. "Appendix F: Constructing Multiple Paths to Sustainability." Choosing the Nation's Fiscal Future. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.
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Choosing the Nation’s Fiscal Future
TABLE F-17 Projected Social Security Cash Flow as Percentages of GDP: Current Law Compared with Four Committee Scenarios
Current Law and Four Scenarios
2020
2035
2050
2084
Current Law
−0.5
−1.4
−1.2
−1.5
Low (Option 1)
−0.3
−0.8
−0.2
−0.1
Delayed 5 yrs
−0.5
−0.9
−0.3
−0.1
Delayed 10 yrs
−0.5
−1.0
−0.5
−0.1
Intermediate-1 (Option 2)
−0.3
−0.8
−0.2
0.0
Delayed 5 yrs
−0.5
−0.9
−0.1
−0.1
Delayed 10 yrs
−0.5
−1.0
−0.3
−0.1
Intermediate-2 (Option 3)
−0.2
−0.7
−0.3
0.0
Delayed 5 yrs
−0.3
−0.7
−0.3
−0.1
Delayed 10 yrs
−0.5
−0.9
−0.3
−0.2
High (Option 4)
−0.2
−0.8
−0.3
−0.1
Delayed 5 yrs
−0.3
−0.8
−0.4
−0.2
Delayed 10 yrs
−0.5
−0.9
−0.4
−0.2
NOTE: A year’s “cash flow” is its Social Security revenues minus its expenditures. When the cash flow is positive, the balance in the trust fund increases (see next table). When negative, the trust fund balance decreases.
TABLE F-18 Projected Social Security Trust Fund Ratios: Current Law Compared with Four Committee Scenarios
