David Pratt, M-CAM, Inc.
The Global Technology Revolution 2020: Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications
Philip Anton, RAND Corporation
Richard Silberglitt, RAND Corporation
X2: Threats, Opportunities, and Advances in Science & Technology
Alex Pang, Institute for the Future
Matt Daniels, Institute for the Future
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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies
MEETING 3
May 28-29, 2008
Keck Center of the National Academies
Washington, D.C.
Are Patents Useful for Predicting Important Technologies?
Paul Henderson, Clarify LLC
Disruptive Technologies Systems Approach
Gil Decker, Independent Consultant
Complex Digital Systems in the Knowledge Economy: Some Key Grand Challenges
Irving Wladawsky-Berger, IBM Academy of Technology
X2: Threats, Opportunities, and Advances in Science & Technology
Alex Pang, Institute for the Future
Matt Daniels, Institute for the Future
Scalable Text Mining
V.S. Subrahmanian, University of Maryland
Macro Trends and Related Technologies of Disruption
Jeff Jonas, IBM Entity Analytics
Online Research/Technology Forecasting Systems: Highlights of the TechCast Project
William Halal, George Washington University
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