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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
Committee for a Decadal Survey of Astronomy and Astrophysics
Board on Physics and Astronomy
Space Studies Board
Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences
NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
Washington, D.C.
www.nap.edu
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
500 Fifth Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20001
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
This study was supported by Contract NNX08AN97G between the National Academy of Sciences and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Contract AST-0743899 between the National Academy of Sciences and the National Science Foundation, and Contract DE-FG02-08ER41542 between the National Academy of Sciences and the U.S. Department of Energy. Support for this study was also provided by the Vesto Slipher Fund. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the agencies that provided support for the project.
Cover: Complexity abounds in the universe, especially during the birth phases of stars and planetary systems. The M17 region, also known as the Omega Nebula, in the constellation Sagittarius is rich in massive stars, including those recently formed and already impacting their environment (bright nebulous regions—e.g., back lower), as well as those still in the process of formation within cold dense clouds (dark regions—e.g., front center). Provinces such as this within our galaxy and others allow astronomers to understand and quantify the cycling of matter and energy within the cosmic ecosystem. The image depicts mid-infrared emission at 3.6- to 24-micrometer wavelengths as detected by NASA’s Spitzer Space Telescope, although the region has been studied from high-frequency gamma-ray to low-frequency radio energies. Image courtesy of NASA/JPL-Caltech.
Dedication (p. xxxiii): Photo courtesy of American Astronomical Society.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
National Research Council (U.S.). Committee for a Decadal Survey of Astronomy and Astrophysics.
New worlds, new horizons in astronomy and astrophysics / Committee for a Decadal Survey of Astronomy and Astrophysics, Board on Physics and Astronomy, Space Studies Board, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978-0-309-15802-2 (case bdg.) — ISBN 978-0-309-15799-5 (pbk.) — ISBN 978-0-309-15800-8 (pdf)
1. Astronomy—Research—Forecasting. 2. Astrophysics—Research—Forecasting. 3. Research—International cooperation. I. Title.
QB61.N385 2011
520.72—dc22
2010044515
This report is available in limited quantities from the Board on Physics and Astronomy, 500 Fifth Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20001; bpa@nas.edu, http://www.nationalacademies.edu/bpa.
Additional copies of this report are available from the
National Academies Press,
500 Fifth Street, N.W., Lockbox 285, Washington, DC 20055; (800) 624-6242 or (202) 334-3313 (in the Washington metropolitan area); Internet, http://www.nap.edu.
Copyright 2010 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Printed in the United States of America
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
Advisers to the Nation on Science, Engineering, and Medicine
The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Ralph J. Cicerone is president of the National Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. Charles M. Vest is president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Harvey V. Fineberg is president of the Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy’s purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Ralph J. Cicerone and Dr. Charles M. Vest are chair and vice chair, respectively, of the National Research Council.
www.national-academies.org
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
COMMITTEE FOR A DECADAL SURVEY OF ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS
ROGER D. BLANDFORD,
Stanford University,
Chair
MARTHA P. HAYNES,
Cornell University,
Vice Chair
JOHN P. HUCHRA,
Harvard University,
Vice Chair
MARCIA J. RIEKE,
University of Arizona,
Vice Chair
LYNNE HILLENBRAND,
California Institute of Technology,
Executive Officer
STEVEN J. BATTEL,
Battel Engineering
LARS BILDSTEN,
University of California, Santa Barbara
JOHN E. CARLSTROM,
University of Chicago
DEBRA M. ELMEGREEN,
Vassar College
JOSHUA FRIEMAN,
Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory
FIONA A. HARRISON,
California Institute of Technology
TIMOTHY M. HECKMAN,
Johns Hopkins University
ROBERT C. KENNICUTT, JR.,
University of Cambridge
JONATHAN I. LUNINE,
University of Arizona and University of Rome, Tor Vergata
CLAIRE E. MAX,
University of California, Santa Cruz
DAN McCAMMON,
University of Wisconsin
STEVEN M. RITZ,
University of California, Santa Cruz
JURI TOOMRE,
University of Colorado
SCOTT D. TREMAINE,
Institute for Advanced Study
MICHAEL S. TURNER,
University of Chicago
NEIL deGRASSE TYSON,
Hayden Planetarium, American Museum of Natural History
PAUL A. VANDEN BOUT,
National Radio Astronomy Observatory
A. THOMAS YOUNG,
Lockheed Martin Corporation (retired)
Staff
DONALD C. SHAPERO, Director,
Board on Physics and Astronomy (BPA)
MICHAEL H. MOLONEY, Astro2010 Study Director and Director,
Space Studies Board (SSB)
BRANT L. SPONBERG, Senior Program Officer,
BPA (until December 2009)
ROBERT L. RIEMER, Senior Program Officer,
BPA
BRIAN D. DEWHURST, Program Officer,
Aeronautics and Space Engineering Board (until July 2009)
JAMES C. LANCASTER, Program Officer,
BPA
DAVID B. LANG, Program Officer,
BPA
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
TERI THOROWGOOD, Administrative Coordinator,
BPA (from November 2009)
CARMELA CHAMBERLAIN, Administrative Coordinator,
SSB
CATHERINE GRUBER, Editor,
SSB
CARYN J. KNUTSEN, Research Associate,
BPA
LaVITA COATES-FOGLE, Senior Program Assistant,
BPA (until October 2009)
BETH DOLAN, Financial Associate,
BPA
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
SCIENCE FRONTIERS PANELS
Panel on Cosmology and Fundamental Physics
DAVID N. SPERGEL,
Princeton University,
Chair
DAVID WEINBERG,
Ohio State University,
Vice Chair
RACHEL BEAN,
Cornell University
NEIL CORNISH,
Montana State University
JONATHAN FENG,
University of California, Irvine
ALEX V. FILIPPENKO,
University of California, Berkeley
WICK C. HAXTON,
University of California, Berkeley
MARC P. KAMIONKOWSKI,
California Institute of Technology
LISA RANDALL,
Harvard University
EUN-SUK SEO,
University of Maryland
DAVID TYTLER,
University of California, San Diego
CLIFFORD M. WILL,
Washington University
Panel on the Galactic Neighborhood
MICHAEL J. SHULL,
University of Colorado,
Chair
JULIANNE DALCANTON,
University of Washington,
Vice Chair
LEO BLITZ,
University of California, Berkeley
BRUCE T. DRAINE,
Princeton University
ROBERT FESEN,
Dartmouth University
KARL GEBHARDT,
University of Texas
JUNA KOLLMEIER,
Observatories of the Carnegie Institution of Washington
CRYSTAL MARTIN,
University of California, Santa Barbara
JASON TUMLINSON,
Space Telescope Science Institute
DANIEL WANG,
University of Massachusetts
DENNIS ZARITSKY,
University of Arizona
STEPHEN E. ZEPF,
Michigan State University
Panel on Galaxies Across Cosmic Time
C. MEGAN URRY,
Yale University,
Chair
MITCHELL C. BEGELMAN,
University of Colorado,
Vice Chair
ANDREW J. BAKER,
Rutgers University
NETA A. BAHCALL,
Princeton University
ROMEEL DAVÉ,
University of Arizona
TIZIANA DI MATTEO,
Carnegie Mellon University
HENRIC S. W. KRAWCZYNSKI,
Washington University
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JOSEPH MOHR,
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
RICHARD F. MUSHOTZKY,
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
CHRIS S. REYNOLDS,
University of Maryland
ALICE SHAPLEY,
University of California, Los Angeles
TOMMASO TREU,
University of California, Santa Barbara
JAQUELINE H. VAN GORKOM,
Columbia University
ERIC M. WILCOTS,
University of Wisconsin
Panel on Planetary Systems and Star Formation
LEE W. HARTMANN,
University of Michigan,
Chair
DAN M. WATSON,
University of Rochester,
Vice Chair
HECTOR ARCE,
Yale University
CLAIRE CHANDLER,
National Radio Astronomy Observatory
DAVID CHARBONNEAU,
Harvard University
EUGENE CHIANG,
University of California, Berkeley
SUZAN EDWARDS,
Smith College
ERIC HERBST,
Ohio State University
DAVID C. JEWITT,
University of California, Los Angeles
JAMES P. LLOYD,
Cornell University
EVE C. OSTRIKER,
University of Maryland
DAVID J. STEVENSON,
California Institute of Technology
JONATHAN C. TAN,
University of Florida
Panel on Stars and Stellar Evolution
ROGER A. CHEVALIER,
University of Virginia,
Chair
ROBERT P. KIRSHNER,
Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics,
Vice Chair
DEEPTO CHAKRABARTY,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
SUZANNE HAWLEY,
University of Washington
JEFFREY R. KUHN,
University of Hawaii
STANLEY OWOCKI,
University of Delaware
MARC PINSONNEAULT,
Ohio State University
ELIOT QUATAERT,
University of California, Berkeley
SCOTT RANSOM,
National Radio Astronomy Observatory
HENDRIK SCHATZ,
Michigan State University
LEE ANNE WILLSON,
Iowa State University
STANFORD E. WOOSLEY,
University of California, Santa Cruz
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Staff
DONALD C. SHAPERO, Director,
Board on Physics and Astronomy (BPA)
MICHAEL H. MOLONEY, Astro2010 Study Director and Director,
Space Studies Board (SSB)
BRANT L. SPONBERG, Senior Program Officer,
BPA (until December 2009)
ROBERT L. RIEMER, Senior Program Officer,
BPA
DAVID B. LANG, Program Officer,
BPA
CARMELA CHAMBERLAIN, Administrative Coordinator,
SSB
CATHERINE GRUBER, Editor
CARYN J. KNUTSEN, Research Associate,
BPA
LaVITA COATES-FOGLE, Senior Program Assistant,
BPA (until October 2009)
BETH DOLAN, Financial Associate,
BPA
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PROGRAM PRIORITIZATION PANELS
Panel on Electromagnetic Observations from Space
ALAN DRESSLER,
Observatories of the Carnegie Institution of Washington,
Chair
MICHAEL BAY,
Bay Engineering Innovations
ALAN P. BOSS,
Carnegie Institution of Washington
MARK DEVLIN,
University of Pennsylvania
MEGAN DONAHUE,
Michigan State University
BRENNA FLAUGHER,
Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory
TOM GREENE,
NASA Ames Research Center
PURAGRA (RAJA) GUHATHAKURTA,
University of California Observatories/Lick Observatory
MICHAEL G. HAUSER,
Space Telescope Science Institute
HAROLD MCALISTER,
Georgia State University
PETER F. MICHELSON,
Stanford University
BEN R. OPPENHEIMER,
American Museum of Natural History
FRITS PAERELS,
Columbia University
ADAM G. RIESS,
Johns Hopkins University
GEORGE H. RIEKE,
Steward Observatory, University of Arizona
PAUL L. SCHECHTER,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
TODD TRIPP,
University of Massachusetts at Amherst
Panel on Optical and Infrared Astronomy from the Ground
PATRICK S. OSMER,
Ohio State University,
Chair
MICHAEL SKRUTSKIE,
University of Virginia,
Vice Chair
CHARLES BAILYN,
Yale University
BETSY BARTON,
University of California, Irvine
TODD A. BOROSON,
National Optical Astronomy Observatory
DANIEL EISENSTEIN,
University of Arizona
ANDREA M. GHEZ,
University of California, Los Angeles
J. TODD HOEKSEMA,
Stanford University
ROBERT P. KIRSHNER,
Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics
BRUCE MACINTOSH,
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
PIERO MADAU,
University of California, Santa Cruz
JOHN MONNIER,
University of Michigan
IAIN NEILL REID,
Space Telescope Science Institute
CHARLES E. WOODWARD,
University of Minnesota
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
Panel on Particle Astrophysics and Gravitation
JACQUELINE N. HEWITT,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
Chair
ERIC G. ADELBERGER,
University of Washington
ANDREAS ALBRECHT,
University of California, Davis
ELENA APRILE,
Columbia University
JONATHAN ARONS,
University of California, Berkeley
BARRY C. BARISH,
California Institute of Technology
JOAN CENTRELLA,
NASA-Goddard Space Flight Center
DOUGLAS FINKBEINER,
Harvard University
KATHY FLANAGAN,
Space Telescope Science Institute
GABRIELA GONZALEZ,
Louisiana State University
JAMES B. HARTLE,
University of California, Santa Barbara
STEVEN M. KAHN,
Stanford University
N. JEREMY KASDIN,
Princeton University
TERESA MONTARULI,
University of Wisconsin–Madison
ANGELA V. OLINTO,
University of Chicago
RENE A. ONG,
University of California, Los Angeles
HELEN R. QUINN,
SLAC National Laboratory (retired)
Panel on Radio, Millimeter, and Submillimeter Astronomy from the Ground
NEAL J. EVANS,
University of Texas,
Chair
JAMES M. MORAN,
Harvard University,
Vice Chair
CRYSTAL BROGAN,
National Radio Astronomy Observatory
AARON S. EVANS,
University of Virginia
SARAH GIBSON,
National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory
JASON GLENN,
University of Colorado at Boulder
NICKOLAY Y. GNEDIN,
Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory
CORNELIA C. LANG,
University of Iowa
MAURA MCLAUGHLIN,
West Virginia University
MIGUEL MORALES,
University of Washington
LYMAN A. PAGE JR.,
Princeton University
JEAN L. TURNER,
University of California, Los Angeles
DAVID J. WILNER,
Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory
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Facilities, Funding, and Programs: J. Craig Wheeler, University of Texas at Austin, Chair; Rebecca A. Bernstein, University of California, Santa Cruz; David Burrows, Pennsylvania State University; Webster Cash, University of Colorado; R. Paul Drake, University of Michigan; Jeremy Goodman, Princeton University; W. Miller Goss, National Radio Astronomy Observatory; Kate Kirby, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics; Anthony Mezzacappa, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Robert Millis, Lowell Observatory; Catherine Pilachowski, Indiana University; Farid Salama, NASA Ames Research Center; and Ellen Zweibel, University of Wisconsin.
International and Private Partnership: Robert L. Dickman, National Radio Astronomy Observatory, Chair; Michael Bolte, University of California, Santa Cruz; George Helou, California Institute of Technology; James Hesser, Herzberg Institute of Astrophysics; Wesley T. Huntress, Carnegie Institution of Washington; Richard Kelley, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Rolf-Peter Kudritzki, University of Hawai’i; Eugene H. Levy, Rice University; Antonella Nota, Space Telescope Science Institute; and Brad Peterson, Ohio State University.
Education and Public Outreach: Lucy Fortson, Adler Planetarium, Co-Chair; Chris Impey, University of Arizona, Co-Chair; Carol Christian, Space Telescope Science Institute; Lynn Cominsky, Sonoma State University; Mary Dussault, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics; Richard Tresch Feinberg, Phillips Academy; Andrew Fraknoi, Foothill College; Pamela Gay, Southern Illinois University; Jeffrey Kirsch, Reuben H. Fleet Science Center; Robert Mathieu, University of Wisconsin; George Nelson, Western Washington University; Edward Prather, University of Arizona; Philip Sadler, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics; Keivan Stassun, Vanderbilt University; and Sidney Woolf, LSST.
Astronomy and Public Policy: Daniel F. Lester, University of Texas at Austin, Chair; Jack Burns, University of Colorado; Bruce Carney, University of North Carolina; Heidi Hammel, Space Science Institute; Noel W. Hinners, Lockheed (retired); John Leibacher, National Solar Observatory; J. Patrick Looney, Brookhaven National Laboratory; Melissa McGrath, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center; and Annelia Sargent, California Institute of Technology.
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
Acknowledgment of Reviewers
This report has been reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with procedures approved by the Report Review Committee of the National Research Council (NRC). The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the institution in making its published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process. We wish to thank the following individuals for their review of this report:
Jonathan Bagger, Johns Hopkins University,
James Barrowman, NASA (retired),
Edmund Bertschinger, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
Raymond Carlberg, University of Toronto,
Henry Ferguson, Space Telescope Science Institute,
Michael E. Fisher, University of Maryland,
Reinhard Genzel, Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics,
Philip R. Goode, New Jersey Institute of Technology,
Joseph Hezir, EOP Group, Inc.,
Eugene H. Levy, Rice University,
Malcolm Longair, Cavendish Laboratory,
J. Patrick Looney, Brookhaven National Laboratory,
Richard McCray, University of Colorado, Boulder,
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Christopher McKee, University of California, Berkeley,
Saul Perlmutter, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory,
Catherine A. Pilachowski, Indiana University,
Anneila I. Sargent, California Institute of Technology,
Rainer Weiss, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and
Mark Wyatt, University of Cambridge.
Although the reviewers listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the conclusions or recommendations, nor did they see the final draft of the report before its release. The review of this report was overseen by Louis J. Lanzerotti, New Jersey Institute of Technology, and Bernard F. Burke, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Appointed by the NRC, they were responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authoring committee and the institution.
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Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1
1
2020 VISION
9
Science Objectives,
10
Cosmic Dawn: Searching for the First Stars, Galaxies, and Black Holes,
10
New Worlds: Seeking Nearby, Habitable Planets,
11
Physics of the Universe: Understanding Scientific Principles,
12
Optimizing the Science Program,
14
Proposed Program of Activities,
16
Space Projects—Large—in Rank Order,
16
Space Projects—Medium—in Rank Order,
20
Small Additions and Augmentations to Space Research Program (Unranked),
21
Ground Projects—Large—in Rank Order,
22
Ground Project—Medium,
25
Small Additions and Augmentations to Ground Research Program (Unranked),
25
Other Conclusions and Recommendations,
26
Partnership in Astronomy and Astrophysics Research,
27
Society, Astronomy, and Astronomers,
28
Sustaining Core Capabilities,
30
Preparing for Tomorrow,
32
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2
ON THE THRESHOLD
35
Discovery,
36
The Discovery of Habitable Planets,
37
A Bold New Frontier: Gravitational Radiation,
39
Opening the Time Domain: Making Cosmic Movies,
43
Giving Meaning to the Data: Cyber-Discovery,
45
Discovery Through the Power of Mathematics, Physics, and the Imagination,
46
Origins,
46
The Origin of the Universe: The Earliest Moments,
47
The First Sources of Light and the End of the Cosmic Dark Ages,
48
The Origin of Galaxies and Large-Scale Structure,
51
The Origin of Black Holes,
52
The Origin of Stars and Planets,
53
Understanding the Cosmic Order,
57
Galaxies and Black Holes,
57
Stars,
59
Planetary Systems,
66
Life,
67
Frontiers of Knowledge,
68
The Nature of Inflation,
69
The Accelerating Universe,
70
The Nature of Dark Matter,
71
The Nature of Neutrinos,
72
The Nature of Compact Objects and Probes of Relativity,
74
The Chemistry of the Universe,
76
3
PARTNERSHIP IN ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS: COLLABORATION, COOPERATION, COORDINATION
79
International Partnerships,
81
The Globalization of Astronomy,
81
Managing International Collaboration,
82
International Strategic Planning,
86
Public-Private Partnerships,
87
Ground-Based Optical and Infrared Astronomy,
87
Ground-Based Radio, Millimeter, and Submillimeter Astronomy,
92
Partnership Opportunities,
93
OIR and RMS on the Ground,
94
Particle Astrophysics and Gravitation,
97
Space Observatories,
97
Agency Partnerships and Interfaces,
98
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Interagency Tactical Advice,
101
Stewardship of the Decadal Survey,
101
4
ASTRONOMY IN SOCIETY
103
Benefits of Astronomy to the Nation,
104
Astronomy Engages the Public in Science,
104
Engagement with Astronomy Improves Science Literacy and Proficiency,
110
Astronomy Inspires in the Classroom and Beyond,
111
Astronomy Serves as a Gateway to New Technology,
112
Astronomy and the America COMPETES Act,
113
Astronomy Addresses the Challenges of the 21st Century,
114
Astronomers and Public Policy,
115
Astronomers,
116
Demography,
116
Implications for Employment and Training,
124
Underrepresented Minorities in Astronomy,
125
Women in Astronomy,
128
5
SUSTAINING THE CORE RESEARCH PROGRAM
131
Individual Investigator Programs,
132
Theory,
135
Emerging Trends in Theoretical Research,
135
Theoretical Challenges for the Next Decade,
137
Individual Investigator Programs in Theory and Computation,
140
The Rapid Rise of Astrophysical Computing,
140
Research Networks in Theoretical and Computational Astrophysics,
142
Data and Software,
142
Data Archives,
143
Data Reduction and Analysis Software,
148
Medium-Scale Activities,
148
Technical Workforce Development,
148
NASA Explorer and Suborbital Programs,
149
NSF Mid-Scale Innovation Program,
151
Technology Development,
154
NASA-Funded Space-Based Astrophysics Technology Development,
154
NSF-Funded Ground-Based Astrophysics Technology Development,
157
DOE-Funded Technology Development,
158
Laboratory Astrophysics,
159
The Scope and Needs of Laboratory Astrophysics,
159
The Funding Challenge,
161
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6
PREPARING FOR TOMORROW
163
Operating and Upcoming Projects, Missions, and Facilities,
163
Department of Energy,
163
National Aeronautics and Space Administration,
165
National Science Foundation,
168
Toward Future Projects, Missions, and Facilities,
173
Department of Energy,
173
National Aeronautics and Space Administration,
174
National Science Foundation,
175
7
REALIZING THE OPPORTUNITIES
183
Process,
183
Prioritization Criteria,
183
Program Prioritization,
184
Cost, Risk, and Technical Readiness Evaluation,
186
Budgets,
187
Science Objectives for the Decade,
189
Cosmic Dawn: Searching for the First Stars, Galaxies, and Black Holes,
189
New Worlds: Seeking Nearby, Habitable Planets,
191
The Physics of the Universe: Understanding Scientific Principles,
195
The Larger Science Program,
199
Discovery,
200
Origins,
201
Understanding the Cosmic Order,
203
Frontiers of Knowledge,
204
Recommended Program of Activities,
204
Recommendations for New Space Activities—Large Projects,
205
Recommendations for New Space Activities—Medium Projects,
215
Recommendations for New Space Activities—Small Projects,
218
Small Additions and Augmentations to NASA’s Core Research Programs,
219
Recommendations for New Ground-Based Activities—Large Projects,
223
Recommendation for New Ground-Based Activities—Medium Project,
234
Small Additions and Augmentations to NSF’s Core Research Program,
235
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Recommendations for the Agencies,
237
NASA Astrophysics,
237
NSF Astronomy,
238
DOE High Energy Physics,
240
Epilogue,
240
APPENDIXES
A Summary of Science Frontiers Panels’ Findings
245
B Summary of Program Prioritization Panels’ Recommendations
249
C The Cost, Risk, and Technical Readiness Evaluation Process
253
D Mid-Scale Project Descriptions
261
E Statement of Task and Scope
265
F Acronyms
269
INDEX
275
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New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astronomy is in a golden age with spectacular discoveries such as the first extrasolar planets, pinning down the age of the Universe, dark energy, galactic black holes, and galaxies formed only a few hundred million years after the Big Bang as just some of the drivers for new questions…. Whatever else happens, we are privileged to be a part of this enterprise.
—John Huchra (AAS Newsletter, Issue 152, May/June 2010)
The Committee for a Decadal Survey of Astronomy and Astrophysics dedicates this report to a dear friend and valued colleague, John P. Huchra, who served as a vice chair for the decadal survey.
OCR for page R34
New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics
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