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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies – Report 2 Appendix A Biographical Sketches of Committee Members Gilman G. Louie, Chair, is a partner of Alsop Louie Partners, a venture capital company. Mr. Louie is a former president and chief executive officer (CEO) of In-Q-Tel, the venture capital group helping to deliver new technologies to the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and the intelligence community. Before helping found In-Q-Tel, Mr. Louie served as Hasbro Interactive’s chief creative officer and as general manager of the Games.com group, where he was responsible for creating and implementing the business plan for Hasbro’s Internet games site. Before joining Hasbro, he served as chief executive of the Nexa Corporation; Sphere, Inc.; and Spectrum HoloByte, Inc. As a pioneer in the interactive entertainment industry, Mr. Louie has had successes including the Falcon, the F-16 flight simulator, and Tetris, which he brought over from the Soviet Union. He has served on the boards of directors of Wizards of the Coast, the Total Entertainment Network, Direct Language, Ribbit, and FASA Interactive. He currently serves as a member of the technical advisory group of the Senate Select Committee for Intelligence and was an active member of the Markle Foundation Task Force on National Security and the Information Age. Prithwish Basu is a senior scientist in the Network Research Group at BBN Technologies in Cambridge, Massachusetts. He is the principal investigator at BBN on multiple networking programs funded by the U.S. Army Research Laboratory, namely, the Collaborative Technology Alliance and the U.S./U.K. International Technology Alliance. He is also the chief architect at BBN on the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency’s Disruption-Tolerant Networking program. In 2006 he was named to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Technology Review’s list of Top Innovators Under 35 . Dr. Basu’s current research interests include theoretical as well as practical aspects of disruption-tolerant networking; energy-efficient medium access control, routing, and synchronization in wireless ad hoc and sensor networks; and robot networking. Recently he has also been interested in network science and is also exploring the use of biological metaphors for developing new networking algorithms. He received a B.Tech. in computer science and engineering from the Indian Institute of Technology in Delhi and M.S. (1999) and Ph.D. (2003) degrees in computer engineering from Boston University. Dr. Basu has co-authored more than 30 conference and journal articles and 2 invited book chapters and has two patents pending. He is a senior member of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), the Association for Computing Machinery, and Sigma Xi and has served on the technical program committees and organizing committees of several leading networking conferences such as IEEE INFOCOM.
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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies – Report 2 Harry Blount is currently the founder and CEO of DISCERN. Mr. Blount is chair of the Futures Committee for the Tech Museum of Innovation and is chair of the Advisory Committee for Alpha Theory (www.alphatheory.com), a portfolio management software company. He served on the board of directors of Lefthand Networks until the time of its purchase by Hewlett-Packard in November 2008. Mr. Blount spent 21 years on Wall Street, most recently with Lehman Brothers, where he was a leading analyst in multiple consumer and enterprise technology disciplines, including the Internet, wireless networks, personal computers, servers, storage, hard drives, telecommunications, information technology distribution, environmental services, and convertible securities. His weekly publication, In Blount Terms, was widely read by technology investors and executives. Prior to working at Lehman Brothers, which he left in November 2007, Mr. Blount had worked at a variety of firms, including Credit Suisse First Boston, Donaldson Lufkin and Jenrette, and CIBC Oppenheimer. Mr. Blount was named an All-American in Information Technology Hardware and Internet Infrastructure Services by Institutional Investor magazine. He was also recognized as a Wall Street Journal All-Star for Computer Hardware. From 2002 to 2006, while at Lehman Brothers, Mr. Blount served as an outside adviser to Nokia Innovent, a Nokia Ventures Organization company. Innovent evaluated emerging technologies for the digital home and data center. Mr. Blount has spoken at numerous events, including Storage Visions, IDEMA (the Hard Disk Drive Industry Association), the Digital Home Developers Conference, and the Global Technology Distribution Council conference, and at internal management events at some of the world’s leading technology companies. He has appeared frequently on CNBC and the Bloomberg Report and has been quoted in numerous publications, including the Wall Street Journal, Barrons, Forbes, Fortune, and Business Week. Mr. Blount is a chartered financial analyst. He earned a bachelor’s degree in finance from the University of Wisconsin at La Crosse in 1986. Ruth A. David (NAE) is the president and chief executive officer of ANSER, an independent, not-for-profit, public service research institution that provides research and analytic support on national and transnational issues. In April 2004, ANSER was selected by the Department of Homeland Security to establish and operate a new federally funded research and development center, the Homeland Security Institute. From September 1995 to September 1998, Dr. David was the deputy director for science and technology at the CIA. As technical adviser to the Director of Central Intelligence, she was responsible for research, development, and deployment of technologies in support of all phases of the intelligence process. She represented the CIA on numerous national committees and advisory bodies, including the National Science and Technology Council and the Committee on National Security. Previously, Dr. David had served in several leadership positions at the Sandia National Laboratories, where she began her professional career in 1975. Most recently, she was the director of advanced information technologies. From 1991 to 1994, Dr. David was director of the Development Testing Center that developed and operated a broad spectrum of full-scale engineering test facilities. Dr. David has also been an adjunct professor at the University of New Mexico. She has technical experience in digital and microprocessor-based system design, digital signal analysis, adaptive signal analysis, and system integration. Dr. David is a member of the Department of Homeland Security Advisory Council, and the Corporation for the Charles Stark Draper Laboratory, Inc. She is the chair of the National Research Council (NRC) Committee on Technology Insight—Gauge, Evaluate, and Review and the vice chair of the Homeland Security Advisory Council Senior Advisory Committee of Academia and Policy Research. Dr. David received a B.S. degree in electrical engineering from Wichita State University and an M.S. and a Ph.D. degree in electrical engineering from Stanford University. Stephen W. Drew (NAE) holds consultancies with a variety of pharmaceutical and biotechnology organizations and is a founder and principle of Science Partners LLC. Until 2000, he worked with Merck and Company, Inc., in a series of increasingly responsible positions, culminating with distinguished senior scientist. He held vice presidential positions including vice president of Vaccine Science and Technology, vice president of Vaccine Operations, and vice president of Technical Operations and Engineering. Prior to joining Merck Manufacturing Division in 1987, he was the senior director of Biochemical Engineering in the Merck Research Laboratories, a department that he started in 1981. Dr. Drew received his Ph.D. in biochemical engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. A member of the National Academy of Engineering (NAE), he has served in several capacities within
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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies – Report 2 the NAE and assisted numerous National Research Council committees. He was chair of the advisory committee to the Engineering Directorate of the National Science Foundation. Michele Gelfand is a professor of organizational psychology at the University of Maryland, College Park. Her research interests include cross-cultural social/organizational psychology; cultural influences on conflict, negotiation, justice, revenge, and leadership; discrimination and sexual harassment; and theory and method in assessing aspects of culture (individualism-collectivism; cultural tightness-looseness). She received her Ph.D. from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in 1996 and has been published in many top journals, including the Academy of Management Review, Academy of Management Journal, Journal of Applied Psychology, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, and Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. She also recently co-authored with Miriam Erez and Zeynep Aycan a chapter on cross-cultural organizational behavior published in the Annual Review of Psychology. Danny Gray previously served as a National Institutes of Health (NIH) postdoctoral fellow in the Department of Biomedical Engineering at Case Western Reserve University, being funded by a hematology/oncology training grant through the Case Comprehensive Cancer Center. Dr. Gray previously trained as a research fellow in the Division of Molecular and Vascular Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, with a joint appointment to Harvard Medical School. Dr. Gray received his Ph.D. in molecular and cellular pathology from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He is currently working in the field of embryonic stem cell biology, a field exploring the generation of cells, tissue, and organs from stem cells isolated from early embryos or skin cells induced to a stem cell-like phenotype. His specific research interests include generating blood vessels in engineered tissues and delivering genetically engineered endothelial cells to sites of disease. Previously, Dr. Gray was a captain in the Army Signal Corps, where his duties included serving as a unit nuclear, biological, and chemical officer. More recently, he received training as a first responder for a nuclear power facility while serving as a volunteer firefighter. Dr. Gray has received numerous honors and awards, which include NIH Postdoctoral Trainee, NIH Graduate Trainee, Society for Basic Urologic Research Young Investigator Travel Award, American Association for Cancer Research Scholar in Training Award, Graduate Students Mentoring Undergraduates in Research Award (University of North Carolina), Outstanding Student Award (Radford University), and membership to the Alpha Lambda Delta National Honor Society (Radford University). He is also a member of professional organizations that include the Society for Basic Urologic Research and the American Association for Cancer Research. Jennie S. Hwang (NAE) is the CEO of H-Technologies Group and has had a wide-ranging career, encompassing international collaboration, corporate and entrepreneurial businesses, research management, technology transfer, and global leadership positions, as well as corporate and university governance. Her work is highlighted by numerous national and international awards and honors, as well as distinguished alumni awards. Dr. Hwang was inducted into the Women in Technology International Hall of Fame and named an Industry Week R&D Star to Watch. In her 30-year career, she has built new businesses in corporate America, having held senior executive positions with Lockheed Martin Corporation, SCM Corporation, Sherwin Williams Company, and co-founded entrepreneurial businesses. She is internationally recognized as a pioneer and long-standing leader in the fast-moving infrastructure development of electronics miniaturization and environment-friendly manufacturing. She is also an invited distinguished adjunct professor at the School of Engineering at Case Western Reserve University and has served on the university’s board of trustees since 1996. Dr. Hwang is the holder of several patents and author of more than 300 publications; she is the sole author of several internationally used textbooks published by McGraw-Hill and other European and Japanese publishers. She is a columnist for the globally circulated trade magazines Global Solar Technology and SMT, in which she addresses technology issues and global market thrusts, respectively. Additionally, she is a prolific author and speaker on education, workforce, and social and business issues. Over the years, she has taught more than 25,000 researchers and engineers in professional development courses, focusing on disseminating new technologies and providing professional advancement education to the workforce. Additionally, Dr. Hwang has served as a board director for Fortune 500 NYSE and NASDAQ-traded private companies and various university and civic boards. She has also served on the International Advisory Board of the Singapore
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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies – Report 2 Advanced Technology and Manufacturing Institute, among other international organizations. Her formal education includes a Ph.D. in materials science and engineering; two M.S. degrees—one in chemistry and one in liquid crystal science—and a B.S. in chemistry. She attended the Harvard Business School Executive Program. Anthony K. Hyder is the associate vice president for graduate studies and research and a professor of physics at the University of Notre Dame. Dr. Hyder’s research is in the interaction of spacecraft with the space environment. His recent work has focused on the design of spacecraft systems, especially the electrical power and thermal management subsystems, and on the operation of high-sensitivity infrared sensors aboard spacecraft. He has also worked in the physics of high-brightness particle accelerators. He has been appointed to a number of national and international panels and advisory boards, including the NATO sensors panel, the Defense Intelligence Agency scientific advisory board, the advisory board for the Missile Defense Agency, and the Army Science Board. Dr. Hyder is a graduate of Notre Dame, with a B.S. in physics. He holds an M.S. in space physics and a Ph.D. in nuclear physics from the Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT). He received the AFIT distinguished alumnus title in 2005. Fred Lybrand is the vice president, North America, for Elmarco, Inc., an equipment provider for the industrial-scale production of nanofibers, where he is responsible for new markets and sales and production strategy. He has transitioned between the finance and technology sectors several times. He raised and invested $2 billion into private equity and venture capital funds on behalf of state pension plans with Parish Capital, managed sales and business development with a private-equity-backed semiconductor manufacturer, and financed a number of midmarket and seed-stage transactions as part of Wachovia Securities. Mr. Lybrand holds an undergraduate degree in biology from the University of Virginia, an M.B.A. from the University of North Carolina, and the CFA and LIFA charters. Paul Saffo is a forecaster with more than two decades of experience exploring long-term technological change and its impact on business and society. He advises private and governmental clients worldwide and teaches at Stanford University where he is a consulting associate professor in the Engineering School and a visiting scholar in the Media-X Program. He is a fellow of the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences and a forum fellow to the World Economic Forum. Mr. Saffo was the founding chair of the Samsung Science Board, and he serves on various other boards, including that of the Long Now Foundation, and on the Singapore National Research Foundation Science Advisory Board. Mr. Saffo writes a column on technology issues for ABCNews.com, and his essays have appeared in a wide range of publications, from Harvard Business Review, Foreign Policy, Fortune, Wired, and the Los Angeles Times, to Newsweek, the New York Times, and the Washington Post. Mr. Saffo holds degrees from Harvard College, Cambridge University, and Stanford University. Peter Schwartz is co-founder and chair of Global Business Network, a partner of the Monitor Group, which is a family of professional services firms devoted to enhancing client competitiveness. An internationally renowned futurist and business strategist, Mr. Schwartz specializes in scenario planning and works with corporations, governments, and institutions to create alternative perspectives of the future and to develop robust strategies for a changing and uncertain world. His current research and scenario work encompasses energy resources and the environment, technology, telecommunications, media and entertainment, aerospace, and national security. Mr. Schwartz is also a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and a member of the board of trustees of the Santa Fe Institute, the Long Now Foundation, the World Affairs Council, and Human Rights Watch. He is the author of Inevitable Surprises, a provocative look at the dynamic forces at play in the world today and their implications for business and society. His first book, The Art of the Long View, is considered a seminal publication on scenario planning and has been translated into many languages. He is also a co-author of The Long Boom, When Good Companies Do Bad Things, and China’s Futures. He publishes and lectures widely and served as a script consultant on the films The Minority Report, Deep Impact, Sneakers, and War Games. Mr. Schwartz received a B.S. in aeronautical engineering and astronautics from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.
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Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies – Report 2 Nathan Siegel is a senior member of the technical staff at the Sandia National Laboratories. He received a B.S. in mechanical engineering in 1998 from the California State and Polytechnic Institute at San Luis Obispo. He attended San Diego State University from 1998 until 2000, graduating with an M.S. in mechanical engineering. During that time he was employed at General Atomics in La Jolla and worked in the field of inertial confinement fusion energy, the subject of his master’s thesis. He attended Virginia Polytechic Institute and State Unviersity from 2000 until 2004, when he graduated with a Ph.D. in mechanical engineering. Dr. Siegel’s research at Virginia Tech focused on the development and validation of advanced computational models of proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cells. He has been employed at the Sandia National Laboratories since graduating from Virginia Tech. His research activities focus on solar interfaces for high-temperature hydrogen-producing thermochemical (TC) cycles and on the experimental validation of novel TC cycles. He has also recently been involved in PEM fuel cell research using neutron radiography to study two-phase flow within an operating fuel cell. Alfonso Velosa III graduated from Columbia University with a B.S. in materials science engineering, from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute with an M.S. in materials science engineering, and from Thunderbird, the Garvin School of International Management, with an M.I.M. in international management. Mr. Velosa is currently the research director for semiconductors at Gartner, Inc. In this position, he focuses on semiconductor supply chain research, with a particular focus on global manufacturing and the semiconductor consumption trends of electronic equipment manufacturers. Mr. Velosa previously worked or consulted for Intel, NASA Langley and NASA Headquarters, Mars & Company, and IBM Research. Norman D. Winarsky is the vice president of ventures, licensing, and strategic programs at SRI International. He leads all SRI venture and license development, the SRI Commercialization Board, and nVention, SRI’s partnership with the venture capital community that develops early-stage investment opportunities. Dr. Winarsky works with SRI’s business units to identify and develop the company’s highest-value commercial market opportunities from initial concept through commercialization as a license or venture. He has helped found more than 20 ventures, published more than 50 papers, holds two patents and has one pending, and has given hundreds of invited talks, lectures, and presentations throughout the world. He is a founder of the National Information Display Laboratory (NIDL)—a center of excellence for the government in information processing and display technologies. The NIDL is known for establishing a new model for government-industry technology development and commercialization. The program grew to become the National Technology Alliance, run by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency and hosted at Sarnoff and SRI International. Dr. Winarsky has served on numerous boards and is currently chairing the SRI Commercialization Board and the SRI nVenture Board, and is serving as a board member of Siri, a spinoff of SRI. In addition, he volunteers as chair of the University of Chicago Visiting Committee for the Physical Sciences Division. He joined SRI in 2001 after more than 20 years with Sarnoff Laboratory, formerly the central research laboratory for the RCA Corporation. Dr. Winarsky and his team received an Emmy Award in 2000 from the National Academy of Television Arts and Sciences for outstanding achievement in the technological advancement of high-definition television (HDTV). While at RCA, Dr. Winarsky was awarded RCA’s highest honor, the Sarnoff Award for “development of the physical understanding and computer software for simulating electron trajectories in picture tube systems.” He holds a Ph.D. in mathematics from the University of Chicago.