SHRP 2 Safety program goal: To prevent or reduce the severity of highway crashes through more accurate knowledge of driver behavior and other crash factors.
Driver behavior has been identified as the major factor in approximately 90 percent of roadway crashes (Sabey and Staughton 1975; Treat et al. 1979; Hendricks et al. 2001). Yet the driver remains the most difficult part of the system to study. Driving simulators and studies performed on test tracks or in special test vehicles have made important contributions to understanding the driver, but these methods do not always provide good representations of real-world driving conditions or behavior. Surveying drivers about their behavior and interviewing them after a crash fail to yield very accurate or reliable reports of real behavior, not only because people are biased in their assessments of their own driving prowess or fear liability in the case of a crash but also because so much driver behavior occurs without full conscious awareness. In the case of crashes, events occur so quickly and many responses are so automatic that drivers often cannot remember how they acted—whether they braked or accelerated, for example.
Advances in sensors, cameras, computing, and communications technologies have now made it possible to gather real-world driving data that have never before been accessible to highway safety professionals. Sophisticated instrumentation packages can be installed inconspicuously in volunteers’ vehicles to collect data on speed, acceleration, and braking; use of signals, lights, wipers, and safety belts; lane position; and more. Extremely small cameras can capture looking and motor behavior without the driver’s
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2 Safety Focus Area
SHRP 2 Safety program goal: To prevent or reduce the severity of highway
crashes through more accurate knowledge of driver behavior and other
crash factors.
D river behavior has been identified as the major factor in approximately
90 percent of roadway crashes (Sabey and Staughton 1975; Treat
et al. 1979; Hendricks et al. 2001). Yet the driver remains the most difficult
part of the system to study. Driving simulators and studies performed on
test tracks or in special test vehicles have made important contributions to
understanding the driver, but these methods do not always provide good
representations of real-world driving conditions or behavior. Surveying
drivers about their behavior and interviewing them after a crash fail to yield
very accurate or reliable reports of real behavior, not only because people
are biased in their assessments of their own driving prowess or fear liability
in the case of a crash but also because so much driver behavior occurs with-
out full conscious awareness. In the case of crashes, events occur so quickly
and many responses are so automatic that drivers often cannot remember
how they acted—whether they braked or accelerated, for example.
Advances in sensors, cameras, computing, and communications tech-
nologies have now made it possible to gather real-world driving data that
have never before been accessible to highway safety professionals. Sophis-
ticated instrumentation packages can be installed inconspicuously in vol-
unteers’ vehicles to collect data on speed, acceleration, and braking; use of
signals, lights, wipers, and safety belts; lane position; and more. Extremely
small cameras can capture looking and motor behavior without the driver’s
28
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safety focus area 29
noticing the cameras or being reminded of their presence. This informa-
tion can be collected not just when a crash or unusual incident occurs, but
throughout the course of ordinary driving.
For the first time, then, objective, scientific information can be obtained
about what happens when people crash, when they experience a near-
crash, or when they drive without incident. This information will make it
possible to draw confident conclusions about the crash risks posed by vari-
ous factors and whether those factors are related to the vehicle, the driver,
the roadway and traffic environment, or some interaction of these. This
kind of safety research is sometimes referred to as a “naturalistic driving
study” because it captures driving in natural or real-world circumstances.
The benefits of this new knowledge will be realized in more effective use
of existing safety countermeasures and in the development of entirely new
safety strategies.
An example of these benefits is the use of actual driving data as educa-
tional feedback for younger drivers (see Box 2-1). The results of naturalistic
driving studies are also valuable to states as they develop Strategic Highway
Safety Plans. These plans call for data-driven, highly effective strategies
that maximize safety benefits, in terms of reductions in deaths and serious
injuries, for each dollar invested. In these initiatives, states are considering
Box 2-1
iowa teen driver study
Teen drivers exhibit high crash rates, especially early in their driving experience.
The University of Iowa demonstrated the use of in-vehicle sensors and cameras
as an educational tool to help parents coach their children in better driving skills.
The instrumentation on the teenagers’ vehicles was configured to save data when
certain thresholds of acceleration were triggered (in contrast to the SHRP 2 study,
in which data will be collected and saved continuously). Each week the events cap-
tured by the instrumentation were shared with the drivers and their parents as an
educational opportunity. The teens with the highest frequency of safety-relevant
events improved their driving by 72 percent in the first 9 weeks of the intervention
(McGehee et al. 2007). Insurance companies have begun to offer vehicle instru-
mentation as a service to parents insuring their teenage drivers.
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30 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
behavioral programs as well as roadway initiatives, bringing together “4E”
(engineering, education, enforcement, and emergency medical services)
organizations to determine what programs are needed across the board. To
make these prioritization processes work well, states need not only more
knowledge about the effectiveness of current behavioral programs but
also knowledge concerning what new behavioral treatments are needed
to further reduce the current crash toll. Similarly, vehicle manufacturers
and their suppliers, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
(NHTSA), and others can use the knowledge provided by naturalistic studies
to target their safety efforts.
shrp 2 safety research
SHRP 2 is taking a systems approach to safety by examining how the driver
interacts with the roadway, the vehicle, and environmental factors. Using
technologies designed and tested in smaller-scale studies, SHRP 2 will
instrument the vehicles of 4,000 volunteer drivers and record their driving
for a year or more. The drivers will be men and women in various age groups,
driving different types of light vehicles, from different socioeconomic strata,
and from different geographic areas across the United States. In addition to
having instrumentation in their vehicles, the drivers will take a battery of
tests and respond to questionnaires concerning a number of factors that may
be related to driving performance so these factors can be studied in relation
to actual driving behavior. The study will collect data not only on the driv-
ers’ behavior but also on their vehicles’ characteristics and performance. To
capture the roadway element of the safety interaction, data on road type,
geometry, shoulders, safety furniture, signage, pavement markings, and
more will be collected for the roads used by the volunteer drivers during
the study. Through the Global Positioning System (GPS), driver behavior at
various locations will be correlated with roadway and roadside features at
those locations. In addition, data on environmental variables such as traf-
fic, lighting, and weather conditions will be collected to the extent feasible,
whether from the in-vehicle data systems or by other means.
The research described above—known as the SHRP 2 naturalistic driv-
ing study—represents by far the largest study of its type ever undertaken
and promises to be a resource for improving highway safety for decades to
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safety focus area 31
come. The specific research projects included under the SHRP 2 Safety
program are listed in Appendix B.
In the original plan for SHRP 2 safety research (TRB 2003), the natural-
istic, or in-vehicle, driving study was to form one track of research, while a
second track would employ a “site-based” research strategy. The site-based
approach involves instrumenting roadway segments or intersections with
multiple overhead cameras and automating vehicle trajectory tracking to
study the driving behavior of multiple vehicles at specific locations. These
two tracks of research are complementary in nature. The naturalistic driving
approach provides detailed information about a single driver and vehicle over
an extended period of time but little information about surrounding vehicles
and the behavior of their drivers. The site-based approach, on the other hand,
provides little information about individual drivers (it would not reveal, for
example, whether a driver was wearing a safety belt or using a cell phone) but
useful information about the movements of all the vehicles passing through a
targeted segment of the roadway. Thus the site-based technique makes it pos-
sible to study the interactions among drivers in a complex driving scenario.
Specific sites, rather than the roads chosen by the drivers, can be studied,
and site characteristics can be varied to examine changes in such features as
signal timing, speed limits, signage, and pavement markings.
When it became clear that SHRP 2 funding would be significantly less
than originally proposed, the SHRP 2 Safety Technical Coordinating Com-
mittee chose to focus on the in-vehicle track of research more than on the
site-based track for the following reasons:
• The technical feasibility of the in-vehicle instrumentation had already
been demonstrated in smaller-scale studies, while the site-based technol-
ogy required some additional development before it could be used in large-
scale field work.
• The opportunity to conduct the naturalistic driving study under SHRP 2
is truly unique because the scope and scale of this study make it highly
unlikely that it will be undertaken by anyone else, while the final develop-
ment and use of the site-based technology could be accomplished more
easily by others in smaller-scale studies if it proves technically feasible.
• The in-vehicle strategy promises to provide unprecedented insights into
driving that could lead to significant improvements in highway safety at the
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32 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
national level in the long run and that cannot be provided through any other
research approach available today.
At the same time, the site-based approach was considered promising
enough to merit some investment by SHRP 2. The program has funded a
project to further develop the site-based technology in hopes of creating
a robust tool that can be easily deployed to study different types of high-
way locations. Of particular interest are intersections, where 45 percent of
reported crashes and 21 percent of fatalities occur (FHWA 2008). Intersec-
tions are locations of multiple and complex interactions of many drivers,
making them appropriate targets for the site-based approach. If the SHRP 2
project in this area is successful, university researchers and state and local
safety engineers could use the site-based approach to study issues associ-
ated with particular roadway geometries that appear to be crash prone.
If SHRP 2 were to receive additional funding, follow-on projects for field
deployment and analysis could be conducted within the program.
promising products, and potential users, incentives,
and barriers
SHRP 2’s Safety focus area is expected to produce the following products:
• Initial findings that can be used in developing new driver, vehicle, and
roadway treatments to reduce deaths and injuries and in improving existing
treatments.
• A rich source of naturalistic driving data, linked with roadway data,
of unprecedented size and diversity, as well as tools for the development
and evaluation of potential crash countermeasures. Safety researchers and
practitioners will be able to use these data and tools to improve highway
safety for years, if not decades, into the future.
• Analysis tools [including validated crash surrogates (defined later in the
chapter)]; research protocols; and specifications for monitoring, recording,
and encoding instrumentation that safety researchers will be able to use
and build on.
• A site-based video system for studying vehicle behavior on particular
roadway segments, such as intersections.
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safety focus area 33
Initial Findings
The current SHRP 2 effort will provide answers to a limited number of
high-priority safety questions. Safety practitioners and researchers nation-
wide were consulted to develop a list of nearly 400 safety questions that can
be addressed with the use of SHRP 2 data. Box 2-2 contains examples of the
types of questions being considered. As of this writing, the questions were
still being prioritized to determine which ones will actually be addressed
within SHRP 2. The answers to these questions will provide safety profes-
sionals with guidance for more effective safety strategies and are likely to
Box 2-2
selected research questions generated for shrp 2
Lane-Keeping and Run-off-the-Road Crashes
• Does lane-keeping vary with driver age, gender, or vehicle type?
• Does risk of lane departure vary by road type, traffic volume, superelevation,
or presence of opposing traffic?
• How are run-off-the-road crashes affected by different roadway geometries,
shoulder widths, speed limits, signage, or pavement markings?
• What is the role of following distance in lane-change/merge crashes?
• How does aggressive driving behavior affect the risk of crashes or near-crashes?
• Is there a relationship between aggressive driving behaviors and run-off-the-
road crashes or near-crashes?
Intersection Safety
• How do roadway design, traffic control variables, and signage influence be-
havior at intersections, such as braking, gap acceptance, and decision to turn at
intersections?
• How does roadway design influence compliance with traffic controls at inter-
sections?
• What is the effect of access points near the intersection?
In-Vehicle Technologies
• Is the frequency of use of infotainment or navigation devices affected by road
type or traffic volume?
• What is the influence of road geometry on driver behavior during technology-
related tasks?
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34 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
yield input to future editions of the Highway Safety Manual and the Compre-
hensive Human Factors Guidelines for Road Systems (TRB 2005). The studies
conducted for the chosen questions will also serve as a demonstration of
the uses and usefulness of SHRP 2 data.
Box 2-3 provides examples of findings from other naturalistic driving
studies performed at the Virginia Tech Transportation Institute, while Box 2-4
describes an array of uses of similar data from field operational tests per-
formed at the University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute.
These studies are much smaller than the SHRP 2 naturalistic driving study
and do not involve as wide a variety of drivers and geographic locations or the
more detailed roadway data that SHRP 2 will have. Nonetheless, their find-
ings are illustrative of what can be learned from such studies. In addition to
developing new findings, the larger SHRP 2 study will produce databases that
can be used to verify the findings of smaller studies and test the robustness of
these findings under different scenarios.
In-Vehicle Data
The 2-year SHRP 2 naturalistic driving study will produce a number of data-
bases for use by researchers and practitioners from universities, highway
agencies, automobile manufacturers, and others concerned with highway
safety. The raw data—from cameras, vehicle instrumentation, and roadway
data collection—will be preserved for researchers who have interest and
skills in mining these data. Reduced data sets—more accessible and more
user-friendly versions of the raw data or some subsets thereof—will be use-
ful to both researchers and practitioners. In many cases, safety practitioners
will be indirect users of the data in that they will engage researchers to be
the direct users.
Three main components will collect data on or from the volunteers’ vehi-
cles. The first will collect data on speed, acceleration, braking, seat belt use,
and other vehicle-related factors. The second will be a set of inconspicuous
cameras that will capture the volunteer’s face and the driver’s view out the
front, rear, and side of the vehicle. The third will be a radar unit to capture
the presence of other vehicles or objects near the subject vehicle. The data
from these components will be encrypted, be transmitted to a secure loca-
tion, undergo quality checks, and be stored for reduction and analysis. In
addition to these data, as noted above, the volunteer drivers will be asked
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safety focus area 35
Box 2-3
examples of findings from naturalistic driving studies
The Virginia Tech Transportation Institute (VTTI) has conducted a number of small
naturalistic driving studies, most notably a study in which 100 volunteers drove
instrumented vehicles for 1 year. VTTI has also conducted studies focused on teen-
age drivers and on truck drivers. The findings described here illustrate the types of
information that can be gleaned from naturalistic driving studies and the kinds of
countermeasures that may be developed as a result.
Driver inattention—particularly looking away from the roadway just before an
unexpected event or condition—is the largest contributing factor to unsafe events
such as crashes and near-crashes. Secondary tasks (those unrelated to driving) and
external distractions account for most inattention-related risk. The highest risk is
associated with looking away many times or for long periods of time. The kinds of
secondary tasks associated with such frequent or prolonged inattention include dial-
ing a cell phone, text messaging, manipulating an MP3 player, and using the Inter-
net. Teenage drivers are four times more likely than adult drivers to be involved in
a crash or near-crash while performing a secondary task. Such findings contributed
to a Virginia law banning the use of handheld electronic devices by teen drivers.
High-tech countermeasures, such as driver “eyes-forward” monitors, in combina-
tion with other crash avoidance technology, could be used to warn drivers of unsafe
behaviors and changing circumstances.
Driver drowsiness is a contributing factor in 15 to 20 percent of crashes and
other safety-related incidents involving long-haul trucking, local and short-haul
trucking, and light-vehicle driving, and it can occur at any time of day. Crash and
near-crash risk is 6 to 8 times higher when driving while drowsy than when driving
while alert. A study of truck drivers found that long-haul “team” truck drivers have
poorer sleep quality but sleep for longer periods and are generally safer than “single”
drivers. Among local and short-haul truckers, drowsiness was found to be most
closely associated with beginning the workweek in a tired state. Potential counter-
measures include adjustments to hours-of-service regulations, electronic log books
for truckers, and high-tech driver alertness monitors for all types of drivers.
Evaluation of countermeasures can be carried out by using naturalistic driving
data. For example, in-vehicle forward collision warning algorithms were compared
by overlaying data from VTTI’s 100-car study on actual crash and near-crash data.
The use of real-world scenarios makes it possible to test whether the driver could
have avoided a crash and under what circumstances the system would fail to activate
for a real crash. These results can be used to refine existing countermeasures and to
estimate the crash avoidance benefits of countermeasures under development.
SOURCE: VTTI (cf. Hanowski et al. 2000; Dingus et al. 2001; Dingus et al. 2005; Dingus
et al. in progress; Blanco et al. in progress).
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36 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
Box 2-4
additional examples of the usefulness of in-vehicle data
The University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute has collected natu-
ralistic driving data in a number of field operational tests. More than 800,000 miles
of driving data have been obtained from both light passenger vehicles and heavy
trucks, including hundreds of data channels from the vehicle; from video; and from
add-on instrumentation such as radar, lidar, and inertial motion sensors. These
data were originally collected to evaluate the performance and use of new types of
safety systems on the vehicles, but the majority of the data are applicable to research
and analysis across a wide spectrum of topics involving vehicles and highways. For
example, General Motors used these data to develop an algorithm for a forward col-
lision warning system and to assess the safety impact of adaptive cruise control. The
University of Michigan has used the data to study highway safety and vehicle use
patterns relative to the urban environment, to model driving behavior, and to ana-
lyze fuel efficiency to support the design of future hybrid vehicles. A project funded
by the Alzheimer’s Association used the data as a benchmark for evaluating perfor-
mance and likely safety concerns for drivers suffering from early-stage dementia.
In most cases, the information obtained from these data cannot be obtained from
any other source.
SOURCE: University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute.
to take a number of tests and respond to questionnaires to provide infor-
mation about themselves—such as their visual acuity, psychomotor skill,
physical capability, risk taking and risk perception, sleep hygiene, medical
conditions and medications, and driving knowledge and history—that can
be anonymously correlated with the driving data.
Another data component of the naturalistic driving study—a component
never before included at this level of detail in such a study—is extensive road-
way data on curves and grades, intersection locations and characteristics,
pavement and shoulder types, presence and types of signs, pavement mark-
ings, guardrails, and the like. Although states routinely collect roadway data
for infrastructure assessment, inventory, and asset management purposes,
these data are limited. They do not always cover all roads in a jurisdiction,
they may not cover locally owned roads, and they may not include all the
elements needed for safety analyses. Having these data will allow SHRP 2
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safety focus area 37
researchers to develop greatly improved knowledge about the relationship
of these features to safety outcomes. This knowledge can be used to develop
better tools for the design and selection of safety countermeasures.
SHRP 2 will collect data of unprecedented quantity and detail on motor
vehicle use, near-collisions, and collisions. These data will enable public
health researchers and motor vehicle safety practitioners to probe and
understand the conjunction of events and conditional circumstances that
lead to collisions and near-collisions in a way never before possible. The
data will make it possible to identify and prioritize roadway traffic safety
challenges, develop and assess potential countermeasures, and deploy those
countermeasures that provide a net societal benefit. It is not unreasonable
to believe that the countermeasures identified, developed, and deployed as
a result of the SHRP 2 study could reduce motor vehicle–related fatalities
and serious injuries by tens of thousands annually. The incident-free data
collected—which safety professionals refer to as “exposure”—will provide
the basis for comparisons of crash risk under different circumstances and
involving different factors. Objective data on what really occurs before and
during a crash or near-crash—how fast the driver was really going; when
he or she braked; and how speed and braking are affected by cell phone use,
fatigue, or other factors—will provide better understanding than biased
and incomplete postcrash recollections of drivers and observers that until
now have served as the primary source of such data.
SHRP 2 data will also make it possible to study how drivers react to differ-
ent roadway and environmental features and how their reactions affect crash
risk. A strength of the SHRP 2 data, never available previously, will be the
synthesis of highly detailed roadway, environmental, and driver data. The
SHRP 2 data will enable study of how such factors as driving speed, braking,
steering, and attention change with changes in roadway and environmen-
tal features—such as lane width, signing, pavement type, pavement mark-
ings, shoulder type and width, lighting conditions, and prevailing weather
conditions. This in turn should allow some roadway countermeasures to be
explored analytically, with a wide variety of drivers, by taking advantage of
features already in place in various areas instead of implementing the features
in an experimental situation and waiting a long time to acquire crash data.
For example, SHRP 2 will help in understanding when and where speed-
ing is most likely to occur; when it poses the greatest crash risk; and which
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38 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
countermeasures, such as innovative signing and roadway treatments, are
most effective in reducing unsafe speeds. Such insights, paired with tech-
nology (such as digital maps), will provide the opportunity to deliver notice
to drivers of changing roadway and environmental conditions and thereby
allow advanced driver response.
Driver distraction is another important area in which SHRP 2 research
can contribute by identifying the sources of distraction and calculating
the crash risk associated with different sources. Cell phones, in-vehicle
devices, and other technologies are hypothesized to be a major source of
distraction—hypotheses that can be tested by SHRP 2. Cell phones in particu-
lar are a rapidly growing concern. Approximately 230 million cell phones are
now in use in the United States. Current NHTSA surveys show that about
6 percent of drivers are using cell phones at any given moment (NHTSA
2008). The SHRP 2 data will make it possible to examine differences in crash
risk while drivers are using a cell phone under various driving conditions
(e.g., road type, traffic volume, speed) or by demographic identifiers (age or
driving experience, for example). Results of research on these questions could
lead to a number of safety countermeasures. Rumble strips or other roadway
design features could help bring a driver’s attention back to the driving task.
In-vehicle technology could be developed to prevent cell phones from func-
tioning while drivers are operating in challenging traffic and environmental
conditions with high cognitive demand and to enable safe cell phone use in
low-demand conditions. Laws on the use of cell phones (for example, hands-
free versus handheld and restrictions on younger drivers) could be based on
empirical evidence of risk. Education programs and new technologies could
perhaps be tailored to particular audiences and driving behaviors.
Other nomadic devices that can be brought into the vehicle—including
television, laptops, MP3 players, texting devices, and GPS devices—are a
rapidly growing issue, though far less well documented than cell phones.
There is some evidence that they pose a greater problem for young drivers
who are the early adopters of these devices, use them frequently, and may
think they can multitask without being distracted to a level that compro-
mises the cognitive capacity they devote to the driving task. SHRP 2 data
will allow the risks associated with these devices to be studied and quanti-
fied so that appropriate countermeasures, possibly similar to those sug-
gested for cell phones, can be effectively applied.
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safety focus area 39
New technologies increasingly being added to the vehicle also raise
questions about distraction. Do onboard navigation devices contribute
to distraction? Do in-vehicle warning systems (lane departure, collision,
speed, and traction warning systems, for instance) contribute to distrac-
tion, or are they a potential solution to all driver distraction issues? SHRP 2
data will allow algorithms for these systems to be developed and tested. For
example, developers of lane departure or collision warning systems will
want to minimize the number of false positives (i.e., the warning sounds
when it is not needed, annoys the driver, and possibly leads to ignoring
the warning when it is real) and false negatives (i.e., the warning does not
sound until it is too late for the driver to react). The task for technology and
system designers is to integrate new systems that provide value and func-
tion without adding distracting operational features and to restrict access
to operational features during periods of high driver workload and cogni-
tive demand. SHRP 2 data will be able to be matched to the typology of
crashes developed by the Volpe National Transportation Systems Center
(Najm and Smith 2007) and enable an understanding of collision morphol-
ogy (causal factors accumulating to cause a crash or near-crash). As they
develop a profound understanding of how collisions occur and under what
contributing conditions, safety professionals will be able to better conceive,
develop, and assess potential countermeasures.
The major barrier or challenge to the implementation of SHRP 2 Safety
results is the need to house and maintain the data—updating hardware and
software as appropriate; providing security; and staffing a center that pro-
vides access to the data, assistance, and other services to researchers and
practitioners. Significant costs are involved, and funding must be stable
over time to avoid the loss of data availability, to provide training and sup-
port, and to avoid hardware or software obsolescence. In addition, funding
is needed to help ensure exposure of the data to both safety researchers and
researchers in other fields who might have unique ideas about how to use
them to derive new knowledge and to help in providing web- and university-
based training courses.
Research and Analysis Tools
In carrying out the naturalistic driving study, SHRP 2 will develop or
improve on a number of tools that can be used by both safety researchers and
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40 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
planners. Researchers may adopt the research protocols and management
approaches developed for the study as guidelines, or perhaps even
de facto standards, for the conduct of similar studies in the future. Because
the SHRP 2 study will involve thousands of volunteers throughout the coun-
try and make use of multiple contractors, it will advance the highway safety
research community’s knowledge concerning studies with human subjects
and how to work with multiple institutional review boards (IRBs) for such
research.1
All of these tools and the knowledge gained will contribute to a new way
of approaching highway safety based on more scientific understanding of
risk factors and driver behavior. They also may lead to revised data needs
with respect to crash reporting, roadway inventory, driver characteristics,
and other safety-related factors as part of a comprehensive approach to
asset management. The safety community currently experiences great dif-
ficulty in achieving and maintaining adequate attention to and investment
in high-quality safety data collection programs. SHRP 2 results should help
define the most relevant sets of data that should be gathered by state and
local entities so that data collection programs can be cost-effective and fully
justified to leadership.
Another analysis tool expected from SHRP 2 is crash surrogates—events
or conditions that precede crashes, happen more frequently than crashes,
and are highly correlated with crashes. For example, unintentional lane
departures may be a surrogate for run-off-the-road crashes. The establish-
ment of surrogates for major crash types could revolutionize the evalua-
tion of safety countermeasures. Currently, to evaluate the effectiveness of
a countermeasure in preventing crashes, a safety professional must spend
years collecting crash data before and after the countermeasure has been
applied. Using surrogates would take less time because surrogates take
place more frequently than crashes; their use would therefore reduce, if
not eliminate, the need to wait for actual crashes to occur to ascertain the
effectiveness of countermeasures.
1
An IRB is an ethics board that reviews and approves research involving human subjects to ensure
that the subjects’ rights and safety are protected. Universities and other research institutions that
perform medical and social science research typically have one or more IRBs. The SHRP 2 naturalis-
tic driving study will involve as many as a dozen IRBs because of the number of contractors engaged
in the research.
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safety focus area 41
Site-Based Video System
If SHRP 2 can demonstrate the technical feasibility of the site-based safety
research tool—the system of overhead cameras and automated vehicle tra-
jectory tracking—this tool could be used by highway safety professionals
to study driving behavior at locations of particular interest. The system,
which is intended to be deployable at different types of locations, could be
used by state and local agencies to evaluate new intersection geometries,
different traffic signal timing, various warning signs, pavement markings at
hazardous curves or at entrances to work zones, or other countermeasures.
This could be accomplished by setting up the system before and after such
a change has been made and studying its effect on speed, lane changing,
gap acceptance, or other behaviors of interest. As in the naturalistic driving
study, the site-based tool could be used to discover crash surrogates, which
could be analyzed in lieu of actual crashes to determine the safety impacts
of a countermeasure. At its current funding level, SHRP 2 will not be con-
ducting these analyses itself. If the system can be demonstrated to work,
however, such studies would be within the capacity of many states’ research
programs, as well as those of the Federal Highway Administration, NHTSA,
the National Cooperative Highway Research Program, the American Auto-
mobile Association’s Foundation for Traffic Safety, the Insurance Institute
for Highway Safety, and others.
The incentives to implement this technology will be its flexibility in deploy-
ment to different types of locations and its ability to record and automatically
identify trajectories of multiple vehicles, making it possible to measure the
safety performance of locations such as intersections. Once the initial tech-
nical challenges have been overcome (mainly by using state-of-the-art tech-
nology and the latest tracking algorithms), wide-scale implementation can
follow. A growing number of companies and products use this type of video
image processing technology for simpler applications in traffic management
and incident detection. The SHRP 2 project will set benchmarks for the
development of new systems that can be used to assess safety performance
with accurate trajectory measurements. In the short to medium term, robust
research-level prototypes will become available to highway agencies and
others interested in site-based safety analysis. These prototypes will use off-
the-shelf hardware components (cameras, networking, workstations), with
low-volume manufacture of the data acquisition hardware. Software needed
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42 implementing the results of the second strategic highway research program
to run the system will also be made available. At this stage, the number of
users and programs involved will be somewhat limited. For the longer term,
commercial companies are already interested in further developing this
type of technology to make it generally available and fully supported for the
broader user community. In this context, the project can be seen as a catalyst
for a new generation of safety evaluation systems, one that has established
feasibility, generates awareness and interest, and sets standards that must be
attained or surpassed by future commercial products.
Other Potential Users
The majority of the users of SHRP 2 Safety products are expected to be
highway safety practitioners and researchers. Nevertheless, as knowledge
of this research becomes more widespread, additional sectors of the high-
way community are expressing interest in using the data to address other
critical issues. For example, highway planners are interested in the route
choices made by the volunteers in the safety study. Traffic operations profes-
sionals want to see whether the data can help them understand how drivers
behave when they travel in work zones or drive past crash scenes. The site-
based video tool could even be set up in work zones or near special events to
study traffic patterns under these circumstances. In the naturalistic driving
study, volunteers’ daily driving behavior will be recorded, and these data
could be used to generate travel time distributions for repeated trips on the
same route. This information, together with data on weather, crashes, or
special events, could be used to study the impacts of such events on travel
time reliability and possibly the detour choices made by drivers. The data
derived from the study could also be used to examine driver behavior and
vehicle performance related to air quality, such as cold starts. SHRP 2’s
Reliability focus area (see Chapter 4) is carrying out a study to determine
the feasibility of using data from safety research such as SHRP 2’s natural-
istic driving study to address some of these other issues.
conclusion
The SHRP 2 Safety program represents the most ambitious driver-centered,
system-oriented safety research effort conducted to date. Its main compo-
nent is a naturalistic driving study involving approximately 4,000 volunteers
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safety focus area 43
over a period of 2 years. This study will yield hitherto unobtainable data
on driver behavior and the interaction among driver performance, vehicle
performance, and roadway conditions before, during, and after crash events,
as well as during near-crashes and normal driving. Crash risks associated
with various factors will be determined, and this information will form the
basis for better use of existing safety countermeasures and development and
application of new countermeasures. Identification of crash surrogates will
make evaluation of countermeasures significantly faster and safer. The data
that make all this possible will be a major national resource. However, the
potential benefits of this SHRP 2 Safety research will not be fully realized
without a continued investment of human and financial resources to ensure
that this major national resource is made available to users long after SHRP 2
has ended.
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Abbreviations
FHWA Federal Highway Administration
NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
TRB Transportation Research Board
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