This chapter presents the epidemiologic studies that address following two sets of relationships:
The association between secondhand-smoke exposure and cardiovascular disease, especially coronary heart disease and not stroke (Question 1, see Box 1-1).
The association between secondhand-smoke exposure and acute coronary events (Questions 2, 3, and 5, see Box 1-1).
The chapter begins with background information on risk factors for cardiovascular diseases and events. Next is a discussion of the epidemiologic studies of secondhand-smoke exposure and chronic cardiovascular disease. Two other studies conducted following the implementation of smoking bans that address the association between secondhand smoke exposure and acute coronary events are discussed in Chapter 6. This chapter is relevant to Question 1 in the committee’s charge (see Box 1-1).
There has been much research on the carcinogenic effects of tobacco smoke and its constituents, but given the typical dose–response relationships for cancer end points and the difference in latency periods between cancer and secondhand-smoke–related cardiovascular effects, the modes of action underlying cancer and cardiovascular effects are likely to be different. In keeping with its charge, the committee focuses on research relevant to the cardiovascular system and does not review the data related to cancer. The 2006 surgeon general’s report summarized the literature on the relation of secondhand smoke to the cardiovascular system (HHS, 2006). The com-
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4
Epidemiologic Studies of
Secondhand-Smoke Exposure
and Cardiovascular Disease
This chapter presents the epidemiologic studies that address following
two sets of relationships:
• The association between secondhand-smoke exposure and cardio-
vascular disease, especially coronary heart disease and not stroke
(Question 1, see Box 1-1).
• The association between secondhand-smoke exposure and acute
coronary events (Questions 2, 3, and 5, see Box 1-1).
The chapter begins with background information on risk factors for
cardiovascular diseases and events. Next is a discussion of the epidemio-
logic studies of secondhand-smoke exposure and chronic cardiovascular
disease. Two other studies conducted following the implementation of
smoking bans that address the association between secondhand smoke ex-
posure and acute coronary events are discussed in Chapter 6. This chapter
is relevant to Question 1 in the committee’s charge (see Box 1-1).
There has been much research on the carcinogenic effects of tobacco
smoke and its constituents, but given the typical dose–response relation-
ships for cancer end points and the difference in latency periods between
cancer and secondhand-smoke–related cardiovascular effects, the modes of
action underlying cancer and cardiovascular effects are likely to be differ-
ent. In keeping with its charge, the committee focuses on research relevant
to the cardiovascular system and does not review the data related to cancer.
The 2006 surgeon general’s report summarized the literature on the relation
of secondhand smoke to the cardiovascular system (HHS, 2006). The com-
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SECONDHAND SMOKE EXPOSURE
mittee reviewed that report, and this chapter alone should not be considered
a comprehensive review of the published literature. For that, the reader is
referred to the surgeon general’s report or other recent reports (Cal EPA,
2005; HHS, 2006; IARC, 2004). Recommendations for further research on
the matter are presented in Chapter 7.
RISk FACTORS FOR ACuTE CORONARy EvENTS
Clinically manifest cardiovascular disease develops progressively. Ex-
tensive analyses of large cohorts show that the major risk factors for heart
disease are smoking, diabetes, total cholesterol concentration, and hyper-
tension (Wilson et al., 1998). Additional factors—such as obesity, left ven-
tricular hypertrophy, C-reactive protein (CRP), and family history of heart
disease at an early age—have been suggested as contributing to cardiovas-
cular disease risk (Wilson et al., 1998). Data on three large prospective
U.S. cohorts followed for 21–30 years indicate that exposure to at least one
clinically increased major risk factor underlies 87–100% of cases of fatal
coronary heart disease. For nonfatal coronary heart disease, the range was
87–92% (Greenland et al., 2003). An etiologic role of the major risk fac-
tors in the development of cardiovascular disease is indicated by extensive
studies showing that treating or reducing exposure to risk factors lowers
the rate of coronary heart disease events (Chobanian et al., 2003). That
smoking is a major independent risk factor for coronary heart disease in-
dicates that its effects cannot be entirely explained by changes in other risk
factors and that it increases the incidence, development, and manifestation
of cardiovascular disease by pathophysiologic mechanisms that are unique
and relatively independent of dyslipidemia, hypertension, sex, or diabetes.
Like active smoking, exposure to secondhand smoke could be considered
an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease.
EPIDEMIOLOGy OF CHRONIC ExPOSuRE TO SECONDHAND-
TOBACCO SMOkE IN RELATION TO CORONARy
HEART DISEASE AND ACuTE CORONARy EvENTS
The surgeon general’s 2006 report concluded that “the evidence is suf-
ficient to infer a causal relationship between exposure to secondhand smoke
and increased risks of coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality
among both men and women” and that “pooled relative risks from meta-
analyses indicate a 25 to 30 percent increase in the risk of coronary heart
disease from exposure to secondhand smoke” (HHS, 2006). This section
provides an overview of the relationship between exposure to secondhand
smoke and coronary events summarized in that report, not limited to acute
coronary events. Much research has been conducted on secondhand-smoke
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EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
exposure and coronary heart disease and was the precursor to work on the
effects of secondhand smoke on acute coronary events. The epidemiologic
studies that investigated the relationship are discussed briefly here and then
what is known regarding the dose–response relationship and the potential
biases and confounding effects that could affect the relationship.
Epidemiologic Evidence
Many prospective cohort studies and case–control studies have ex-
amined the association between exposure to secondhand smoke and the
risk of coronary heart disease (Butler, 1988; Chen et al., 2004; Ciruzzi et
al., 1998; Dobson et al., 1991; Garland et al., 1985; He, 1989; He et al.,
1994; Helsing et al., 1988; Hole et al., 1989; Humble et al., 1990; Jackson,
1989; Kawachi et al., 1997; La Vecchia et al., 1993; Layard, 1995; Lee et
al., 1986; LeVois and Layard, 1995; McElduff et al., 1998; Muscat and
Wynder, 1995; Pitsavos et al., 2002; Rosenlund et al., 2001; Sandler et al.,
1989; Steenland et al., 1996; Svendsen et al., 1987; Tunstall-Pedoe et al.,
1995; Whincup et al., 2004). They all showed a trend toward increased risk
of coronary heart disease associated with secondhand smoke; most but not
all of the relative risk (RR) estimates in individual studies were statistically
significant. Several published meta-analyses of the epidemiologic studies
pooled RR estimates from individual studies and showed a significant
25–30% increase in the risk of coronary heart disease associated with vari-
ous exposures to secondhand smoke (Barnoya and Glantz, 2005; He et al.,
1999; HHS, 2006; Law et al., 1997; Thun et al., 1999; Wells, 1994, 1998).
Two recent and comprehensive meta-analyses are particularly worthy of
mention (He et al., 1999; HHS, 2006).
He et al. (1999) conducted a meta-analysis of secondhand smoke and
the risk of coronary heart disease in nonsmokers. A total of 10 prospec-
tive cohort studies and 8 case–control studies were included (Butler, 1988;
Ciruzzi et al., 1998; Dobson et al., 1991; Garland et al., 1985; He, 1989;
He et al., 1994; Hirayama, 1990; Hole et al., 1989; Humble et al., 1990;
Jackson, 1989; Kawachi et al., 1997; La Vecchia et al., 1993; Lee et
al., 1986; Muscat and Wynder, 1995; Sandler et al., 1989; Steenland et
al., 1996; Svendsen et al., 1987). In all the cohort studies, the outcome
was myocardial infarction (MI) or death due to coronary heart disease.
Secondhand-smoke exposure at home was measured in all the cohort stud-
ies, but only four measured workplace exposure. In four case–control
studies, secondhand-smoke exposure was assessed both at home and in the
workplace; in the other four, it was assessed only at home. Such incomplete
exposure assessment biases results towards the null. Overall, nonsmokers
exposed to secondhand smoke had an RR of coronary heart disease of 1.25
(95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17–1.32) compared with nonsmokers not
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SECONDHAND SMOKE EXPOSURE
exposed to secondhand smoke. Secondhand smoke was consistently as-
sociated with an increased RR of coronary heart disease in cohort studies
(RR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.14–1.30), in case–control studies (RR, 1.51; 95% CI,
1.26–1.81), in men (RR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.10–1.35), in women (RR, 1.24;
95% CI, 1.15–1.34), and in those exposed to secondhand smoke at home
(RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.11–1.24) or in the workplace (RR, 1.11; 95% CI,
1.00–1.23). In a separate meta-analysis, Wells reported that the combined
RR of coronary heart disease associated with secondhand-smoke exposure
at work and not at home was 1.18 (95% CI, 1.04–1.34) in eight epidemio-
logic studies (Wells, 1998).
The surgeon general’s 2006 report (HHS, 2006) updated the meta-
analysis of He et al. (1999). The updated meta-analysis included nine
cohort studies and seven case–control studies (Butler, 1988; Ciruzzi et al.,
1998; Garland et al., 1985; He et al., 1994; Hirayama, 1990; Hole et al.,
1989; Humble et al., 1990; Kawachi et al., 1997; La Vecchia et al., 1993;
Lee et al., 1986; McElduff et al., 1998; Muscat and Wynder, 1995; Sandler
et al., 1989; Steenland et al., 1996; Svendsen et al., 1987). Two of the
more recently published studies, by McElduff (1998) and Rosenlund et al.
(2001), were identified and included, whereas the articles by Jackson (1989)
and Dobson et al. (1991) were excluded because they reported data that
were reanalyzed in the paper by McElduff et al. (1998). In addition, the
updated meta-analysis did not include one of the two unpublished studies
by Butler (1988) or a case–control study published in Chinese (He, 1989).
The overall pooled estimate of the RR of coronary heart disease associated
with secondhand smoke was 1.27 (95% CI, 1.19–1.36) in the meta-analysis
(HHS, 2006). Furthermore, the RR point estimates were similar for men
and women and in various exposure venues. The stringent adjustment
for potential confounding had little effect on the estimates. The pooled
estimate based on the case–control studies was somewhat higher than that
based on the cohort studies (HHS, 2006). Most observational studies have
adjusted for major coronary heart disease risk factors (He et al., 1999;
HHS, 2006).
Five published epidemiologic studies were not included in the updated
meta-analysis in the surgeon general’s 2006 report (Chen et al., 2004;
Panagiotakos et al., 2002; Stranges et al., 2006; Teo et al., 2006; Whincup
et al., 2004). Of those, the Scottish MONICA survey is a cross-sectional
study (Chen et al., 2004) and so will not be discussed here.
Panagiotakos et al. (2002) investigated the association between sec-
ondhand smoke and the risk of developing a first event of acute coronary
syndrome (ACS, that is, acute MI or unstable angina) in nonsmokers
in the Greek population. A detailed questionnaire regarding exposure to
secondhand smoke was completed by 848 patients with a first ACS event
and 1,078 coronary heart disease-free matched controls. When age, sex,
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EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, physical inactivity,
family history of premature coronary heart disease, education level, annual
income, and depression status were controlled for, nonsmokers who were
exposed to secondhand cigarette smoke occasionally (fewer than three times
per week) had a 26% higher risk of ACS (odds ratio [OR], 1.26; p < 0.01)
than nonsmokers not exposed to secondhand smoke, and nonsmokers who
were exposed regularly (three or more times per week) had a 99% higher
risk (OR, 1.99; p < 0.001) (Panagiotakos et al., 2002).
Whincup et al. (2004) examined the association between serum con-
centration of cotinine (a biomarker of exposure to secondhand smoke; see
Chapter 2 for further discussion) and risk of coronary heart disease in a
prospective epidemiologic study, the British Regional Heart Study. A total
of 4,729 men who provided baseline blood samples (for cotinine assay) and
a detailed smoking history in 1978–1980 were followed for major coronary
heart disease (fatal and nonfatal) over 20 years. The 2,105 men who re-
ported that they did not smoke and who had cotinine concentrations under
14.1 ng/mL were divided equally into four groups on the basis of cotinine
concentrations. Compared with the first quartile of cotinine concentration
(no more than 0.7 ng/mL), the RRs (and 95% CIs) for coronary heart dis-
ease in the second quartile of cotinine concentration (0.8–1.4 ng/mL), the
third quartile (1.5–2.7 ng/mL), and the fourth (2.8–14 ng/mL) were 1.45
(1.01–2.08), 1.49 (1.03–2.14), and 1.57 (1.08–2.28), respectively, after
adjustment for residential area, age, diabetes, physical activity, alcohol
intake, blood pressure, body mass index, total cholesterol, high-density
lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglycerides, white-cell count, forced expira-
tory volume, and preexisting coronary heart disease (Whincup et al., 2004).
RRs for coronary heart disease (for cotinine of 0.8–14 ng/mL versus under
0.6 ng/mL) were particularly increased during the first 5-year followup
period (3.73; 1.32–10.58) and the second 5-year followup period (1.95;
1.09–3.48). This study used a biomarker of secondhand-smoke exposure,
which is more objective than self-reporting, and found a greater excess risk
of coronary heart disease than studies that used self-reported exposure. It
is possible, therefore, that the effects of secondhand smoke may have been
underestimated in earlier studies that relied on self-reporting.
The INTERHEART study examined the relationship between second-
hand smoke exposure and acute MI (Teo et al., 2006). The INTERHEART
study is a standardized case–control study of 15,152 cases of first acute MI
and 14,820 age- and sex-matched controls. Cases and controls were from
262 centers in 52 countries in Asia, Europe, Middle East Crescent, Africa,
Australia, North America, and South America. After exclusions (individu-
als with unstable angina alone, unconfirmed acute MI, previous acute MI,
missing data on tobacco use, or other missing information), there were a
total of 12,133 cases and 14,435 controls. Secondhand-smoke exposure
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00 SECONDHAND SMOKE EXPOSURE
was self-reported during interviews with trained staff as times per day, aver-
age number of hours per week over the previous 12 months, and smoking
habits of spouses; no cotinine measurements were presented. Other factors
recorded include: serum apo-lipoprotein B and A1 concentrations, height,
weight, waist and hip circumference, blood pressure, heart rate, dietary
patterns, physical activity, alcohol consumption, education, income, psy-
chosocial factors, personal and family history of cardiovascular disease, hy-
pertension, and diabetes mellitus. Exposure to secondhand smoke increased
the risk of a nonfatal acute MI in a graded manner, with an adjusted odds
ratio (OR; adjusted for age, sex, region, physical activity, and consumption
of fruits, vegetables, and alcohol) of 1.24 (95% CI, 1.17–1.32) and 1.62
(95% CI, 1.45–1.81) in those least exposed (1–7 h of exposure per week)
and most exposed (≥22 h of exposure per week), respectively, compared to
never-smokers who were not exposed to secondhand smoke. The overall
population attributable risk for never-smokers who were exposed to sec-
ondhand smoke for 1 hour per week or longer was 15.4% (95% CI, 12.1–
19.3). Those ORs for secondhand smoke compare to an overall OR for
current smokers compared to never-smokers of 2.95 (95% CI, 2.77–3.14).
The risks increased with the number of cigarettes smoked, from an OR of
1.63 (95% CI, 1.45–1.82) for individuals smoking one to nine cigarettes a
day to an OR of 4.59 (95% CI, 4.21–5.00) for individuals smoking 20 or
more cigarettes a day. Regression analysis demonstrated a dose response in
current smokers with the risk of acute MI increasing by 1.056 (95% CI,
1.05–1.06) for every additional cigarette smoked per day.
Stranges et al. (2006) examined lifetime cumulative exposure to second-
hand smoke and risk of acute MI in never-smokers. The authors used data
from the Western New York Health Study collected from 1995 to 2001
to examine risk factors for coronary heart disease. Cases were recruited
from hospitals in Erie and Niagara counties, New York, after discharge
for an acute MI incident (ICD- 410). Controls were randomly selected
from residents of those two counties who were ages 35 to 70 years using
driver’s license lists (65 years of age or under) and Medicaid and Medicare
lists (>65). A total of 1,197 cases (64.3% of identified and eligible cases)
and 2,850 controls (59.5% of identified and eligible controls) were inter-
viewed. Of those, Stranges et al. (2006) analyzed 284 nonsmoking cases
and 1,257 nonsmoking controls, with smoking status determined by self
report during interviews. Interviews included medical history and lifestyle
habits, and personal lifetime exposure to secondhand smoke in the home,
workplace and other public settings. Information was asked according to
exposures younger than 21 years of age, and for each decade of adult life
(21–30, 31–40, etc.). Information included the number of people living with
the participant who smoked (cigarettes, cigars, or pipes) and the number
of years the smoker resided with the participant. From that, cumulative
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EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
exposure at home was calculated by adding the person-years across each
age period. Similarly, the number of years working near coworkers who
smoked was also calculated. For other public exposures, the number of
times per week in a typical month the participant visited bars, restaurants,
or other settings in which smokers were present was calculated for each
age period. Complete smoke exposure histories were available for 1,478
participants (254 cases and 1,224 controls). ORs were calculated based
on tertiles of exposure, both overall and by sex; no range of exposures or
cotinine concentrations were presented. Data were not adjusted or analyzed
with regard to how recent exposures had occurred. Consistent with other
data presented in Chapter 3, data in Stranges et al. (2006) indicate that
exposures have decreased over time, especially in the home and workplace.
After adjusting for age, sex, education, body mass index, race, alcohol
intake, physical activity, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and hypercholes-
terolemia, exposure to secondhand smoke was not significantly associated
with increased risk for MI, with an OR for those in the highest tertile of
exposure relative to those in the lowest tertile of exposure of 1.19 (95% CI,
0.78–1.82). This study does differ from others in that it assessed lifetime
cumulative exposures, not recent exposures. To the extent that the effects of
secondhand-smoke exposure on CVD are due to recent exposures, cumula-
tive exposure is an inappropriate exposure metric.
Dose–Response Association
A dose–response association between secondhand smoke and the risk
of coronary heart disease was reported in several epidemiologic studies and
meta-analyses (He et al., 1999; HHS, 2006). In the meta-analysis by He et
al. (1999) studies that provided RR estimates of association stratified by
the intensity of exposure to secondhand smoke, determined by the number
of cigarettes smoked per day by a cohabitant or duration of living with
a smoker cohabitant (typically measured in years), were used to generate
pooled estimates for the dose–response analysis. The RRs of coronary heart
disease increased significantly with exposure to a higher level or a longer
duration of secondhand smoke (He et al., 1999). For example, as compared
with nonsmokers who were not exposed to smoke, nonsmokers who were
exposed to 1 to 19 cigarettes per day and to 20 or more cigarettes per day
had RRs of coronary heart disease of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.13–1.34) and 1.31
(95% CI, 1.21–1.42), respectively (p = 0.006 for linear trend). Likewise,
as compared with nonsmokers who were not exposed to cigarette smoke,
nonsmokers who were exposed to a spouse’s smoke for 1 to 9 years, 10 to
19 years, and 20 or more years had RRs of coronary heart disease of 1.18
(95% CI, 0.98–1.42), 1.31 (95% CI, 1.11–1.55), and 1.29 (95% CI, 1.16–
1.43), respectively (p = 0.01 for linear trend). A similar dose–response as-
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0 SECONDHAND SMOKE EXPOSURE
sociation between secondhand smoke and the risk of coronary heart disease
was reported in the 2006 surgeon general’s report (HHS, 2006). Compared
with unexposed nonsmokers, nonsmokers exposed to levels of secondhand
smoke ranging from low to moderate (1 to 14 or 1 to 19 cigarettes per
day) had an RR of 1.16 (95% CI, 1.03–1.32). Nonsmokers exposed to
levels ranging from moderate to high (≥15 or ≥20 cigarettes per day) had
an RR of 1.44 (95% CI, 1.13–1.82) compared with unexposed nonsmok-
ers (HHS, 2006). The results from Whincup et al. (2004), presented earlier
in this chapter, support a dose response between intensity of secondhand
smoke exposure and cardiovascular disease risk. In that study hazard ratios
with the simplest adjustment (stratified by town and adjusted for age) were
1.50 (95% CI, 1.06–2.12), 1.56 (95% CI, 1.11–2.2), and 1.61 (95% CI,
1.15–2.27) for the three highest exposure quartiles (serum cotinine concen-
trations of 0.8–1.4, 1.5–2.7, and 2.8–14 ng/mL, respectively) relative to the
lowest exposure quartile (serum cotinine concentration of ≤0.7 ng/mL). The
hazard ratio for the highest exposure quartile was similar to that seen in
light active smokers in that same study (1.65; 95% CI, 1.08–2.54).
It should be noted, however, that in all those cases an increased risk
is seen even at the lowest levels of exposure compared to unexposed non-
smokers. As has been seen with active smoking, even smoking fewer than
five cigarettes per day is associated with an elevated risk of heart disease,
with risks increasing with increased smoking, but at a lower rate compared
to the initial increase (Law and Wald, 2003).
Bias and Confounding Effects
Some methodologic issues—including the possibility of misclassification
of secondhand-smoke exposure, the potential for uncontrolled confounding
effects, and publication bias—have been raised in the literature (Kawachi
and Colditz, 1996).
Several potential sources of misclassification of secondhand-smoke ex-
posure have been suggested (Bailar, 1999; Hackshaw et al., 1997; He et al.,
1999; Howard and Thun, 1999; Kawachi and Colditz, 1996; Law et al.,
1997; Lee and Forey, 1996; Thun et al., 1999; Wells, 1986, 1998). Some
self-reported lifetime nonsmokers may have been smokers in the past, and
persons more exposed to secondhand smoke may be more likely to have
been active smokers in the past (Kawachi and Colditz, 1996; Lee and Forey,
1996; Wells, 1986). However, that potential bias was unlikely to have a
substantial effect on studies of secondhand smoke and coronary heart dis-
ease because the extent of such misclassification was minor and the RR of
coronary heart disease in former smokers was not high (Hackshaw et al.,
1997; Howard and Thun, 1999; Kawachi and Colditz, 1996). In addition,
recall bias has been suggested because nonsmokers who develop coronary
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EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
heart disease may have selectively recalled their exposures to secondhand
smoke (Bailar, 1999). However, the pooled estimates of RR of coronary
heart disease associated with secondhand smoke from the prospective co-
hort studies were significantly increased and would not be subject to this
form of bias (He et al., 1999; HHS, 2006). Furthermore, a failure to cor-
rect for background exposure to secondhand smoke in most epidemiologic
studies (because truly unexposed populations were essentially unavailable)
might bias the associations with disease toward the null (Ong and Glantz,
2000). Although many of these studies use self-report of exposures to sec-
ondhand smoke, a number of studies have concluded that self-report can
be a valid method to assess exposure to secondhand smoke (Emmons et al.,
1994; Tunstall-Pedoe et al., 1995; Willemsen et al., 1997). Measurement
errors due to failure to assess total secondhand-smoke exposures from dif-
ferent sources, failure to obtain repeated exposure data over time, or under-
reporting of exposures of nonsmokers would bias the association between
secondhand smoke and coronary heart disease toward the null (Kawachi
and Colditz, 1996). Furthermore, the one study that looked at coronary
heart disease risk in nonsmokers that used serum cotinine concentrations
as a measure of exposure rather than self-reported smoking history had a
higher relative risk (hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.15–2.27) than those that
used self-reports, suggesting that misclassification of secondhand smoke
exposure is not responsible for the increased risk (Whincup et al., 2004).
Several cross-sectional surveys found that nonsmokers who were ex-
posed to secondhand smoke were more likely to report low socioeconomic
status and unhealthy lifestyle (low physical activity and poor diet) than
nonsmokers who were not exposed to secondhand smoke (Emmons et al.,
1995; Koo et al., 1997; Matanoski et al., 1995; Thornton et al., 1994), but
the differences between the two groups in cardiovascular risk factors could
not explain the observed associations between secondhand smoke and risk
of coronary heart disease. For example, the overall RR of coronary heart
disease associated with secondhand smoke was 1.26 (95% CI, 1.16–1.38)
when the analysis was confined to studies that adjusted for important risk
factors for coronary heart disease, such as age, sex, blood pressure, body
weight, and serum cholesterol in the meta-analysis by He et al. (1999).
Whincup et al. (2004) also conducted analyses with various adjustments.
The risk of coronary heart disease was not greatly affected by the adjust-
ments. For example, the hazard ratio in the highest exposure group was
1.61 (95% CI, 1.15–2.27) with the simplest adjustments (stratified by town
and adjusted for age), 1.46 (95% CI, 1.02–2.07) with more adjustments
(also adjusted for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol
and HDL cholesterol, forced expiratory volume in 1 second, height, and
preexisting coronary heart disease), and 1.57 (95% CI, 1.08–2.28) with
even more adjustments (in addition to all previous adjustments, adjusted
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0 SECONDHAND SMOKE EXPOSURE
for body mass index, triglycerides, white blood cell count, diabetes, physical
activity, alcohol intake, and social class).
Another potential bias might be due to the tendency for investigators
to submit manuscripts and for editors to accept them on the basis of the
statistical significance and direction of the association (positive rather than
negative) of study results (publication bias). Overall, there is no evidence
to suggest that publication bias attributable to the omission of unpublished
data substantially affected the conclusions of the published meta-analyses
of the evidence on secondhand smoke and coronary heart disease. For ex-
ample, unpublished studies were included in the meta-analysis by He et al.
(1999). In their meta-analysis, they summarized 18 cohort and case–control
studies and performed a rank-correlation analysis of the association be-
tween the standard error and the logarithm of RR. If small studies with
negative results were less likely to be published, the correlation between the
standard error and log RR would be high and would suggest publication
bias. The Kendall tau correlation coefficient for the standard error and the
standardized log RR was 0.24 (p = 0.16) for all 18 studies and provided
little evidence of publication bias. When the study by Garland et al. (1985),
which had a relative risk that could be considered an outlier, was excluded
from the analysis the Kendall tau correlation coefficient for the standard
error and the standardized log RR was further reduced to 0.19 (p = 0.28)
(He et al., 1999). We cannot exclude the possibility of publication bias, but
there is little reason to believe that it substantially affected the conclusions
of the published reviews or meta-analyses of the evidence on coronary heart
disease (HHS, 2006).
CONCLuSIONS
• The results of case–control and cohort studies carried out in mul-
tiple populations consistently indicate exposure to secondhand
smoke poses about a 25–30% increase in risk of coronary heart
disease.
• A few epidemiologic studies using serum cotinine concentration,
an objective measure of individual exposure to secondhand smoke,
indicated that the RR of coronary heart disease associated with
secondhand smoke was even greater than those estimates based on
self-reported secondhand-smoke exposure.
• The excess risk is unlikely to be explained by misclassification bias,
uncontrolled confounding effects, or publication bias.
• Although few studies have addressed coronary heart disease risk
posed by exposure to secondhand smoke in the workplace, there
is no reason to suppose that the effect of exposure at work differs
from the effect of exposure in the home environment.
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EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
• A positive dose–response relationship between secondhand-smoke
exposure, either self-reported or shown by the presence of bio-
markers, supports the conclusion of causality.
• Given those findings, the high prevalence of secondhand smoke in
the U.S. general population has important implications for public
health.
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large as smoking. Circulation 111(20):2684-2698.
Butler, T. L. 1988. The relationship of passive smoking to various health outcomes among
Seventh-Day Adventists in California. Doctoral Dissertation. Los Angeles: University of
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Cal EPA (California Environmental Protection Agency). 2005. Proposed identification of envi-
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