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Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report (2009)

Chapter: Appendix D: Opening Session Charts

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Opening Session Charts." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
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Page 46
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Opening Session Charts." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
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Page 47
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Opening Session Charts." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
×
Page 48
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Opening Session Charts." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
×
Page 49
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Opening Session Charts." National Research Council. 2009. Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter: A Symposium Report. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/12735.
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Page 50

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Appendix D Opening Session Charts Prior to the symposium, the DIA/DWO distributed questionnaires to selected governmental participants to elicit their perspectives regarding key topics to be discussed during the symposium. Responses were received from the major stake- holder communities—including COCOMs, defense acquisition, defense R&D, and S&TI producers. The results were tabulated and shown graphically during the opening session to help set the scene for the subsequent panel discussions. While the sample was small and the results not statistically significant, the distribution of responses served to focus and stimulate panel discussions. Figures D-1 through D-8 in the section “Setting the Scene” in Chapter 1 were shared with symposium participants. 46

APPENDIX D 47 0-5 Years 6-10 Years 11-15 Years 16-20 Years FIGURE D-1  Results in response to the question, What time horizon is your command or work unit focused on? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO. Fig D-1.eps 10 9 Yes 8 No 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Fundamental Concept Developing Fielded Foreign Potential Research Exploration Foreign Weapon Weapon Technology Systems Systems Insertion FIGURE D-2  Results in response to the question, Would you be interested in S&TI prod- ucts regarding [the listed types]? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO. Fig D-2.eps

48 AVOIDING TECHNOLOGY SURPRISE FOR TOMORROW’S WARFIGHTER Yes No I don't know FIGURE D-3  Results in response to the question, Do you receive S&TI products on a Fig D-3.eps regular basis? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Timely? Complete? Thorough? Relevant? Current? No Qualified Yes FIGURE D-4  Results in response to the question, If yes, would you say the S&TI products Fig D-4.eps you receive are [timely, complete, thorough, relevant, and current]? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO.

APPENDIX D 49 High Level Moderate Level Don’t Trust FIGURE D-5  Results in response to the question, How much do you trust the S&TI you receive? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO. Fig D-5.eps Increased No Change Decreased FIGURE D-6  Results in response to the question, Has your level of trust changed in the last 5 years? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO. Fig D-6.eps

50 AVOIDING TECHNOLOGY SURPRISE FOR TOMORROW’S WARFIGHTER Paper Document Email Exchange Electronic Document Telephone Discussion Face-to-Face Meeting FIGURE D-7  Results in response to the question, In what form(s) do you prefer to receive S&TI information? SOURCE: Survey by D-7.eps Fig DIA/DWO. S&TI Push User Pull Combination Push/Pull FIGURE D-8  Results in response to the question, Do you expect the IC to come to you Fig D-8.eps with S&TI or primarily respond to user requests? SOURCE: Survey by DIA/DWO.

Next: Appendix E: Questions Presented to Panels »
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On April 29, 2009 the National Research Council held a 1-day symposium titled, 'Avoiding Technology Surprise for Tomorrow's Warfighter.' This volume, a report of the symposium, highlights key challenges confronting the scientific and technical intelligence (S & TI) community and explores potential solutions that might enable the S & TI community to overcome those challenges.

The symposium captured comments and observations from representatives from combatant commands and supporting governmental organizations, together with those of symposium participants, in order to elucidate concepts and trends, knowledge of which could be used to improve the Department of Defense's technology warning capability. Topics addressed included issues stemming from globalization of science and technology, challenges to U.S. warfighters that could result from technology surprise, examples of past technological surprise, and the strengths and weaknesses of current S & TI analysis.

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