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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies (2009)
Air Force Studies Board (AFSB)

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. "4 Reducing Forecasting Ignorance and Bias." Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2009.

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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies

Simonton, Dean K. 1988. Age and outstanding achievement: What do we know after a century of research? Psychological Bulletin 104(2): 251-267.

Tellis, Gerard J. 2006. Disruptive technology or visionary leadership? Journal of Product Innovation Management 23(1): 34-38.

Triandis, H.C. 1972. The Analysis of Subjective Culture. New York: Wiley.

Triandis, H.C. 1983. Essentials of Studying Cultures. New York: Pergamon Press.

Waldrop, M. Mitchell. 1992. Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos. New York: Simon & Schuster.

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