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The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza A Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions: Workshop Summary (2010)
Board on Global Health (BGH)

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. "A10 Preliminary Observation of the Epidemiology of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in South Africa, 2009." The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza A Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

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The Domestic and International Impacts of the 2009-H1N1 Influenza a Pandemic: Global Challenges, Global Solutions - Workshop Summary

include age distribution, epidemiology, clinical features and overall relative mildness. The late introduction into South Africa appeared, to some extent, to be due to relatively lower air traffic levels and provided a window to observe any further genetic movement in the virus. Phenotypic changes in the virus were certainly not apparent from the clinical and epidemiological observations. Virological characterization is presently under way to determine antigenic drift, resistance, and presence of any virulence markers. Two particular risk groups in South Africa do perhaps need to be highlighted—those involving pregnancy and HIV. Although pregnancy is a well-recognized risk factor in H1N1 (Jamieson et al., 2009; Mangtani et al., 2009), South Africa experienced an unusually high number of women in late pregnancy who succumbed to H1N1. Second, the high rate of HIV positivity in both pregnant and nonpregnant individuals who died (considerably higher than the background HIV positivity in these two groups) needs special attention. In both groups the HIV prevalence was nearly double that of the respective national prevalence rates (Department of Health, 2009). These are, however, preliminary observations and are subject to potentially significant bias. For example, pregnancy may well be a factor that could increase the likelihood of a death being reported because of relatively greater access to a health facility. Also HIV may be artificially high as patients with more advanced disease and the stigma of HIV infection may be more likely to be treated and also more likely to succumb to H1N1. Whether persons living with HIV constitute a risk group for more severe influenza infection in the absence of secondary infection remains to be established (Kunisaki and Janoff, 2009). A study in an HIV-infected pediatric population in South Africa, also failed to demonstrate differences in outcome of influenza infection (Madhi et al., 2002). An understanding of these risk factors is of urgent importance, particularly in countries with a high prevalence of HIV and limited vaccine resources.

References

Besselaar, T. G., B. D. Schoub, and J. M. McAnerney. 2001. Phylogenetic studies of South African influenza A viruses: 1997-1999. In Options for the Control of Influenza IV, edited by A. D. M. E. Osterhaus, N. Cox, and A. W. Hampson. Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on the Control of Influenza IV, Crete, Greece, September 23-28, 2000. Excerpta Medica 1219:139-145.

CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention). 2009. Update: Novel influenza A (H1N1) virus infections—worldwide, May 6, 2009. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 58(RR17):453-457.

Chen, L. H., and M. E. Wilson. 2008. The role of the traveler in emerging infections and magnitude of travel. Medical Clinics of North America 92(6):1409-1432.

Department of Health. 2009. 2008 National Antenatal Sentinel HIV and Syphilis Prevalence Survey, South Africa.

ECDC Working Group on Influenza A(H1N1)v. 2009. Preliminary analysis of influenza A(H1N1)v individual and aggregated case reports from EU and EFTA countries. Eurosurveillance 14(23), http://www.eurosurveillance.org/images/dynamic/EE/V14N23/art19238.pdf (accessed October 22, 2009).

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Front Matter (R1-R22)
Workshop Overview (1-94)
Appendix A1 Technical Report for State and Local Public Health Officials and School Administrators on CDC Guidance for School (K-12) Responses to Influenza during the 2009-2010 School Year (95-110)
A2 Predicting Emerging Diseases in the Twenty-first Century: The Case of Zoonotic Influenza (111-119)
A3 The Spring 2009 Influenza A H1N1 Outbreak: A Local Public Health Perspective (120-136)
A4 I nternational Law and Equitable Access to Vaccines and Antivirals in the Context of 2009-H1N1 Influenza (137-154)
A5 In Vitro and In Vivo Characterization of New Swine-Origin H1N1 Influenza Viruses (155-190)
A6 Estimation of the Reproductive Number and the Serial Interval in Early Phase of the 2009 Influenza A⁄H1N1 Pandemic in the USA (191-207)
A7 The Severity of Pandemic H1N1 Influenza in the United States, from April to July 2009: A Bayesian Analysis (208-247)
A8 Hard Choices in Difficult Situations: Ethical Issues in Public Health Emergencies (248-268)
A9 Rumors of Pandemic: Monitoring Emerging Disease Outbreaks on the Internet (269-282)
A10 Preliminary Observation of the Epidemiology of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in South Africa, 2009 (283-296)
A11 Reflections on the 1976 Swine Flu Vaccination Program (297-305)
A12 Southern Hemisphere, Northern Hemisphere: A Global Influenza World (306-326)
A13 Influenza (H1N1) Pandemic 2009 (327-341)
A14 Origins and Evolutionary Genomics of the 2009 Swine-Origin H1N1 Influenza A Epidemic (342-380)
Appendix B Agenda (381-385)
Appendix C Acronyms (386-388)
Appendix D Glossary (389-396)
Appendix E Forum Member Biographies (397-418)