Annex 5-1
Detailed Tables

ANNEX 5-1 TABLE 1 Sensitivity Analysis, 2000–2030, Changing Fuel Economy Assumptions

 

Year

Base Case

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

New Development

Assumptions

 

 

 

 

Percent growth in housing units

 

36%–46%

36%–46%

36%–46%

Housing units (in millions)

2000

105.2

105.2

105.2

2030

142.8–153.2

142.8–153.2

142.8–153.2

Percent of 2030 units new and replacement

 

32%–37%

32%–37%

32%–37%

New and replacement units (in millions)

2030

45.8–56.7

45.8–56.7

45.8–56.7

Percent of new and replacement units compact

 

0%

25%

75%

New and replacement units compact (in millions)

2030

0.0–0.0

11.5–14.2

34.4–42.5

Changes in VMT

Assumptions

 

 

 

 

Percent change in VMT/household in existing development

 

0%

0%

0%

VMT/household in existing development

2000

21,187

21,187

21,187

2030

21,187

21,187

21,187

Percent change in VMT/household in new noncompact development

 

 

8.4%

17.5%

VMT/household in new noncompact development

2030

 

22,967a

24,895a



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