National Academy of Sciences | 150 Year Anniversary

Questions? Call 800-624-6242

| Items in cart [0]

The National Academies Press

PAPERBACK
price:$85.50
add to cart

Rights & Permissions

topleft topright

The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza A Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions: Workshop Summary (2010)
Board on Global Health (BGH)

Citation Manager

. "A9 Rumors of Pandemic: Monitoring Emerging Disease Outbreaks on the Internet." The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza A Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

Please select a format:

BibTeX EndNote RefMan


Page
270
bottomleft bottomright

The following HTML text is provided to enhance online readability. Many aspects of typography translate only awkwardly to HTML. Please use the page image as the authoritative form to ensure accuracy.


The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza a Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions - Workshop Summary

we were brought into the present day by the emergence of several important diseases. The IOM has done a great deal in bringing these issues to the forefront.

A Tale of Two Emerging Diseases

Let us consider two emerging diseases, one before the birth of the Internet and one after it became a mature entity. The first was detected in 1981 (CDC, 1981). An article in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) was published recognizing a cluster of Pneumocystis pneumonia in gay men in Los Angeles. This outbreak became apparent only because treatment for Pneumocystis carinii was only available from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). CDC investigators noted this cluster of an unusual pathogen in an unusual patient population and that was the first recognition of what came to be known as HIV/AIDS.

However, we know well that HIV infection did not start in 1981 and that the epidemic had been going on for many years, largely in Africa, but also in other parts of the world. Certainly, HIV was widespread throughout Africa at the time it became apparent in the United States and yet, although this was not a subtle disease that could easily be missed, it was essentially unknown in the West.

What if we had known earlier? Two trends were visible in the early 1990s. One was the growth and popularization of the Internet, as it was coming out of the exclusive domain of the military and a few academic centers. This was the age, for example, when America Online (AOL) was born. The second was the recognition of the importance of emerging infectious diseases as HIV, Legionnaire’s disease, and resurgent rheumatic fever became evident. Many clinicians and scientists soon had access to electronic mail and some began to wonder whether this medium could be used as a way of speeding the transmission of information about emerging diseases.

A group of very prescient individuals, Steve Morse, Jack Woodall, and Barbara Hatch-Rosenberg, met at a UN-sponsored conference on detection of the use of biological weapons and began an email list among the attendees at the meeting. This mailing list became the nidus of the forum, the beginning of what was to become ProMED-mail (for Program for Monitoring Emerging Diseases). They began sending each other reports of emerging diseases, some of which might have involved the accidental or intentional release of biological weapons material. Soon many people wanted to share this information and join this mailing list, and from the initial group of about forty individuals, ProMED-mail was born (Madoff, 2004; Madoff and Woodall, 2005).

The outbreak referred to in this report and reproduced in Box A9-1 on the following page, of course, was the beginning of the pandemic that would become known as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), the second disease in our tale. The report was in many ways typical of a ProMED report: an email from a reader who had overheard a rumor of what was going on in Guanzhou. Comments in an informal online source said that there were hospitals that had been

Page
270
Front Matter (R1-R22)
Workshop Overview (1-94)
Appendix A1 Technical Report for State and Local Public Health Officials and School Administrators on CDC Guidance for School (K-12) Responses to Influenza during the 2009-2010 School Year (95-110)
A2 Predicting Emerging Diseases in the Twenty-first Century: The Case of Zoonotic Influenza (111-119)
A3 The Spring 2009 Influenza A H1N1 Outbreak: A Local Public Health Perspective (120-136)
A4 I nternational Law and Equitable Access to Vaccines and Antivirals in the Context of 2009-H1N1 Influenza (137-154)
A5 In Vitro and In Vivo Characterization of New Swine-Origin H1N1 Influenza Viruses (155-190)
A6 Estimation of the Reproductive Number and the Serial Interval in Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza A⁄H1N1 Pandemic in the USA (191-207)
A7 The Severity of Pandemic H1N1 Influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: A Bayesian Analysis (208-247)
A8 Hard Choices in Difficult Situations: Ethical Issues in Public Health Emergencies (248-268)
A9 Rumors of Pandemic: Monitoring Emerging Disease Outbreaks on the Internet (269-282)
A10 Preliminary Observation of the Epidemiology of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in South Africa, 2009 (283-296)
A11 Reflections on the 1976 Swine Flu Vaccination Program (297-305)
A12 Southern Hemisphere, Northern Hemisphere: A Global Influenza World (306-326)
A13 Influenza (H1N1) Pandemic 2009 (327-341)
A14 Origins and Evolutionary Genomics of the 2009 Swine-Origin H1N1 Influenza A Epidemic (342-380)
Appendix B Agenda (381-385)
Appendix C Acronyms (386-388)
Appendix D Glossary (389-396)
Appendix E Forum Member Biographies (397-418)