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Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop (2011)

Chapter: Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
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A
Workshop Announcement and Agenda

NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES WORKSHOP ON MODELING THE ECONOMICS OF GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION

April 15-16, 2010

Washington, DC


On behalf of the National Academies’ Board on Energy and Environmental Systems and the planning committee for the Workshop on Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation, we would like to invite you to our workshop scheduled for April 15-16, 2010, at the NAS Auditorium (2100 C Street NW) in Washington, D.C. Our goal is to stimulate a dialogue about the relative strengths and weaknesses of models used to assess the economic impacts of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

This workshop will be comprised of four major sessions taking place over the 2 days. These sessions and their times are listed below.

  • Thursday, April 15 at 9:45 am

    Uses and Abuses of Marginal Abatement Supply Curves

  • Thursday, April 15 at 1:30 pm

    Uses and Abuses of Learning/Experience/Knowledge Curves

  • Friday, April 16 at 8:30 am

    Offsets—What’s Assumed, What is Known/Not Known, What Difference They Make

  • Friday, April 16 at 1:30 pm

    Storylines, Scenarios, and the Limits of Long-Term Socio-Techno-Economic Forecasting

This workshop is open to the public in its entirety, so RSVP is not necessary. For a more detailed agenda, including speakers and times, please see below.

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
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Agenda

Thursday, April 15

8:15 AM

Registration and greeting

9:00 AM

Welcome—Objectives and Motivation for Workshop

John Weyant, Workshop Planning Committee Chair

9:10 AM

Opening Remarks

Rick Duke, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate Policy, DOE

9:20 AM

Setting the Stage

Administrator Richard Newell, Energy Information Administration

9:45 AM

Panel Session: Uses and Abuses of Bottom-Up Marginal Abatement Supply Curves

Planning Subgroup

John Weyant (lead)

Rich Richels

Karen Palmer

9:45 AM

Issues in the Use of Energy Conservation and GHG Abatement Cost Curves

Mark Jaccard, Simon Frasier University

10:15 AM

Efficiency Cost Curves—Empirical Insights for Energy-Climate Modeling

Jayant Sathaye, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

10:45 AM

Break

11:05 AM

Discussion Session

Marilyn Brown, Georgia Institute of Technology

Rich Richels, Electric Power Research Institute

Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Information Administration

Hillard Huntington, Stanford University

11:45 PM

Audience questions and answers

12:15 PM

Lunch

1:30 PM

Panel Session: Uses and Abuses of Learning/Experience/Knowledge Curves

Planning Subgroup

Marilyn Brown (lead)

Steve Smith

1:30 PM

Beyond the “Black Box” of Learning Curves: Their Use and Misuse in Assessments of Technological Change

Nebojsa Nakicenoviic, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

2:00 PM

The Perils of the Learning Model for Modeling Endogenous Technological Change

William Nordhaus, Yale University

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
×

2:30 PM

Uncertainties in Learning Curves for Climate Policy Analysis

Edward Rubin, Carnegie Mellon University

3:00 PM

Break

3:15 PM

Discussion Session

Jae Edmonds—Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Greg Nemet—University of Wisconsin

David Greene—Oak Ridge National Laboratory

4:00 PM

Audience questions and answers

4:30 PM

Adjourn

Friday, April 16

8:30 AM

Panel Session: Offsets—What’s Assumed, What is Known/Not Known, What Difference They Make

Planning subgroup

Karen Palmer (lead)

Rich Richels

8:30 AM

Role of Offsets in Global and Domestic Climate Policy

Ray Kopp, Resources For the Future

9:00 AM

International Offsets: The Potential Role of the Energy Sector

Geoff Blanford, Electrical Power Research Institute

9:30 AM

Assessment of Forests and Other Land Based Offsets: Costs and Benefits

Brent Sohngen, Ohio State University

10:00 AM

Offsets in Policy Modeling

Allen Fawcett, Environmental Protection Agency, Climate Economics Branch

10:30 AM

Break

11:00 AM

Discussion session

Analysis of Clean Development Mechanism

David Victor, University of California, San Diego

Data Needs for Offset Verification

Molly Macauley, Resources for the Future

11:50 AM

Audience questions and answers

12:15 PM

Lunch

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
×

1:30 PM

Panel Discussion: Storylines, Scenarios, and the Limits of Long-Term Socio-Techno-Economic Forecasting

Planning subgroup

Steve Smith (lead)

Rich Richels

Bill Nordhaus

1:30 PM

Moderator’s Opening Remarks

Steven Smith, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

1:40 PM

Next Generation Scenarios for Climate Modeling and Research on Adaptation and Mitigation

Richard Moss, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

2:10 PM

Scenarios for Climate Economics Modeling

Dale Jorgenson, Harvard University

2:40 PM

Audience Q&A Session

3:00 PM

Closing Roundtable—Reflections on the Workshop and Future Topics

Workshop Planning Committee

John Weyant

Rich Richels

Bill Nordhaus

Karen Palmer

Steve Smith

Marilyn Brown

4:00 PM

End of Workshop

Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
×
Page 29
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
×
Page 30
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
×
Page 31
Suggested Citation:"Appendix A: Workshop Announcement and Agenda." National Research Council. 2011. Modeling the Economics of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Summary of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/13023.
×
Page 32
Next: Appendix B: Biographical Sketches of Planning Committee Members, Speakers, and Discussants »
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Models are fundamental for estimating the possible costs and effectiveness of different policies for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. There is a wide array of models to perform such analysis, differing in the level of technological detail, treatment of technological progress, spatial and sector details, and representation of the interaction of the energy sector to the overall economy and environment. These differences impact model results, including cost estimates. More fundamentally, these models differ as to how they represent fundamental processes that have a large impact on policy analysis--such as how different models represent technological learning and cost reductions that come through increasing production volumes, or how different models represent baseline conditions.

Reliable estimates of the costs and potential impacts on the United States economy of various emissions reduction and other mitigation strategies are critical to the development of the federal climate change research and development portfolio. At the request of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the National Academies organized a workshop, summarized in this volume, to consider some of these types of modeling issues.

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