FIGURE 6.1 Range of very long-term warming obtained by applying the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity in Table 3.1 to the LTMIP ensemble of carbon-cycle models discussed in Archer et al. (2009). The upper red curve gives the maximum, the heavy black curve the median, and the lower green curve the minimum warming over all combinations of climate sensitivity and carbon-cycle models. These results incorporate the uptake of CO2 by land and ocean, but do not include other Earth System Sensitivity feedbacks such as vegetation change or ice sheet response. See Methods appendix for details of the calculation.

FIGURE 6.1 Range of very long-term warming obtained by applying the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity in Table 3.1 to the LTMIP ensemble of carbon-cycle models discussed in Archer et al. (2009). The upper red curve gives the maximum, the heavy black curve the median, and the lower green curve the minimum warming over all combinations of climate sensitivity and carbon-cycle models. These results incorporate the uptake of CO2 by land and ocean, but do not include other Earth System Sensitivity feedbacks such as vegetation change or ice sheet response. See Methods appendix for details of the calculation.



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