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Advancing the Science of Climate Change (2010)
Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (BASC)

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. "7 Sea Level Rise and the Coastal Environment." Advancing the Science of Climate Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

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Advancing the Science of Climate Change

bathymetric data in the coastal seas, improved elevation data on land, the inclusion of wave and spillover effects, better data on precipitation rates and stream flows, ways of dealing with storm-driven sediment transport, and the ability to include the effects of built structures on coastal wind stress patterns.


Develop tools and approaches for understanding and predicting the vulnerability to, and impacts of, sea level rise on coastal ecosystems and coastal infrastructure, as well as for translating this understanding into decision-relevant information. The impacts of sea level rise on wetlands, coral reefs, marine fisheries, and estuarine bays and rivers need to be evaluated in concert with the impacts associated with increasing levels of CO2 in the atmosphere and oceans, increasing nutrient inputs from land, and changes in use or management (see also Chapter 9). Likewise, the impacts of sea level rise on infrastructure, including ports, roads, cities, dikes, levees, and freshwater aquifers and storage facilities, should take into account potential shifts in storm patterns, rainfall rates, and other climate changes (see also Chapters 12 and 13). Improved valuation of nonmarket values, and development of decision-support tools to assess the trade-offs between physical, ecological, and social impacts and response options (see below) are needed to inform coastal management decisions that require long lead times.


Expand the ability to identify and assess vulnerable coastal regions and populations and to develop and assess adaptation strategies to reduce their vulnerability. With sea level rise acting in combination with other physical, social, and economic stressors, the ability to assess the social-ecological vulnerability of coastal regions, improve society’s adaptive response options (through technological, economic, and land use changes), and identify constraints to adaptation (including legal, social, political, infrastructure-related, and economic issues) are all critical research needs (see also Chapter 4). This area of research has received very little attention to date, leaving many U.S. coastal communities without adequate place-specific information to inform their adaptation decisions.


Develop decision-support capabilities for all levels of governance. Methods for identifying preferences and weighing alternative adaptive responses will be needed as environmental and social conditions change over time. Frameworks and approaches need to be developed for the evaluation of market and nonmarket values of affected assets and habitats; of the economic costs and other consequences of different response options to sea level rise on both highly developed and less developed shorelines; and of the social and environmental feasibility of different adaptation options (including technological, economic, physical, ecological, social, or legal options) for different coastlines. This will require improved information of the kinds listed

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254
Front Matter (R1-R22)
Summary (1-16)
Part I (17-18)
1 Introduction: Science for Understanding and Responding to Climate Change (19-26)
2 What We Know About Climate Change and Its Interactions with People and Ecosystems (27-82)
3 A New Era of Climate Change Research (83-90)
4 Integrative Themes for Climate Change Research (91-150)
5 Recommendations for Meeting the Challenge of Climate Change Research (151-180)
Part II: Technical Chapters (181-182)
6 Changes in the Climate System (183-234)
7 Sea Level Rise and the Coastal Environment (235-256)
8 Freshwater Resources (257-270)
9 Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity (271-290)
10 Agriculture, Fisheries, and Food Production (291-308)
11 Public Health (309-322)
12 Cities and the Built Environment (323-332)
13 Transportation (333-348)
14 Energy Supply and Use (349-376)
15 Solar Radiation Management (377-388)
16 National and Human Security (389-400)
17 Designing, Implementing, and Evaluating Climate Policies (401-420)
References (421-474)
Appendix A: America's Climate Choices: Membership Lists (475-478)
Appendix B: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change: Statement of Task (479-480)
Appendix C: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change: Biographical Sketches (481-490)
Appendix D: Uncertainty Terminology (491-492)
Appendix E: The United States Global Change Research Program (493-496)
Appendix F: Geoengineering Options to Respond to Climate Change: Steps to Establish a Research Agenda (497-500)
Appendix G: Acronyms and Initialisms (501-504)