Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff

Lawrence D. Brown (Chair) is Miers Bush professor in the Department of Statistics of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, a fellow and past president of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and a member of the National Academy of Sciences. At the National Research Council (NRC), he has served on the Committee on National Statistics (CNSTAT) and its Panel to Review the 2000 Census and Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census. He also served on the NRC’s Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications and its Board on Mathematical Sciences. He was a critic of the Census Bureau’s plans to incorporate sampling in the census. He has a B.S. from the California Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. from Cornell University.


Richard A. Berk is professor of criminology and statistics at the University of Pennsylvania. He is active regarding a range of methodological concerns, such as causal inference, statistical learning, and methods for evaluating social programs. His main areas of research include the inmate classification and placement systems, law enforcement strategies for reducing domestic violence, the role of race in capital punishment, detecting violations of environmental regulations, claims that the death penalty serves as a general deterrent, and forecasting short-term changes in urban crime patterns. Currently, he is working on the development and application of statistical learning procedures for data sets in the behavioral, social, and economic sciences. He has previously served on the faculties of Northwestern University and the University of California, Santa Barbara, and joined the University of Pennsylvania faculty after serving as professor, director of the Center for



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Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff Lawrence D. Brown (Chair) is Miers Bush professor in the Department of Statistics of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, a fellow and past president of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and a member of the National Academy of Sciences. At the National Research Council (NRC), he has served on the Committee on National Statistics (CNSTAT) and its Panel to Review the 2000 Census and Panel on Correlation Bias and Coverage Measurement in the 2010 Decennial Census. He also served on the NRC’s Commission on Physical Sciences, Mathematics, and Applications and its Board on Mathematical Sciences. He was a critic of the Census Bureau’s plans to incorporate sampling in the census. He has a B.S. from the Califor- nia Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. from Cornell University. Richard A. Berk is professor of criminology and statistics at the University of Pennsylvania. He is active regarding a range of methodological concerns, such as causal inference, statistical learning, and methods for evaluating social programs. His main areas of research include the inmate classification and placement systems, law enforcement strategies for reducing domestic violence, the role of race in capital punishment, detecting violations of environmental regulations, claims that the death penalty serves as a gen- eral deterrent, and forecasting short-term changes in urban crime patterns. Currently, he is working on the development and application of statistical learning procedures for data sets in the behavioral, social, and economic sci- ences. He has previously served on the faculties of Northwestern University and the University of California, Santa Barbara, and joined the University of Pennsylvania faculty after serving as professor, director of the Center for 333

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334 ENVISIONING THE 2020 CENSUS the Study of the Environment and Society, and director of the Statistical Consulting Center at the University of California, Los Angeles. He has been elected to the Sociological Research Association and is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the American Statistical Association, and the Academy of Experimental Criminology. He was awarded the Paul S. Lazarsfeld Award for methodological contributions from the American Sociological Association. At the NRC, he has served on the Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics, the Panel on Monitor- ing the Social Impact of the AIDS Epidemic, the Working Group on Field Experimentation in Criminal Justice, and the Panel on Sentencing. He has a B.A. from Yale University and a Ph.D. from Johns Hopkins University. Eric T. Bradlow is K.P Chao professor of marketing, statistics, and educa- . tion at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He previously held positions at the Educational Testing Service and at E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company. He has won numerous teaching awards, and his research interests include Bayesian modeling, statistical computing, and de- veloping new methodology for unique data structures. His current projects center on optimal resource allocation, choice modeling, and complex latent structures. He serves as associate editor for the Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Marketing Science, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, and Psychometrika, and as senior associate editor for the Jour- nal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association. At the NRC, he served on CNSTAT’s Panel to Review the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Measurement of Food Insecurity and Hunger. He has a B.S. from the University of Pennsylvania, an A.M. from Harvard University, and a Ph.D. in mathematical statistics from Harvard University. Michael L. Cohen (co-study director) is a senior program officer for the Committee on National Statistics. He has served as study director or program officer for numerous CNSTAT census panels, as well as a series of workshops on statistical topics and applications in defense testing and acquisition. Formerly, he was a mathematical statistician at the Energy Information Administration, an assistant professor in the School of Public Affairs at the University of Maryland, and a visiting lecturer in statistics at Princeton University. His general area of research is in the use of statistics in public policy, with particular interest in census undercount, model val- idation, and robust estimation. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association. He has a B.S. in mathematics from the University of Michigan and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in statistics from Stanford University.

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BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES 335 Daniel L. Cork (co-study director) is a senior program officer for the Com- mittee on National Statistics, currently serving as study director of the Panel to Review the 2010 Census. He joined the CNSTAT staff in 2000 and has served as study director or program officer for several census panels, including the Panels on Residence Rules in the Decennial Census, Research on Future Census Methods (2010 Planning panel), and Review of the 2000 Census. He also directed the Panel to Review the Programs of the Bureau of Justice Statistics (in cooperation with the Committee on Law and Justice) and was senior program officer for the Panel on the Feasibility, Accuracy, and Technical Capability of a National Ballistics Database (joint with the Committee on Law and Justice and the National Materials Advisory Board). His research interests include quantitative criminology, geographical analy- sis, Bayesian statistics, and statistics in sports. He has a B.S. in statistics from George Washington University and an M.S. in statistics and a joint Ph.D. in statistics and public policy from Carnegie Mellon University. Ivan P. Fellegi is chief statistician emeritus of Canada, having served as chief statistician from 1985 to 2008. He joined Statistics Canada (then the Dominion Bureau of Statistics) in 1957, serving as director of sam- pling research and consultation and director general of methodology and systems, assistant chief statistician, and deputy chief statistician before his appointment as chief statistician. He has published extensively in the areas of census and survey methodology, in particular on consistent editing rules and record linkage. A past chair of the Conference of European Statisticians of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, he is an hon- orary member and past president of the International Statistical Institute, an honorary fellow of the Royal Statistical Society, past president of the In- ternational Association of Survey Statisticians, and past president and Gold Medal recipient of the Statistical Society of Canada. He was made Member of the Order of Canada in 1992 and promoted to Officer in 1998 and has received the nation’s Outstanding Achievement Award; he has also provided advice on statistical matters to his native Hungary following its transition to democracy and, in 2004, was awarded the Order of Merit of the Republic of Hungary. At the National Research Council, he was a member of the Panel on Privacy and Confidentiality as Factors in Survey Response, the Panel on Census Requirements in the Year 2000 and Beyond, the Panel on Decennial Census Methodology, and the Panel on the Design of the 2010 Census Program of Experiments and Evaluations. He has a B.Sc. from the University of Budapest and M.Sc. and Ph.D. degrees in survey methodology from Carleton University. Linda Gage is senior demographer in the State of California’s Demographic Research Unit. Her primary objective is to improve the currency, com-

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336 ENVISIONING THE 2020 CENSUS pleteness, and accuracy of official state and federal demographic data that portray the people of California. She is actively involved in producing and evaluating intercensal population estimtes for California and assessing data from the American Community Survey. She represents the state’s demographic program and interests in federal and professional forums and evaluates the effect of various demographic and statistical programs on the state. She chairs the steering committee of the Census Bureau’s Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, serves on the Population Association of America (PAA) Public Affairs Committee and Committee on Population Statistics, and represents PAA on the Census Advisory Com- mittee of Professional Associations. She served as the Governor’s Liaison for Census 2000 and represented the State Data Center network and the Population Association of America on the U.S. Secretary of Commerce’s Decennial Census Advisory Committee. She has B.A. and M.A. degrees in sociology, with emphasis in demography, from the University of California, Davis. Vijay Nair is Donald A. Darling professor of statistics and professor of industrial and operations engineering at the University of Michigan. He has been chair of the statistics department since 1998. He was a research scien- tist at Bell Laboratories for 15 years before joining the faculty at Michigan. His area of expertise is engineering statistics, including quality and produc- tivity improvement, experimental design, reliability, and process control. He is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Sci- ence, the American Statistical Association, and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and an elected member of the International Statistical Institute. He is a former editor of Technometrics and International Statistical Review and has served on many other editorial boards. He is currently the chair of the Board of Trustees of the National Institute of Statistical Sciences and is a member of CNSTAT. At the NRC, he has served on several panels, including the Panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems and the Assessment Panel on NIST’s Information Technology Center, and chaired the Oversight Committee for the Workshop on Testing for Dynamic Acquisition of Defense Systems. He has a Ph.D. in statistics from the Uni- versity of California, Berkeley. Jesse H. Poore, Jr., holds the Ericsson/Harlan D. Mills chair in software engineering in the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. He is also director of the University of Tennessee–Oak Ridge National Laboratory Science Alliance, a program to promote and stimulate joint research between those two or- ganizations. He conducts research in cleanroom software engineering and teaches software engineering courses. He has held academic appointments

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BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES 337 at Florida State University and the Georgia Institute of Technology, served as a National Science Foundation rotator, worked in the Executive Office of the President, and was executive director of the Committee on Science and Technology in the U.S. House of Representatives. He is a member of the Association for Computing Machinery and the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, and a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. At the NRC, he served on the CNSTAT Panel on Statistical Methods for Testing and Evaluating Defense Systems and the oversight committee for the Workshop on Testing for Dynamic Acquisition of Defense Systems. He has a Ph.D. in information and computer science from the Georgia Institute of Technology. Nora Cate Schaeffer is professor of sociology at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. Her areas of expertise include respondent behavior and interviewer-respondent interaction. Her past research has concentrated on a number of different areas in survey methodology dealing with non- sampling error, both nonresponse and response errors of various kinds. She was on the editorial board of Public Opinion Quarterly, Sociological Methodology, and Sociological Methods Research. A past member of the Committee on National Statistics, she also served on the Panel to Evaluate Alternative Census Methods. She has an A.B. from Washington University and a Ph.D. in sociology from the University of Chicago. Allen L. Schirm is a vice president and director of human services research at Mathematica Policy Research. Formerly, he was Andrew W Mellon assistant . research scientist and assistant professor at the University of Michigan. In addition to census methods, his principal research interests include small- area estimation and evaluation design, with application to studies of child well-being and welfare, food and nutrition, and education policy. At the NRC, he has served as a member of the Panel on Research on Future Census Methods, the Panel on Formula Allocations, and the Panel on Estimates of Poverty for Small Geographic Areas, and is currently chairing the Panel on Estimating Children Eligible for School Nutrition Programs Using the American Community Survey. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association. He received an A.B. in statistics from Princeton University and a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Pennsylvania. Judith A. Seltzer is professor of sociology at the University of California, Los Angeles. Previously, she was on the faculty of the University of Wisconsin– Madison, where she contributed to the development and implementation of the National Survey of Families and Households. Her research interests in- clude kinship patterns, intergenerational obligations, relationships between nonresident fathers and children, and how legal institutions and other poli-

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338 ENVISIONING THE 2020 CENSUS cies affect family change. She was part of a cross-university consortium to develop new models for explaining family change and variation and a member of the design team for the Los Angeles Family and Neighborhood Survey. At the NRC, she has served on CNSTAT’s Panel on Residence Rules in the Decennial Census and is a member of the Panel to Review the 2010 Census. She has master’s and Ph.D. degrees in sociology from the University of Michigan. Stanley K. Smith is professor of economics and director of the Bureau of Economic and Business Research (BEBR) at the University of Florida. He is also director of BEBR’s population program, which produces the official state and local population estimates and projections for the state of Florida. He is Florida’s representative to the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates and Projections and a past president of the Southern Demographic Association. He has also served on the U.S. Census Bureau’s Decennial Advisory Committee. His research interests include the method- ology and analysis of population estimates; he has done particular work on the measurement of seasonal populations. At the NRC, he served on CNSTAT’s Panel on Alternative Census Methodologies. He has a degree in history from Goshen College and a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Michigan. John H. Thompson is president of the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago. Prior to his appointment as president, he was executive vice president for survey operations, in which capacity he provided oversight and direction for NORC’s Economics, Labor Force, and Demography Research Department and the Statistics and Methodology Department. He also served as project director for the National Immuniza- tion Survey, conducted on behalf of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from November 2004 through July 2006. He joined NORC following a 27-year career at the U.S. Census Bureau, culminating in service as principal associate director for programs. As associate director for decen- nial census (1997–2001) and chief of the Decennial Management Division (1995–1997), he was the chief operating officer of the 2000 census, over- seeing all aspects of census operations. In this capacity, he also chaired the Bureau’s Executive Steering Committee for Accuracy and Coverage Evalu- ation Policy, an internal working group tasked to provide guidance to the director of the Census Bureau and the secretary of commerce concerning statistical adjustment of 2000 census figures. He has received a Presidential Rank Award of Meritorious Executive and Gold, Silver, and Bronze Medals from the U.S. Department of Commerce. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association. He has bachelor’s and master’s degrees in mathemat- ics from Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.

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BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCHES 339 Roger Tourangeau is director of the Joint Program in Survey Methodol- ogy at the University of Maryland and a senior research scientist at the University of Michigan. Previously, he was a senior methodologist at the Gallup Organization, where he designed and selected samples and carried out methodological studies; he also founded and directed the Statistics and Methodology Center of the National Opinion Research Center. His research focuses on attitude and opinion measurement and on differences across methods of data collection; he also has extensive experience as an applied sampler and has conducted work on the cognitive aspects of survey methodology. A fellow of the American Statistical Association, he has served on the editorial board of Public Opinion Quarterly and on Census Bureau advisory panels. At the NRC, he is currently a member of CNSTAT and previously served on the Panel on Residence Rules in the Decennial Census. He has a Ph.D. in psychology from Yale University. Kirk Wolter is senior fellow and director of the Center for Excellence in Sur- vey Research at the National Opinion Research Center, where he has also served as senior vice president for statistics and methodology. He is also pro- fessor of statistics, part time, at the University of Chicago. During his career, he has led or participated in the design of many of America’s largest informa- tion systems, including the Current Business Surveys, the Current Employ- ment Statistics program, the Current Population Survey, the 1980 and 1990 decennial censuses, the National 1997 Longitudinal Survey of Youth, and the National Resources Inventory. He is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, an elected member of the International Statistical Institute, and past president of the International Association of Survey Statisticians and of the Survey Research Methods section of the American Statistical Association. At the NRC, he served on CNSTAT’s Panel on Conceptual, Measurement, and Other Statistical Issues in Developing Cost of Living Indexes and the Panel on Measuring Business Formation, Dynamics, and Performance. He has an M.A. and a Ph.D. in statistics, both from Iowa State University.

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