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Choosing the Nation’s Fiscal Future
TABLE C-3 Projected Monthly Social Security Benefits in 2009 Dollars, Selected Years, for Workers Newly Retired at Age 65, Scheduled Under Current Law Compared with Options 1-4, and at Various Illustrative Earning Levels
Selected Years
Current Law
Option 1a
Option 2b
Option 3c
Option 4d
Scaled Very Low Earner ($10,510 for 2009)
2000
564
NA
NA
NA
NA
2010
638
638
638
638
638
2020
689
642
689
689
689
2035
754
714
754
754
754
2050
887
799
887
887
887
2065
1,041
903
1,041
1,041
1,041
2082
1,249
1,029
1,249
1,249
1,249
Scaled Low Earner ($18,919 for 2009)
2000
738
NA
NA
NA
NA
2010
834
834
834
834
834
2020
901
840
901
901
901
2035
986
934
986
986
986
2050
1,161
1,045
1,161
1,161
1,161
2065
1,362
1,181
1,362
1,362
1,362
2082
1,633
1,347
1,633
1,633
1,633
Scaled Medium Earner ($42,042 for 2009)
2000
1,217
NA
NA
NA
NA
2010
1,375
1,375
1,375
1,375
1,375
2020
1,485
1,324
1,421
1,421
1,485
2035
1,625
1,359
1,435
1,523
1,625
2050
1,912
1,405
1,559
1,792
1,912
2065
2,244
1,572
1,711
2,069
2,244
2082
2,691
1,707
2,052
2,264
2,691
Scaled High Earner ($67,267 for 2009)
2000
1,582
NA
NA
NA
NA
2010
1,822
1,822
1,822
1,822
1,822
2020
1,968
1,716
1,842
1,842
1,968
2035
2,154
1,683
1,777
1,951
2,154
2050
2,534
1,653
1,835
2,295
2,534
2065
2,974
1,836
1,917
2,627
2,974
2082
3,567
1,926
2,299
2,720
3,567
Steady Maximum Earnere ($106,800 for 2009)
2000
1,779
NA
NA
NA
NA
2010
2,156
2,156
2,156
2,156
2,156
2020
2,396
2,062
2,213
2,213
2,396
2035
2,634
1,977
2,088
2,340
2,634
2050
3,094
1,875
2,082
2,748
3,094
2065
3,628
2,073
2,101
3,126
3,628
2082
4,350
2,122
2,520
3,128
4,350
NOTE: NA = not applicable.
a Benefit changes only.
b 2/3 benefit-growth reductions; 1/3 payroll-tax increases.
c 1/3 benefit-growth reductions; 2/3 payroll-tax increases.
d Payroll-tax increases only.
e That is, at the cap under the current-law Social Security payroll tax.