Driving and the Built Environment: The Effects of Compact Development on Motorized Travel, Energy Use, and CO2 Emissions -- Special Report 298

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Driving and the Built Environment: The Effects of Compact Development on Motorized Travel, Energy Use, and CO2 Emissions -- Special Report 298 (2009)
Board on Energy and Environmental Systems (BEES)

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. "5 Potential Effects of More Compact Development Patterns on Vehicle Miles Traveled, Energy Use, and CO2 Emissions." Driving and the Built Environment: The Effects of Compact Development on Motorized Travel, Energy Use, and CO2 Emissions -- Special Report 298. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2009.

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Driving and the Built Environment: The Effects of Compact Development on Motorized Travel, Energy Use, and CO2 Emissions

Annex 5-1
Detailed Tables

ANNEX 5-1 TABLE 1 Sensitivity Analysis, 2000–2030, Changing Fuel Economy Assumptions

	Year	Base Case	Scenario 1	Scenario 2
New Development
Assumptions
Percent growth in housing units		36%–46%	36%–46%	36%–46%
Housing units (in millions)	2000	105.2	105.2	105.2
Housing units (in millions)	2030	142.8–153.2	142.8–153.2	142.8–153.2
Percent of 2030 units new and replacement		32%–37%	32%–37%	32%–37%
New and replacement units (in millions)	2030	45.8–56.7	45.8–56.7	45.8–56.7
Percent of new and replacement units compact		0%	25%	75%
New and replacement units compact (in millions)	2030	0.0–0.0	11.5–14.2	34.4–42.5
Changes in VMT
Assumptions
Percent change in VMT/household in existing development		0%	0%	0%
VMT/household in existing development	2000	21,187	21,187	21,187
VMT/household in existing development	2030	21,187	21,187	21,187
Percent change in VMT/household in new noncompact development			8.4%	17.5%
VMT/household in new noncompact development	2030		22,967^a	24,895^a