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Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment: Report of a Workshop (2010)
Board on Environmental Change and Society (BECS)

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. "Front Matter." Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2010.

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Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment: Report of a Workshop

4

  

Driving Forces and Critical Uncertainties in Adaptation, Vulnerability, and Mitigation

  

21
   

 Driving Forces and Critical Uncertainties in Scenario Construction,

  

21
   

 Brief Presentations on Specific Drivers,

  

22

 

  

Discussion,

  

28

5

  

Representative Concentration Pathways and Socioeconomic Scenarios and Narratives

  

29
   

 Characteristics, Uses, and Limits of Representative Concentration Pathways,

  

29
   

 Multimodel Analysis of Key Assumptions Underlying Representative Concentration Pathways,

  

31

6

  

Lessons from Experience

  

33
   

 Personal Experiences with Scenarios,

  

33
   

 The U.S. National Assessment,

  

34
   

 The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment,

  

36
   

 The Asia Low-Carbon Society Project,

  

37
   

 The IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios,

  

37
   

 The UK Climate Impacts Program and the Netherlands Experience,

  

38
   

 Discussion,

  

38

7

  

Reports from Breakout Groups

  

41
   

 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Scenarios for 2020-2050,

  

41
   

 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability Issues to 2100, 42 Scenarios for Mitigation to 2100,

  

43
   

 Possible Products for the Fifth Assessment Report and Implications for Working Groups 2 and 3,

  

44
   

 What the IAV and IAM Communities Might Get from Each Other,

  

45

8

  

Concluding Comments

  

47

 

  

References

  

49

 

  

Appendixes

  

 

A

  

Workshop Agenda and List of Participants

  

51

B

  

Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff

  

59
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