compared. Quantities are expressed in standard units that are commonly used in the United States. Greenhouse gas emissions, however, are expressed in tonnes of CO2 equivalent (CO2 eq), the common metric used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The Panel on Alternative Liquid Transportation Fuels provides estimates of total costs of fuel products that include the feedstock, technical, engineering, construction, and production costs that were put on a consistent basis and at one time. However, the price of fuel products is dynamic because the costs of feedstock, labor, and construction fluctuate and are influenced by multiple factors, including shortages in labor or construction material, government policies, and the economic environment; and the cost estimates are sensitive to debt-to-equity ratios, interest rates, the discount rate, and specific corporate goals (such as return on capital and risks). Therefore, the cost estimates in this report are not predictions of fuel costs in 2020; rather, they provide a comparison of technologies on a level playing field. Cost estimates in this report do not include taxes or subsidies. Gasoline and other potential taxes and carbon prices could change the relative competitiveness of alternative fuel choices.

REFERENCES

BP (British Petroleum). 2007. BP Statistical Review of World Energy: June 2007. Available at www.bp.com/statisticalreview. Accessed March 2, 2009.

Di Pascoli, S., A. Femia, and T. Luzzati. 2001. Natural gas, cars and the environment: A (relatively) “clean” and cheap fuel looking for users. Ecological Economics 38:179-189.

EIA (Energy Information Administration). 2009. Annual Energy Outlook 2008 with Projections to 2030. U.S. Department of Energy. Available at http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/aeoref_tab.html. Accessed April 2, 2009.

EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 2008. Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emission and Sinks: 1990-2006. EPA 430-R-08-005. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

ExxonMobil. 2007. The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030. Irving, Tex.: ExxonMobil.

ExxonMobil. 2008. The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030. Irving, Tex.: ExxonMobil.

IEA (International Energy Administration). 2009. Oil Market Report. Available at http://omrpublic.iea.org/currentissues/full.pdf. Accessed January 30, 2009.

Ingersoll, J.G. 1996. Natural Gas Vehicles, Lilburn, Ga.: Fairmont Press, Inc.



The National Academies | 500 Fifth St. N.W. | Washington, D.C. 20001
Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Terms of Use and Privacy Statement