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The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza A Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions: Workshop Summary (2010)
Board on Global Health (BGH)

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. "A9 Rumors of Pandemic: Monitoring Emerging Disease Outbreaks on the Internet." The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza A Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

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The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza a Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions - Workshop Summary

BOX A9-1

PNEUMONIA - CHINA (GUANGDONG): RFI

********************************************


Date: 10 Feb 2003

From: Stephen O. Cunnion, MD, PhD, MPH

International Consultants in Health, Inc

Member ASTM&H, ISTM


This morning I received this email and then searched your archives and found nothing that pertained to it. Does anyone know anything about this problem?


“Have you heard of an epidemic in Guangzhou? An acquaintance of mine from a teacher’s chat room lives there and reports that the hospitals there have been closed and people are dying.”


SOURCE: ProMED (2003).

closed and people who were dying. Since there were H5N1 avian influenza cases in Hong Kong at around this time, there were many questions about whether this could have been avian influenza. All ProMED reports are moderated and the moderator comment questioned whether this outbreak in fact was due to flu. It was not clear at the time.

SARS traveled quickly. The first Canadian death occurred in March 2003, raising the issue of who needs to know what and when (Poutanen et al., 2003). One of the problems with the traditional public health system is that it often presumes to know who needs access to information. But the ethos of ProMED has always been for transparency—that we cannot predict who is going to need to know. Who would have guessed that doctors in an emergency room in Toronto were going to be seeing cases of SARS so quickly after this mysterious illness appeared in Asia?

Hierarchical Surveillance Systems Versus Informal-Source Surveillance Systems

If we look at how traditional public health works, we can see that there is a flow of information from the ground up (Figure A9-1). Laboratories, practitioners, and members of the general public report to local officials, who then report to regional officials, and they to national officials. These, in turn, report to world bodies, who will publicize or convey back information to others as they deem necessary and inform the people who need to be involved in response to an outbreak or who need to be aware of it.

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Front Matter (R1-R22)
Workshop Overview (1-94)
Appendix A1 Technical Report for State and Local Public Health Officials and School Administrators on CDC Guidance for School (K-12) Responses to Influenza during the 2009-2010 School Year (95-110)
A2 Predicting Emerging Diseases in the Twenty-first Century: The Case of Zoonotic Influenza (111-119)
A3 The Spring 2009 Influenza A H1N1 Outbreak: A Local Public Health Perspective (120-136)
A4 I nternational Law and Equitable Access to Vaccines and Antivirals in the Context of 2009-H1N1 Influenza (137-154)
A5 In Vitro and In Vivo Characterization of New Swine-Origin H1N1 Influenza Viruses (155-190)
A6 Estimation of the Reproductive Number and the Serial Interval in Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza A⁄H1N1 Pandemic in the USA (191-207)
A7 The Severity of Pandemic H1N1 Influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: A Bayesian Analysis (208-247)
A8 Hard Choices in Difficult Situations: Ethical Issues in Public Health Emergencies (248-268)
A9 Rumors of Pandemic: Monitoring Emerging Disease Outbreaks on the Internet (269-282)
A10 Preliminary Observation of the Epidemiology of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in South Africa, 2009 (283-296)
A11 Reflections on the 1976 Swine Flu Vaccination Program (297-305)
A12 Southern Hemisphere, Northern Hemisphere: A Global Influenza World (306-326)
A13 Influenza (H1N1) Pandemic 2009 (327-341)
A14 Origins and Evolutionary Genomics of the 2009 Swine-Origin H1N1 Influenza A Epidemic (342-380)
Appendix B Agenda (381-385)
Appendix C Acronyms (386-388)
Appendix D Glossary (389-396)
Appendix E Forum Member Biographies (397-418)